La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Sebastian Korda v Alex de Minaur
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sebastian Korda (Local)
Predicción 40.11%2.49momio equitativo
EV +7.10%
Ventaja +2.66%
Kelly +4.25%
Crecimiento +0.302%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.67
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.66%40.46%40.20%45.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.062.332.312.6748.54%42.97%43.29%37.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Alex de Minaur (Visitante)
Predicción 59.89%1.67momio equitativo
EV +4.80%
Ventaja +2.74%
Kelly +6.40%
Crecimiento +0.307%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.31%59.54%59.80%64.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.481.591.581.7567.57%63.04%63.09%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -16.56%E -7.96%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV +4.80%E +2.74%K +6.40%G +0.307% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 23:45 |
| TABtouch | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -17.37%E -8.43%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.35%EV +3.60%E +2.08%K +4.94%G +0.178% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 23:45 |
| theScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -15.76%E -7.51%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV +2.41%E +1.41%K +3.39%G +0.081% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 23:45 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -15.76%E -7.51%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV +0.010%E +0.006%K +0.015%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 23:45 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -15.76%E -7.51%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV +0.010%E +0.006%K +0.015%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| BetMGM | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -15.76%E -7.51%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV +0.010%E +0.006%K +0.015%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 23:45 |
| Bovada | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -7.74%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -1.19%E -0.720%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -13.76%E -6.40%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -1.19%E -0.720%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -13.76%E -6.40%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -1.19%E -0.720%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| Casumo | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -8.54%E -3.75%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.39%E -1.46%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 23:45 |
| Caesars | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.74%E -4.33%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.98%E -1.84%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.72%E -0.702%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.58%E -2.23%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.72%E -0.702%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.58%E -2.23%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| Unibet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.94%E -2.99%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -3.58%E -2.23%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.94%E -2.99%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -3.58%E -2.23%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.94%E -2.99%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -3.58%E -2.23%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| betPARX | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.94%E -2.99%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -3.58%E -2.23%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.94%E -2.99%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -3.58%E -2.23%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.74%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.58%E -2.23%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -11.75%E -5.34%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -3.58%E -2.23%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| Fliff | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -15.76%E -7.51%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -3.58%E -2.23%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 23:45 |
| NordicBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.74%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.18%E -2.61%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| Betsson | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.74%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.18%E -2.61%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| Grosvenor | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -8.54%E -3.75%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -4.18%E -2.61%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -8.54%E -3.75%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -4.18%E -2.61%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -8.54%E -3.75%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -4.18%E -2.61%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| Pinnacle | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -0.116%E -0.047%K -0.078%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -4.78%E -3.01%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-07 23:39 |
| DraftKings | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.73%E -2.44%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.38%E -3.41%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -9.74%E -4.33%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -5.38%E -3.41%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 23:45 |
| Coolbet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV +2.29%E +0.898%K +1.48%G +0.034% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -5.98%E -3.81%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-07 23:25 |
| William Hill | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.53%E -1.90%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.98%E -3.81%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 23:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.74%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.98%E -3.81%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.74%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.98%E -3.81%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| Fanatics | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -11.75%E -5.34%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -5.98%E -3.81%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| LeoVegas | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -9.74%E -4.33%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -6.58%E -4.22%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -10.55%E -4.73%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -6.58%E -4.22%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -11.75%E -5.34%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -6.58%E -4.22%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.08%EV +1.09%E +0.431%K +0.715%G +0.008% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -7.18%E -4.63%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-07 23:33 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.73%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.18%E -4.63%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 23:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.74%E -3.36%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.18%E -4.63%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| FanDuel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV +0.285%E +0.114%K +0.190%G +0.001% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -7.78%E -5.05%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| Bet Right | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -0.517%E -0.209%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -7.78%E -5.05%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 23:38 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -1.72%E -0.702%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.37%E -5.47%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -1.72%E -0.702%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.37%E -5.47%K -15.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 23:38 |
| SportsBet | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV +1.49%E +0.588%K +0.973%G +0.014% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -8.97%E -5.90%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 23:39 |
| TAB | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -3.73%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -8.97%E -5.90%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -3.73%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -8.97%E -5.90%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 23:38 |
| Neds | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -3.73%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -8.97%E -5.90%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 23:38 |
| Bally Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +2.29%E +0.898%K +1.48%G +0.034% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -9.57%E -6.34%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 23:32 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV +0.285%E +0.114%K +0.190%G +0.001% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -9.57%E -6.34%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 23:26 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.94%EV -0.919%E -0.372%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.06%EV -9.57%E -6.34%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 23:29 |
| PlayUp | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +2.29%E +0.898%K +1.48%G +0.034% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -10.17%E -6.78%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 23:39 |
| Bet Victor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -3.73%E -1.55%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -10.17%E -6.78%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 23:37 |
| GTbets | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV +7.10%E +2.66%K +4.25%G +0.302% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -11.37%E -7.68%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-07 23:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76% | 0.2% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 0.5% | 2026-03-07 23:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 0.5% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |
| Matchbook | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 0.5% | 2026-03-07 23:45 |
| Novig | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 23:45 |
| Smarkets | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.19% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.81% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 23:44 |