Sprache:Deutsch
Valentin Vacherot v Nuno Borges
Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →
Direkter Vergleich
Valentin Vacherot (Heim)
Prognose 57.28%1.75faire Quote
EV -0.331%
Vorteil -0.190%
Kelly -0.447%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.74
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
54.55%57.04%57.40%61.63%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.551.651.651.7464.52%60.56%60.61%57.47%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Nuno Borges (Auswärts)
Prognose 42.72%2.34faire Quote
EV +6.37%
Vorteil +2.56%
Kelly +4.28%
Wachstum +0.272%
bei einer Höchstquote von 2.49
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
38.37%42.96%42.60%45.45%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.042.222.232.4949.02%45.10%44.84%40.16%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Valentin Vacherot (Heim): 57.28%; Nuno Borges (Auswärts): 42.72%. Für Nuno Borges (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.34. 1 Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 2.49 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +6.37%.
Wettanbieterquoten (55 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts ▼ | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -11.21%E -7.23%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV +6.37%E +2.56%K +4.28%G +0.272% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -3.77%E -2.24%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -1.75%E -0.759%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -4.91%E -2.96%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -1.75%E -0.759%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.20%E -4.45%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.75%E -0.759%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 21:47 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -11.21%E -7.23%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -1.75%E -0.759%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -6.06%E -3.69%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -2.17%E -0.949%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 21:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.49%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.60%E -1.14%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -6.06%E -3.69%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -3.46%E -1.53%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.70%EV -8.92%E -5.61%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.30%EV -3.46%E -1.53%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 21:38 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.91%E -2.96%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:43 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.91%E -2.96%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.91%E -2.96%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.91%E -2.96%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.91%E -2.96%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.91%E -2.96%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.91%E -2.96%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.49%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 21:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.49%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.20%E -4.45%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.49%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.31%E -1.92%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -2.62%E -1.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -4.74%E -2.12%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -2.62%E -1.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -4.74%E -2.12%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.74%E -2.12%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.74%E -2.12%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.74%E -2.12%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.74%E -2.12%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.74%E -2.12%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.74%E -2.12%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.74%E -2.12%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -5.49%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -5.59%E -2.53%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 21:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.49%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.49%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.49%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.06%E -3.69%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.63%E -4.07%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.20%E -4.45%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.20%E -4.45%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.35%E -5.22%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 21:38 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -10.07%E -6.41%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.19%E -1.89%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.49%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.49%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.20%E -4.45%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -0.331%E -0.190%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -10.29%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.48%E -0.858%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -10.29%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.05%E -1.20%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -10.29%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.49%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -10.29%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.49%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -10.29%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.55%EV -2.62%E -1.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -12.85%E -6.30%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 21:46 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (6)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65% | 0.2% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65% | 0.2% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Novig◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.82% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.18% | 1.7% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |