A Escola das Odds

Sebastian Korda v Alex de Minaur

Início: 2026-03-08 00:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Sebastian Korda (Local)

Previsão 40.11%2.49odd justa
EV +7.10%
Vantagem +2.66%
Kelly +4.25%
Crescimento +0.302%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.67

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.66%40.46%40.20%45.69%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.062.332.312.6748.54%42.97%43.29%37.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Alex de Minaur (Visitante)

Previsão 59.89%1.67odd justa
EV +4.80%
Vantagem +2.74%
Kelly +6.40%
Crescimento +0.307%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.31%59.54%59.80%64.34%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.481.591.581.7567.57%63.04%63.09%57.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -16.56%E -7.96%K -15.34%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV +4.80%E +2.74%K +6.40%G +0.307%5.2%2026-03-07 23:45
TABtouch2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -17.37%E -8.43%K -16.38%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV +3.60%E +2.08%K +4.94%G +0.178%6.3%2026-03-07 23:45
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -15.76%E -7.51%K -14.33%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +2.41%E +1.41%K +3.39%G +0.081%6.1%2026-03-07 23:45
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -15.76%E -7.51%K -14.33%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV +0.010%E +0.006%K +0.015%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 23:45
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -15.76%E -7.51%K -14.33%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV +0.010%E +0.006%K +0.015%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 23:44
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -15.76%E -7.51%K -14.33%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV +0.010%E +0.006%K +0.015%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 23:45
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -7.74%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -1.19%E -0.720%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 23:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -13.76%E -6.40%K -11.96%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -1.19%E -0.720%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 23:44
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -13.76%E -6.40%K -11.96%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -1.19%E -0.720%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 23:44
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -8.54%E -3.75%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.39%E -1.46%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 23:45
Caesars2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.74%E -4.33%K -7.79%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.98%E -1.84%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 23:44
LowVig.ag2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.72%E -0.702%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.58%E -2.23%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-07 23:44
BetOnline.ag2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.72%E -0.702%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.58%E -2.23%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-07 23:44
Unibet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.94%E -2.99%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -3.58%E -2.23%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 23:44
Unibet (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.94%E -2.99%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -3.58%E -2.23%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 23:44
Svenska Spel2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.94%E -2.99%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -3.58%E -2.23%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 23:44
betPARX2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.94%E -2.99%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -3.58%E -2.23%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 23:44
ATG (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.94%E -2.99%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -3.58%E -2.23%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 23:44
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.74%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.58%E -2.23%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 23:44
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -11.75%E -5.34%K -9.79%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -3.58%E -2.23%K -5.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 23:44
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -15.76%E -7.51%K -14.33%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -3.58%E -2.23%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 23:45
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.74%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.18%E -2.61%K -6.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 23:44
Betsson2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.74%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.18%E -2.61%K -6.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 23:44
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -8.54%E -3.75%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -4.18%E -2.61%K -6.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 23:44
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -8.54%E -3.75%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -4.18%E -2.61%K -6.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 23:44
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -8.54%E -3.75%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -4.18%E -2.61%K -6.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 23:44
Pinnacle2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -0.116%E -0.047%K -0.078%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -4.78%E -3.01%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-07 23:39
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.73%E -2.44%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.38%E -3.41%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 23:44
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -9.74%E -4.33%K -7.79%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -5.38%E -3.41%K -9.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 23:45
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV +2.29%E +0.898%K +1.48%G +0.034%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -5.98%E -3.81%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-07 23:25
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.53%E -1.90%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.98%E -3.81%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 23:39
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.74%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.98%E -3.81%K -10.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 23:44
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.74%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.98%E -3.81%K -10.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 23:44
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -11.75%E -5.34%K -9.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -5.98%E -3.81%K -10.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 23:44
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -9.74%E -4.33%K -7.79%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -6.58%E -4.22%K -11.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 23:44
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -10.55%E -4.73%K -8.57%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -6.58%E -4.22%K -11.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 23:44
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -11.75%E -5.34%K -9.79%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -6.58%E -4.22%K -11.75%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 23:44
Unibet (FR)2.52I 39.68%NM 38.08%EV +1.09%E +0.431%K +0.715%G +0.008%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -7.18%E -4.63%K -13.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 23:33
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.73%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.18%E -4.63%K -13.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 23:40
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.74%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.18%E -4.63%K -13.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 23:44
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV +0.285%E +0.114%K +0.190%G +0.001%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -7.78%E -5.05%K -14.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 23:44
Bet Right2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -0.517%E -0.209%K -0.350%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -7.78%E -5.05%K -14.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 23:38
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -1.72%E -0.702%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.37%E -5.47%K -15.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 23:44
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -1.72%E -0.702%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.37%E -5.47%K -15.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 23:38
SportsBet2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV +1.49%E +0.588%K +0.973%G +0.014%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -8.97%E -5.90%K -17.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 23:39
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -3.73%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -8.97%E -5.90%K -17.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 23:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -3.73%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -8.97%E -5.90%K -17.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 23:38
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -3.73%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -8.97%E -5.90%K -17.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 23:38
Bally Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +2.29%E +0.898%K +1.48%G +0.034%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -9.57%E -6.34%K -18.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 23:32
Codere (IT)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV +0.285%E +0.114%K +0.190%G +0.001%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -9.57%E -6.34%K -18.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 23:26
NetBet (FR)2.47I 40.49%NM 37.94%EV -0.919%E -0.372%K -0.625%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.06%EV -9.57%E -6.34%K -18.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 23:29
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +2.29%E +0.898%K +1.48%G +0.034%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -10.17%E -6.78%K -20.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 23:39
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -3.73%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -10.17%E -6.78%K -20.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 23:37
GTbets2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV +7.10%E +2.66%K +4.25%G +0.302%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -11.37%E -7.68%K -23.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 23:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76%0.2%2026-03-07 23:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%0.5%2026-03-07 23:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-03-07 23:44
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-03-07 23:45
Novig2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%6.7%2026-03-07 23:45
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 42.19%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.81%6.8%2026-03-07 23:44