La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Zizou Bergs v Jan-Lennard Struff
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Zizou Bergs (Local)
Predicción 59.42%1.68momio equitativo
EV +6.37%
Ventaja +3.56%
Kelly +8.06%
Crecimiento +0.513%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.79
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.26%58.82%59.95%63.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.621.601.7966.67%61.63%62.50%55.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Jan-Lennard Struff (Visitante)
Predicción 40.58%2.46momio equitativo
EV +5.50%
Ventaja +2.12%
Kelly +3.44%
Crecimiento +0.189%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.59%41.18%40.05%46.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.262.302.6050.00%44.34%43.48%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (FR) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV +6.37%E +3.56%K +8.06%G +0.513% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -17.22%E -8.44%K -16.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 20:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV +4.58%E +2.60%K +6.03%G +0.276% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -11.95%E -5.50%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Bet Right | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV +3.99%E +2.28%K +5.32%G +0.212% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -15.60%E -7.50%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 20:41 |
| BetRivers | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV +3.99%E +2.28%K +5.32%G +0.212% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -16.00%E -7.73%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 20:31 |
| Bally Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV +3.99%E +2.28%K +5.32%G +0.212% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -16.00%E -7.73%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 20:34 |
| Everygame | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV +3.99%E +2.28%K +5.32%G +0.212% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -16.81%E -8.20%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 20:37 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV +3.39%E +1.95%K +4.59%G +0.156% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -12.35%E -5.72%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV +3.39%E +1.95%K +4.59%G +0.156% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -12.35%E -5.72%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV +3.39%E +1.95%K +4.59%G +0.156% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.67%EV -16.00%E -7.73%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| BetUS | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV +3.39%E +1.95%K +4.59%G +0.156% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -16.81%E -8.20%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 20:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +2.80%E +1.62%K +3.84%G +0.107% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -14.79%E -7.04%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 20:44 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +2.80%E +1.62%K +3.84%G +0.107% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -14.79%E -7.04%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 20:41 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV +2.80%E +1.62%K +3.84%G +0.107% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -16.81%E -8.20%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-04 20:41 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV +2.80%E +1.62%K +3.84%G +0.107% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -18.84%E -9.42%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 20:41 |
| Neds | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV +2.80%E +1.62%K +3.84%G +0.107% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -18.84%E -9.42%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 20:41 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV +2.80%E +1.62%K +3.84%G +0.107% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -18.84%E -9.42%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 20:40 |
| GTbets | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV +2.21%E +1.28%K +3.06%G +0.068% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -13.57%E -6.37%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 20:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV +2.21%E +1.28%K +3.06%G +0.068% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -14.79%E -7.04%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 20:45 |
| SportsBet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV +1.61%E +0.942%K +2.27%G +0.037% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -13.16%E -6.15%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 20:44 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.74%E -2.31%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.74%E -2.31%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| Unibet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.74%E -2.31%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.74%E -2.31%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.74%E -2.31%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.74%E -2.31%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| 888sport | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.33%E -2.69%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.73%E -4.88%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.33%E -2.69%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.73%E -4.88%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -4.33%E -2.69%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.73%E -4.88%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.92%E -3.08%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.61%E -1.09%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-04 20:50 |
| Casumo | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.92%E -3.08%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.64%E -1.98%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| betPARX | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.92%E -3.08%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.64%E -1.98%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.92%E -3.08%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.70%E -3.87%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.52%E -3.47%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.61%E -1.09%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.11%E -3.87%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -3.42%E -1.44%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.11%E -3.87%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 20:49 |
| TAB | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.11%E -3.87%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 20:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.71%E -4.27%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.61%E -1.09%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.71%E -4.27%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.64%E -1.98%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| Betsson | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.71%E -4.27%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.64%E -1.98%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.71%E -4.27%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -5.86%E -2.53%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.71%E -4.27%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| Bovada | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -7.30%E -4.68%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +1.45%E +0.578%K +0.963%G +0.014% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.30%E -4.68%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.61%E -1.09%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| Caesars | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.30%E -4.68%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.64%E -1.98%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 20:54 |
| LeoVegas | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -7.30%E -4.68%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -7.48%E -3.28%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -7.30%E -4.68%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -10.73%E -4.88%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-04 20:53 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.90%E -5.09%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -7.90%E -5.09%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.47%EV -7.48%E -3.28%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| theScore Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.49%E -5.51%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -2.61%E -1.09%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.90%EV -8.49%E -5.51%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| Bet Victor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.08%E -5.94%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -2.61%E -1.09%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 20:53 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.08%E -5.94%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -2.61%E -1.09%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| Coral | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -9.08%E -5.94%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -2.61%E -1.09%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.08%E -5.94%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.42%E -1.44%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-04 20:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -9.08%E -5.94%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.42%E -1.44%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -9.08%E -5.94%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -4.64%E -1.98%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -9.68%E -6.37%K -18.61%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -8.70%E -3.87%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| Fliff | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -10.27%E -6.80%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-04 20:50 |
| Betway | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -10.87%E -7.24%K -21.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +5.50%E +2.12%K +3.44%G +0.189% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| BetMGM | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -10.87%E -7.24%K -21.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -0.584%E -0.238%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 20:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 0.6% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00% | 2.0% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00% | 2.0% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00% | 2.0% | 2026-03-04 20:55 |