La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Valentin Vacherot v Nuno Borges
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Valentin Vacherot (Casa)
Previsione 57.28%1.75quota equa
EV -0.331%
Vantaggio -0.190%
Kelly -0.447%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.74
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.55%57.04%57.40%61.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.551.651.651.7464.52%60.56%60.61%57.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Nuno Borges (Trasferta)
Previsione 42.72%2.34quota equa
EV +6.37%
Vantaggio +2.56%
Kelly +4.28%
Crescita +0.272%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.49
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.37%42.96%42.60%45.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.042.222.232.4949.02%45.10%44.84%40.16%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (55 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -11.21%E -7.23%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV +6.37%E +2.56%K +4.28%G +0.272% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Pinnacle | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -3.77%E -2.24%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -1.75%E -0.759%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -4.91%E -2.96%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -1.75%E -0.759%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.20%E -4.45%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.75%E -0.759%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 21:47 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -11.21%E -7.23%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -1.75%E -0.759%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -6.06%E -3.69%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -2.17%E -0.949%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 21:44 |
| FanDuel | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.49%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.60%E -1.14%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| SportsBet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -6.06%E -3.69%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -3.46%E -1.53%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.70%EV -8.92%E -5.61%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.30%EV -3.46%E -1.53%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 21:38 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.91%E -2.96%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:43 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.91%E -2.96%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| TABtouch | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.91%E -2.96%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.91%E -2.96%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.91%E -2.96%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| betPARX | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.91%E -2.96%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.91%E -2.96%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| GTbets | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.49%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 21:35 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.49%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.20%E -4.45%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.88%E -1.73%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Bet Right | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.49%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.31%E -1.92%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -2.62%E -1.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -4.74%E -2.12%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -2.62%E -1.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -4.74%E -2.12%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.74%E -2.12%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| LeoVegas | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.74%E -2.12%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.74%E -2.12%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Casumo | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.74%E -2.12%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.74%E -2.12%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Unibet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.74%E -2.12%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Bally Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.74%E -2.12%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -5.49%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -5.59%E -2.53%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 21:44 |
| NordicBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.49%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Betsson | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.49%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.49%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.06%E -3.69%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.63%E -4.07%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.20%E -4.45%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| TAB | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.20%E -4.45%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| 888sport | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.78%E -4.83%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.35%E -5.22%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 21:38 |
| Fliff | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -10.07%E -6.41%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -6.02%E -2.74%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Caesars | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.19%E -1.89%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| BetMGM | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.34%E -2.60%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.49%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Coral | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.49%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Fanatics | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.20%E -4.45%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| theScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -0.331%E -0.190%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -10.29%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.48%E -0.858%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -10.29%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -2.05%E -1.20%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -10.29%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.49%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -10.29%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Neds | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -5.49%E -3.32%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -10.29%E -4.90%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.55%EV -2.62%E -1.54%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -12.85%E -6.30%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 21:46 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65% | 0.2% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65% | 0.2% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 21:49 |
| Novig | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.82% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.18% | 1.7% | 2026-03-07 21:50 |