مدرسة الاحتمالات

Valentin Vacherot v Nuno Borges

البداية: 2026-03-07 22:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

55 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Valentin Vacherot (المضيف)

التنبؤ 57.28%1.75السعر العادل
EV -0.331%
الأفضلية -0.190%
Kelly -0.447%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.74

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
54.55%57.04%57.40%61.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.551.651.651.7464.52%60.56%60.61%57.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Nuno Borges (الضيف)

التنبؤ 42.72%2.34السعر العادل
EV +6.37%
الأفضلية +2.56%
Kelly +4.28%
النمو +0.272%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.49

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
38.37%42.96%42.60%45.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.042.222.232.4949.02%45.10%44.84%40.16%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (55 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -11.21%E -7.23%K -20.39%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV +6.37%E +2.56%K +4.28%G +0.272%4.7%2026-03-07 21:49
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -3.77%E -2.24%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -1.75%E -0.759%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-07 21:49
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -4.91%E -2.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -1.75%E -0.759%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-07 21:50
Unibet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.20%E -4.45%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.75%E -0.759%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 21:47
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -11.21%E -7.23%K -20.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -1.75%E -0.759%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 21:50
Unibet (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -6.06%E -3.69%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -2.17%E -0.949%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 21:44
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.49%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.60%E -1.14%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 21:49
SportsBet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -6.06%E -3.69%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -3.46%E -1.53%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 21:50
Betclic (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 58.70%EV -8.92%E -5.61%K -15.12%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.30%EV -3.46%E -1.53%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 21:38
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 21:50
BetRivers1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.91%E -2.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:43
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.91%E -2.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:49
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.91%E -2.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:49
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.91%E -2.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:49
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.91%E -2.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:49
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.91%E -2.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:49
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.91%E -2.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:49
GTbets1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.49%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 21:35
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.49%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 21:49
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.20%E -4.45%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 21:49
Bet Right1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.49%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.31%E -1.92%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 21:49
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -2.62%E -1.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -4.74%E -2.12%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-07 21:50
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -2.62%E -1.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -4.74%E -2.12%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-07 21:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.74%E -2.12%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:49
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.74%E -2.12%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:50
Grosvenor1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.74%E -2.12%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:50
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.74%E -2.12%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:49
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.74%E -2.12%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:50
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.74%E -2.12%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:50
Bally Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.74%E -2.12%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:50
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -5.49%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -5.59%E -2.53%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 21:50
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 21:49
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 21:44
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.49%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 21:50
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.49%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 21:50
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.49%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 21:50
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.06%E -3.69%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 21:49
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.63%E -4.07%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 21:49
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.20%E -4.45%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 21:50
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.20%E -4.45%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 21:49
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 21:50
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 21:50
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.35%E -5.22%K -13.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 21:38
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -10.07%E -6.41%K -17.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 21:50
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.19%E -1.89%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 21:49
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 21:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.49%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 21:49
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.49%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 21:49
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.20%E -4.45%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 21:50
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -0.331%E -0.190%K -0.447%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -10.29%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 21:49
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.48%E -0.858%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -10.29%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 21:49
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.05%E -1.20%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -10.29%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 21:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.49%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -10.29%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 21:49
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.49%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -10.29%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 21:49
Codere (IT)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.55%EV -2.62%E -1.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -12.85%E -6.30%K -12.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 21:46
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%0.2%2026-03-07 21:50
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%0.2%2026-03-07 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-03-07 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-03-07 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-03-07 21:49
Novig1.70I 58.82%NM 57.82%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.18%1.7%2026-03-07 21:50