L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Sebastian Korda v Alex de Minaur
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Sebastian Korda (Local)
Prévision 40.11%2.49cote équitable
EV +7.10%
Avantage +2.66%
Kelly +4.25%
Croissance +0.302%
avec la cote maximale 2.67
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.66%40.46%40.20%45.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.062.332.312.6748.54%42.97%43.29%37.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Alex de Minaur (Visiteur)
Prévision 59.89%1.67cote équitable
EV +4.80%
Avantage +2.74%
Kelly +6.40%
Croissance +0.307%
avec la cote maximale 1.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.31%59.54%59.80%64.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.481.591.581.7567.57%63.04%63.09%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -16.56%E -7.96%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV +4.80%E +2.74%K +6.40%G +0.307% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 23:45 |
| TABtouch | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -17.37%E -8.43%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV +3.60%E +2.08%K +4.94%G +0.178% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 23:45 |
| theScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -15.76%E -7.51%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +2.41%E +1.41%K +3.39%G +0.081% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 23:45 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -15.76%E -7.51%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV +0.010%E +0.006%K +0.015%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 23:45 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -15.76%E -7.51%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV +0.010%E +0.006%K +0.015%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| BetMGM | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -15.76%E -7.51%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV +0.010%E +0.006%K +0.015%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 23:45 |
| Bovada | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -7.74%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -1.19%E -0.720%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -13.76%E -6.40%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -1.19%E -0.720%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -13.76%E -6.40%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -1.19%E -0.720%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| Casumo | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -8.54%E -3.75%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.39%E -1.46%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 23:45 |
| Caesars | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.74%E -4.33%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.98%E -1.84%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.72%E -0.702%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.58%E -2.23%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.72%E -0.702%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.58%E -2.23%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| Unibet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.94%E -2.99%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -3.58%E -2.23%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.94%E -2.99%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -3.58%E -2.23%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.94%E -2.99%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -3.58%E -2.23%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| betPARX | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.94%E -2.99%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -3.58%E -2.23%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.94%E -2.99%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -3.58%E -2.23%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.74%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.58%E -2.23%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -11.75%E -5.34%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -3.58%E -2.23%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| Fliff | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -15.76%E -7.51%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -3.58%E -2.23%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 23:45 |
| NordicBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.74%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.18%E -2.61%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| Betsson | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.74%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.18%E -2.61%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| Grosvenor | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -8.54%E -3.75%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -4.18%E -2.61%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -8.54%E -3.75%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -4.18%E -2.61%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -8.54%E -3.75%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -4.18%E -2.61%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| Pinnacle | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -0.116%E -0.047%K -0.078%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -4.78%E -3.01%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-07 23:39 |
| DraftKings | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.73%E -2.44%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.38%E -3.41%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -9.74%E -4.33%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -5.38%E -3.41%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 23:45 |
| Coolbet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV +2.29%E +0.898%K +1.48%G +0.034% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -5.98%E -3.81%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-07 23:25 |
| William Hill | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.53%E -1.90%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.98%E -3.81%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 23:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.74%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.98%E -3.81%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.74%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.98%E -3.81%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| Fanatics | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -11.75%E -5.34%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -5.98%E -3.81%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| LeoVegas | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -9.74%E -4.33%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -6.58%E -4.22%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -10.55%E -4.73%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -6.58%E -4.22%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -11.75%E -5.34%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -6.58%E -4.22%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.08%EV +1.09%E +0.431%K +0.715%G +0.008% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -7.18%E -4.63%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 23:33 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.73%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.18%E -4.63%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 23:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.74%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.18%E -4.63%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| FanDuel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV +0.285%E +0.114%K +0.190%G +0.001% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -7.78%E -5.05%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| Bet Right | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -0.517%E -0.209%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -7.78%E -5.05%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 23:38 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -1.72%E -0.702%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.37%E -5.47%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -1.72%E -0.702%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.37%E -5.47%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 23:38 |
| SportsBet | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV +1.49%E +0.588%K +0.973%G +0.014% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -8.97%E -5.90%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 23:39 |
| TAB | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -3.73%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -8.97%E -5.90%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -3.73%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -8.97%E -5.90%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 23:38 |
| Neds | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -3.73%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -8.97%E -5.90%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 23:38 |
| Bally Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +2.29%E +0.898%K +1.48%G +0.034% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -9.57%E -6.34%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 23:32 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV +0.285%E +0.114%K +0.190%G +0.001% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -9.57%E -6.34%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 23:26 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.94%EV -0.919%E -0.372%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.06%EV -9.57%E -6.34%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 23:29 |
| PlayUp | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +2.29%E +0.898%K +1.48%G +0.034% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -10.17%E -6.78%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 23:39 |
| Bet Victor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -3.73%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -10.17%E -6.78%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 23:37 |
| GTbets | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV +7.10%E +2.66%K +4.25%G +0.302% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -11.37%E -7.68%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 23:35 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76% | 0.2% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 0.5% | 2026-03-07 23:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 0.5% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| Matchbook | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 0.5% | 2026-03-07 23:45 |
| Novig | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 23:45 |
| Smarkets | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.19% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.81% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |