The School of Odds

Mattia Bellucci v Gabriel Diallo

Matchstart: 2026-03-04 22:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

57 spelbolag (22 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Mattia Bellucci (Hemma)

Prognos 46.41%2.15rättvist odds
EV +2.11%
Fördel +0.958%
Kelly +1.76%
Tillväxt +0.037%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.20

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
42.26%46.22%46.53%48.30%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.912.002.002.2052.36%49.89%50.00%45.45%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Gabriel Diallo (Borta)

Prognos 53.59%1.87rättvist odds
EV -0.864%
Fördel -0.467%
Kelly -1.02%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.85

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
51.70%53.78%53.47%57.74%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.611.771.781.8562.11%56.47%56.18%54.05%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (57 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV +2.11%E +0.958%K +1.76%G +0.037%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -13.72%E -8.52%K -22.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 21:45
DraftKings2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV +1.18%E +0.541%K +1.000%G +0.012%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -10.51%E -6.29%K -15.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 21:44
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.53%E -1.21%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.22%E -3.56%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 21:44
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.53%E -1.21%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.29%E -4.22%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 21:40
Pinnacle2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80%EV -3.46%E -1.66%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20%EV -1.94%E -1.06%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-04 21:15
Unibet (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -4.39%E -2.13%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -4.61%E -2.59%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 21:45
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.39%E -2.13%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.69%E -3.23%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 21:45
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.85%E -2.37%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.22%E -3.56%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 21:44
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.85%E -2.37%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.76%E -3.88%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 21:45
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.85%E -2.37%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.29%E -4.22%K -9.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-04 21:45
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.85%E -2.37%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.90%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 21:40
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.85%E -2.37%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.90%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 21:45
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.85%E -2.37%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.90%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 21:40
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.85%E -2.37%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.90%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 21:40
FanDuel2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.32%E -2.61%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 21:45
Unibet (FR)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.32%E -2.61%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.08%E -2.28%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 21:37
GTbets2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.78%E -2.85%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.08%E -2.28%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 21:05
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 45.14%EV -5.78%E -2.85%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.86%EV -10.51%E -6.29%K -15.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-04 21:43
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.25%E -3.09%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 21:40
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.25%E -3.09%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 21:05
Bally Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.25%E -3.09%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 21:05
SportsBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -6.25%E -3.09%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.22%E -3.56%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-04 21:44
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.17%E -3.59%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.94%E -1.06%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 21:45
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.17%E -3.59%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 21:35
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.17%E -3.59%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 21:05
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.17%E -3.59%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 21:05
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.17%E -3.59%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.15%E -2.91%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 20:59
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.17%E -3.59%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.15%E -2.91%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 21:40
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.17%E -3.59%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.15%E -2.91%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 21:05
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.17%E -3.59%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.15%E -2.91%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 21:45
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.17%E -3.59%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.29%E -4.22%K -9.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 21:45
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.17%E -3.59%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.37%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-04 21:35
LowVig.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -8.10%E -4.09%K -8.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -0.864%E -0.467%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 21:05
BetOnline.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -8.10%E -4.09%K -8.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -0.864%E -0.467%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 21:05
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -8.10%E -4.09%K -8.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 21:44
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.57%E -4.35%K -8.83%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.47%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-04 21:45
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.57%E -4.35%K -8.83%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.47%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-04 21:45
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.57%E -4.35%K -8.83%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.47%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-04 21:45
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.57%E -4.35%K -8.83%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.47%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-04 21:45
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.57%E -4.35%K -8.83%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.47%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-04 21:45
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.57%E -4.35%K -8.83%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.47%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-04 21:45
NetBet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -8.57%E -4.35%K -8.83%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -6.22%E -3.56%K -8.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 21:10
Codere (IT)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%EV -9.03%E -4.61%K -9.41%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%EV -6.22%E -3.56%K -8.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-04 21:05
Virgin Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.49%E -4.87%K -9.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 21:45
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.49%E -4.87%K -9.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 21:45
TABtouch1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.49%E -4.87%K -9.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 21:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.49%E -4.87%K -9.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 21:05
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.49%E -4.87%K -9.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 21:05
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.49%E -4.87%K -9.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 21:45
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.49%E -4.87%K -9.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 21:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -9.49%E -4.87%K -9.99%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -4.61%E -2.59%K -5.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 21:05
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -9.49%E -4.87%K -9.99%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -4.61%E -2.59%K -5.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 21:05
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -9.49%E -4.87%K -9.99%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -8.37%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-04 21:45
Grosvenor1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -9.96%E -5.13%K -10.59%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 21:45
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -9.96%E -5.13%K -10.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.30%EV -8.90%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-04 21:45
LeoVegas1.92I 52.08%NM 48.11%EV -10.89%E -5.67%K -11.83%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%EV -4.61%E -2.59%K -5.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-04 21:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.96%EV -11.35%E -5.94%K -12.47%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.04%EV -5.69%E -3.23%K -7.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-04 21:45
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-03-04 21:45
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-03-04 21:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-03-04 21:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%6.1%2026-03-04 21:45