Die Wettquotenschule

Sebastian Korda v Alex de Minaur

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-08 00:30 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

54 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Sebastian Korda (Heim)

Prognose 40.11%2.49faire Quote
EV +7.10%
Vorteil +2.66%
Kelly +4.25%
Wachstum +0.302%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.67

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
35.66%40.46%40.20%45.69%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.062.332.312.6748.54%42.97%43.29%37.45%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Alex de Minaur (Auswärts)

Prognose 59.89%1.67faire Quote
EV +4.80%
Vorteil +2.74%
Kelly +6.40%
Wachstum +0.307%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.75

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
54.31%59.54%59.80%64.34%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.481.591.581.7567.57%63.04%63.09%57.14%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (54 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -16.56%E -7.96%K -15.34%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV +4.80%E +2.74%K +6.40%G +0.307%5.2%2026-03-07 23:45
TABtouch2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -17.37%E -8.43%K -16.38%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV +3.60%E +2.08%K +4.94%G +0.178%6.3%2026-03-07 23:45
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -15.76%E -7.51%K -14.33%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +2.41%E +1.41%K +3.39%G +0.081%6.1%2026-03-07 23:45
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -15.76%E -7.51%K -14.33%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV +0.010%E +0.006%K +0.015%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 23:45
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -15.76%E -7.51%K -14.33%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV +0.010%E +0.006%K +0.015%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 23:44
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -15.76%E -7.51%K -14.33%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV +0.010%E +0.006%K +0.015%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 23:45
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -7.74%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -1.19%E -0.720%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 23:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -13.76%E -6.40%K -11.96%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -1.19%E -0.720%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 23:44
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -13.76%E -6.40%K -11.96%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -1.19%E -0.720%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 23:44
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -8.54%E -3.75%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.39%E -1.46%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 23:45
Caesars2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.74%E -4.33%K -7.79%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.98%E -1.84%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 23:44
LowVig.ag2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.72%E -0.702%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.58%E -2.23%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-07 23:44
BetOnline.ag2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.72%E -0.702%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.58%E -2.23%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-07 23:44
Unibet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.94%E -2.99%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -3.58%E -2.23%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 23:44
Unibet (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.94%E -2.99%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -3.58%E -2.23%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 23:44
Svenska Spel2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.94%E -2.99%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -3.58%E -2.23%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 23:44
betPARX2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.94%E -2.99%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -3.58%E -2.23%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 23:44
ATG (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.94%E -2.99%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -3.58%E -2.23%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 23:44
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.74%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.58%E -2.23%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 23:44
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -11.75%E -5.34%K -9.79%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -3.58%E -2.23%K -5.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 23:44
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -15.76%E -7.51%K -14.33%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -3.58%E -2.23%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 23:45
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.74%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.18%E -2.61%K -6.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 23:44
Betsson2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.74%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.18%E -2.61%K -6.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 23:44
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -8.54%E -3.75%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -4.18%E -2.61%K -6.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 23:44
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -8.54%E -3.75%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -4.18%E -2.61%K -6.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 23:44
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -8.54%E -3.75%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -4.18%E -2.61%K -6.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 23:44
Pinnacle2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -0.116%E -0.047%K -0.078%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -4.78%E -3.01%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-07 23:39
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.73%E -2.44%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.38%E -3.41%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 23:44
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -9.74%E -4.33%K -7.79%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -5.38%E -3.41%K -9.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 23:45
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV +2.29%E +0.898%K +1.48%G +0.034%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -5.98%E -3.81%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-07 23:25
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.53%E -1.90%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.98%E -3.81%K -10.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 23:39
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.74%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.98%E -3.81%K -10.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 23:44
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.74%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.98%E -3.81%K -10.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 23:44
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -11.75%E -5.34%K -9.79%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -5.98%E -3.81%K -10.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 23:44
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -9.74%E -4.33%K -7.79%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -6.58%E -4.22%K -11.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 23:44
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -10.55%E -4.73%K -8.57%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -6.58%E -4.22%K -11.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 23:44
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -11.75%E -5.34%K -9.79%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -6.58%E -4.22%K -11.75%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 23:44
Unibet (FR)2.52I 39.68%NM 38.08%EV +1.09%E +0.431%K +0.715%G +0.008%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -7.18%E -4.63%K -13.05%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-07 23:33
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.73%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.18%E -4.63%K -13.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 23:40
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.74%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.18%E -4.63%K -13.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 23:44
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV +0.285%E +0.114%K +0.190%G +0.001%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -7.78%E -5.05%K -14.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 23:44
Bet Right2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -0.517%E -0.209%K -0.350%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -7.78%E -5.05%K -14.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 23:38
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -1.72%E -0.702%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.37%E -5.47%K -15.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 23:44
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -1.72%E -0.702%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.37%E -5.47%K -15.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 23:38
SportsBet2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV +1.49%E +0.588%K +0.973%G +0.014%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -8.97%E -5.90%K -17.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 23:39
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -3.73%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -8.97%E -5.90%K -17.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 23:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -3.73%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -8.97%E -5.90%K -17.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 23:38
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -3.73%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -8.97%E -5.90%K -17.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 23:38
Bally Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +2.29%E +0.898%K +1.48%G +0.034%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -9.57%E -6.34%K -18.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 23:32
Codere (IT)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV +0.285%E +0.114%K +0.190%G +0.001%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -9.57%E -6.34%K -18.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 23:26
NetBet (FR)2.47I 40.49%NM 37.94%EV -0.919%E -0.372%K -0.625%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.06%EV -9.57%E -6.34%K -18.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 23:29
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +2.29%E +0.898%K +1.48%G +0.034%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -10.17%E -6.78%K -20.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 23:39
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -3.73%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -10.17%E -6.78%K -20.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 23:37
GTbets2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV +7.10%E +2.66%K +4.25%G +0.302%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -11.37%E -7.68%K -23.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 23:35
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76%0.2%2026-03-07 23:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%0.5%2026-03-07 23:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-03-07 23:44
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-03-07 23:45
Novig2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%6.7%2026-03-07 23:45
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 42.19%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.81%6.8%2026-03-07 23:44