语言:简体中文
Valentin Vacherot v Nuno Borges
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Valentin Vacherot (主队)
预测 57.28%1.75公平赔率
EV -0.331%
优势 -0.190%
Kelly -0.447%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.74
博彩公司预测分布
54.55%57.04%57.40%61.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.551.651.651.7464.52%60.56%60.61%57.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
Nuno Borges (客队)
预测 42.72%2.34公平赔率
EV +6.37%
优势 +2.56%
Kelly +4.28%
增长率 +0.272%
假设最高赔率为 2.49
博彩公司预测分布
38.37%42.96%42.60%45.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.042.222.232.4949.02%45.10%44.84%40.16%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Valentin Vacherot (主队)：57.28%；Nuno Borges (客队)：42.72%。 对于“Nuno Borges (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.34。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.49，对应+6.37%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (55 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -11.21%E -7.23%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV +6.37%E +2.56%K +4.28%G +0.272% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -3.77%E -2.24%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -1.75%E -0.759%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -4.91%E -2.96%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -1.75%E -0.759%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.20%E -4.45%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.75%E -0.759%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 21:47 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -11.21%E -7.23%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -1.75%E -0.759%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -6.06%E -3.69%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -2.17%E -0.949%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 21:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.49%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.60%E -1.14%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -6.06%E -3.69%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -3.46%E -1.53%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.70%EV -8.92%E -5.61%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.30%EV -3.46%E -1.53%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 21:38 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.91%E -2.96%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:43 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.91%E -2.96%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.91%E -2.96%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.91%E -2.96%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.91%E -2.96%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.91%E -2.96%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.91%E -2.96%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.49%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 21:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.49%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.20%E -4.45%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.49%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.31%E -1.92%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -2.62%E -1.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -4.74%E -2.12%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -2.62%E -1.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -4.74%E -2.12%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.74%E -2.12%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.74%E -2.12%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.74%E -2.12%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.74%E -2.12%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.74%E -2.12%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.74%E -2.12%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.74%E -2.12%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -5.49%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -5.59%E -2.53%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 21:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.49%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.49%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.49%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.06%E -3.69%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.63%E -4.07%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.20%E -4.45%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.20%E -4.45%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.35%E -5.22%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 21:38 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -10.07%E -6.41%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.19%E -1.89%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.49%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.49%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.20%E -4.45%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -0.331%E -0.190%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -10.29%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.48%E -0.858%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -10.29%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.05%E -1.20%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -10.29%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.49%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -10.29%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.49%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -10.29%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.55%EV -2.62%E -1.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -12.85%E -6.30%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 21:46 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65% | 0.2% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65% | 0.2% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Novig◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.82% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.18% | 1.7% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |