مدرسة الاحتمالات

Sebastian Korda v Alex de Minaur

البداية: 2026-03-08 00:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

54 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Sebastian Korda (المضيف)

التنبؤ 40.11%2.49السعر العادل
EV +7.10%
الأفضلية +2.66%
Kelly +4.25%
النمو +0.302%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.67

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
35.66%40.46%40.20%45.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.062.332.312.6748.54%42.97%43.29%37.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Alex de Minaur (الضيف)

التنبؤ 59.89%1.67السعر العادل
EV +4.80%
الأفضلية +2.74%
Kelly +6.40%
النمو +0.307%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
54.31%59.54%59.80%64.34%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.481.591.581.7567.57%63.04%63.09%57.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (54 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -16.56%E -7.96%K -15.34%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV +4.80%E +2.74%K +6.40%G +0.307%5.2%2026-03-07 23:45
TABtouch2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -17.37%E -8.43%K -16.38%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV +3.60%E +2.08%K +4.94%G +0.178%6.3%2026-03-07 23:45
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -15.76%E -7.51%K -14.33%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +2.41%E +1.41%K +3.39%G +0.081%6.1%2026-03-07 23:45
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -15.76%E -7.51%K -14.33%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV +0.010%E +0.006%K +0.015%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 23:45
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -15.76%E -7.51%K -14.33%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV +0.010%E +0.006%K +0.015%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 23:44
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -15.76%E -7.51%K -14.33%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV +0.010%E +0.006%K +0.015%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 23:45
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -7.74%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -1.19%E -0.720%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 23:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -13.76%E -6.40%K -11.96%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -1.19%E -0.720%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 23:44
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -13.76%E -6.40%K -11.96%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -1.19%E -0.720%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 23:44
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -8.54%E -3.75%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.39%E -1.46%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 23:45
Caesars2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.74%E -4.33%K -7.79%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.98%E -1.84%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 23:44
LowVig.ag2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.72%E -0.702%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.58%E -2.23%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-07 23:44
BetOnline.ag2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.72%E -0.702%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.58%E -2.23%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-07 23:44
Unibet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.94%E -2.99%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -3.58%E -2.23%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 23:44
Unibet (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.94%E -2.99%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -3.58%E -2.23%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 23:44
Svenska Spel2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.94%E -2.99%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -3.58%E -2.23%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 23:44
betPARX2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.94%E -2.99%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -3.58%E -2.23%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 23:44
ATG (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.94%E -2.99%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -3.58%E -2.23%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 23:44
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.74%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.58%E -2.23%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 23:44
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -11.75%E -5.34%K -9.79%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -3.58%E -2.23%K -5.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 23:44
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -15.76%E -7.51%K -14.33%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -3.58%E -2.23%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 23:45
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.74%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.18%E -2.61%K -6.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 23:44
Betsson2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.74%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.18%E -2.61%K -6.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 23:44
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -8.54%E -3.75%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -4.18%E -2.61%K -6.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 23:44
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -8.54%E -3.75%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -4.18%E -2.61%K -6.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 23:44
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -8.54%E -3.75%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -4.18%E -2.61%K -6.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 23:44
Pinnacle2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -0.116%E -0.047%K -0.078%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -4.78%E -3.01%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-07 23:39
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.73%E -2.44%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.38%E -3.41%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 23:44
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -9.74%E -4.33%K -7.79%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -5.38%E -3.41%K -9.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 23:45
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV +2.29%E +0.898%K +1.48%G +0.034%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -5.98%E -3.81%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-07 23:25
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.53%E -1.90%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.98%E -3.81%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 23:39
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.74%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.98%E -3.81%K -10.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 23:44
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.74%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.98%E -3.81%K -10.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 23:44
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -11.75%E -5.34%K -9.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -5.98%E -3.81%K -10.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 23:44
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -9.74%E -4.33%K -7.79%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -6.58%E -4.22%K -11.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 23:44
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -10.55%E -4.73%K -8.57%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -6.58%E -4.22%K -11.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 23:44
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -11.75%E -5.34%K -9.79%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -6.58%E -4.22%K -11.75%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 23:44
Unibet (FR)2.52I 39.68%NM 38.08%EV +1.09%E +0.431%K +0.715%G +0.008%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -7.18%E -4.63%K -13.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 23:33
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.73%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.18%E -4.63%K -13.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 23:40
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.74%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.18%E -4.63%K -13.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 23:44
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV +0.285%E +0.114%K +0.190%G +0.001%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -7.78%E -5.05%K -14.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 23:44
Bet Right2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -0.517%E -0.209%K -0.350%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -7.78%E -5.05%K -14.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 23:38
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -1.72%E -0.702%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.37%E -5.47%K -15.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 23:44
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -1.72%E -0.702%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.37%E -5.47%K -15.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 23:38
SportsBet2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV +1.49%E +0.588%K +0.973%G +0.014%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -8.97%E -5.90%K -17.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 23:39
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -3.73%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -8.97%E -5.90%K -17.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 23:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -3.73%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -8.97%E -5.90%K -17.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 23:38
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -3.73%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -8.97%E -5.90%K -17.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 23:38
Bally Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +2.29%E +0.898%K +1.48%G +0.034%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -9.57%E -6.34%K -18.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 23:32
Codere (IT)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV +0.285%E +0.114%K +0.190%G +0.001%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -9.57%E -6.34%K -18.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 23:26
NetBet (FR)2.47I 40.49%NM 37.94%EV -0.919%E -0.372%K -0.625%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.06%EV -9.57%E -6.34%K -18.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 23:29
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +2.29%E +0.898%K +1.48%G +0.034%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -10.17%E -6.78%K -20.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 23:39
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -3.73%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -10.17%E -6.78%K -20.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 23:37
GTbets2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV +7.10%E +2.66%K +4.25%G +0.302%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -11.37%E -7.68%K -23.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 23:35
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76%0.2%2026-03-07 23:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%0.5%2026-03-07 23:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-03-07 23:44
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-03-07 23:45
Novig2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%6.7%2026-03-07 23:45
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 42.19%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.81%6.8%2026-03-07 23:44