Die Wettquotenschule

Mattia Bellucci v Gabriel Diallo

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-04 22:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

57 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Mattia Bellucci (Heim)

Prognose 46.41%2.15faire Quote
EV +2.11%
Vorteil +0.958%
Kelly +1.76%
Wachstum +0.037%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.20

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
42.26%46.22%46.53%48.30%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.912.002.002.2052.36%49.89%50.00%45.45%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Gabriel Diallo (Auswärts)

Prognose 53.59%1.87faire Quote
EV -0.864%
Vorteil -0.467%
Kelly -1.02%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.85

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
51.70%53.78%53.47%57.74%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.611.771.781.8562.11%56.47%56.18%54.05%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (57 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV +2.11%E +0.958%K +1.76%G +0.037%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -13.72%E -8.52%K -22.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 21:45
DraftKings2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV +1.18%E +0.541%K +1.000%G +0.012%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -10.51%E -6.29%K -15.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 21:44
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.53%E -1.21%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.22%E -3.56%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 21:44
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.53%E -1.21%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.29%E -4.22%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 21:40
Pinnacle2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80%EV -3.46%E -1.66%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20%EV -1.94%E -1.06%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-04 21:15
Unibet (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -4.39%E -2.13%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -4.61%E -2.59%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 21:45
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.39%E -2.13%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.69%E -3.23%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 21:45
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.85%E -2.37%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.22%E -3.56%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 21:44
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.85%E -2.37%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.76%E -3.88%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 21:45
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.85%E -2.37%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.29%E -4.22%K -9.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-04 21:45
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.85%E -2.37%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.90%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 21:40
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.85%E -2.37%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.90%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 21:45
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.85%E -2.37%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.90%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 21:40
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.85%E -2.37%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.90%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 21:40
FanDuel2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.32%E -2.61%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 21:45
Unibet (FR)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.32%E -2.61%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.08%E -2.28%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 21:37
GTbets2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.78%E -2.85%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.08%E -2.28%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 21:05
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 45.14%EV -5.78%E -2.85%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.86%EV -10.51%E -6.29%K -15.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-04 21:43
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.25%E -3.09%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 21:40
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.25%E -3.09%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 21:05
Bally Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.25%E -3.09%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 21:05
SportsBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -6.25%E -3.09%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.22%E -3.56%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-04 21:44
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.17%E -3.59%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.94%E -1.06%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 21:45
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.17%E -3.59%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 21:35
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.17%E -3.59%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 21:05
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.17%E -3.59%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 21:05
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.17%E -3.59%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.15%E -2.91%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 20:59
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.17%E -3.59%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.15%E -2.91%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 21:40
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.17%E -3.59%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.15%E -2.91%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 21:05
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.17%E -3.59%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.15%E -2.91%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 21:45
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.17%E -3.59%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.29%E -4.22%K -9.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 21:45
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.17%E -3.59%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.37%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-04 21:35
LowVig.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -8.10%E -4.09%K -8.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -0.864%E -0.467%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 21:05
BetOnline.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -8.10%E -4.09%K -8.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -0.864%E -0.467%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 21:05
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -8.10%E -4.09%K -8.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 21:44
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.57%E -4.35%K -8.83%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.47%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-04 21:45
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.57%E -4.35%K -8.83%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.47%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-04 21:45
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.57%E -4.35%K -8.83%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.47%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-04 21:45
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.57%E -4.35%K -8.83%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.47%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-04 21:45
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.57%E -4.35%K -8.83%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.47%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-04 21:45
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.57%E -4.35%K -8.83%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.47%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-04 21:45
NetBet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -8.57%E -4.35%K -8.83%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -6.22%E -3.56%K -8.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 21:10
Codere (IT)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%EV -9.03%E -4.61%K -9.41%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%EV -6.22%E -3.56%K -8.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-04 21:05
Virgin Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.49%E -4.87%K -9.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 21:45
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.49%E -4.87%K -9.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 21:45
TABtouch1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.49%E -4.87%K -9.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 21:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.49%E -4.87%K -9.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 21:05
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.49%E -4.87%K -9.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 21:05
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.49%E -4.87%K -9.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 21:45
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.49%E -4.87%K -9.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 21:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -9.49%E -4.87%K -9.99%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -4.61%E -2.59%K -5.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 21:05
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -9.49%E -4.87%K -9.99%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -4.61%E -2.59%K -5.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 21:05
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -9.49%E -4.87%K -9.99%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -8.37%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-04 21:45
Grosvenor1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -9.96%E -5.13%K -10.59%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 21:45
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -9.96%E -5.13%K -10.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.30%EV -8.90%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-04 21:45
LeoVegas1.92I 52.08%NM 48.11%EV -10.89%E -5.67%K -11.83%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%EV -4.61%E -2.59%K -5.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-04 21:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.96%EV -11.35%E -5.94%K -12.47%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.04%EV -5.69%E -3.23%K -7.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-04 21:45
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (4)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-03-04 21:45
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-03-04 21:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-03-04 21:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%6.1%2026-03-04 21:45