Szkoła Kursów

Valentin Vacherot v Nuno Borges

Początek: 2026-03-07 22:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

55 bukmacherów (20 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Valentin Vacherot (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 57.28%1.75kurs godziwy
EV -0.331%
Przewaga -0.190%
Kelly -0.447%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.74

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
54.55%57.04%57.40%61.63%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.551.651.651.7464.52%60.56%60.61%57.47%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Nuno Borges (Goście)

Prognoza 42.72%2.34kurs godziwy
EV +6.37%
Przewaga +2.56%
Kelly +4.28%
Wzrost +0.272%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.49

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
38.37%42.96%42.60%45.45%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.042.222.232.4949.02%45.10%44.84%40.16%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (55 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
1xBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -11.21%E -7.23%K -20.39%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV +6.37%E +2.56%K +4.28%G +0.272%4.7%2026-03-07 21:49
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -3.77%E -2.24%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -1.75%E -0.759%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-07 21:49
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -4.91%E -2.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -1.75%E -0.759%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-07 21:50
Unibet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.20%E -4.45%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.75%E -0.759%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 21:47
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -11.21%E -7.23%K -20.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -1.75%E -0.759%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 21:50
Unibet (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -6.06%E -3.69%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -2.17%E -0.949%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 21:44
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.49%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.60%E -1.14%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 21:49
SportsBet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -6.06%E -3.69%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -3.46%E -1.53%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 21:50
Betclic (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 58.70%EV -8.92%E -5.61%K -15.12%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.30%EV -3.46%E -1.53%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 21:38
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 21:50
BetRivers1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.91%E -2.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:43
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.91%E -2.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:49
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.91%E -2.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:49
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.91%E -2.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:49
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.91%E -2.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:49
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.91%E -2.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:49
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.91%E -2.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:49
GTbets1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.49%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 21:35
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.49%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 21:49
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.20%E -4.45%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 21:49
Bet Right1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.49%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.31%E -1.92%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 21:49
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -2.62%E -1.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -4.74%E -2.12%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-07 21:50
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -2.62%E -1.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -4.74%E -2.12%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-07 21:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.74%E -2.12%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:49
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.74%E -2.12%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:50
Grosvenor1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.74%E -2.12%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:50
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.74%E -2.12%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:49
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.74%E -2.12%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:50
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.74%E -2.12%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:50
Bally Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.74%E -2.12%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 21:50
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -5.49%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -5.59%E -2.53%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 21:50
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 21:49
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 21:44
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.49%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 21:50
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.49%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 21:50
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.49%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 21:50
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.06%E -3.69%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 21:49
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.63%E -4.07%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 21:49
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.20%E -4.45%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 21:50
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.20%E -4.45%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 21:49
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 21:50
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 21:50
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.35%E -5.22%K -13.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 21:38
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -10.07%E -6.41%K -17.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 21:50
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.19%E -1.89%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 21:49
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 21:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.49%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 21:49
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.49%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 21:49
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.20%E -4.45%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 21:50
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -0.331%E -0.190%K -0.447%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -10.29%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 21:49
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.48%E -0.858%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -10.29%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 21:49
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.05%E -1.20%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -10.29%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 21:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.49%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -10.29%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 21:49
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.49%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -10.29%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 21:49
Codere (IT)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.55%EV -2.62%E -1.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -12.85%E -6.30%K -12.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 21:46
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%0.2%2026-03-07 21:50
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%0.2%2026-03-07 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-03-07 21:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-03-07 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-03-07 21:49
Novig1.70I 58.82%NM 57.82%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.18%1.7%2026-03-07 21:50