Szkoła Kursów

Mattia Bellucci v Gabriel Diallo

Początek: 2026-03-04 22:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

57 bukmacherów (22 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Mattia Bellucci (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 46.41%2.15kurs godziwy
EV +2.11%
Przewaga +0.958%
Kelly +1.76%
Wzrost +0.037%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.20

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
42.26%46.22%46.53%48.30%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.912.002.002.2052.36%49.89%50.00%45.45%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Gabriel Diallo (Goście)

Prognoza 53.59%1.87kurs godziwy
EV -0.864%
Przewaga -0.467%
Kelly -1.02%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.85

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
51.70%53.78%53.47%57.74%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.611.771.781.8562.11%56.47%56.18%54.05%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (57 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV +2.11%E +0.958%K +1.76%G +0.037%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -13.72%E -8.52%K -22.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 21:45
DraftKings2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV +1.18%E +0.541%K +1.000%G +0.012%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -10.51%E -6.29%K -15.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 21:44
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.53%E -1.21%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.22%E -3.56%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 21:44
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.53%E -1.21%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.29%E -4.22%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 21:40
Pinnacle2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80%EV -3.46%E -1.66%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20%EV -1.94%E -1.06%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-04 21:15
Unibet (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -4.39%E -2.13%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -4.61%E -2.59%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 21:45
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.39%E -2.13%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.69%E -3.23%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 21:45
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.85%E -2.37%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.22%E -3.56%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 21:44
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.85%E -2.37%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.76%E -3.88%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 21:45
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.85%E -2.37%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.29%E -4.22%K -9.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-04 21:45
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.85%E -2.37%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.90%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 21:40
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.85%E -2.37%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.90%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 21:45
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.85%E -2.37%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.90%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 21:40
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.85%E -2.37%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.90%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 21:40
FanDuel2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.32%E -2.61%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 21:45
Unibet (FR)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.32%E -2.61%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.08%E -2.28%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 21:37
GTbets2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.78%E -2.85%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.08%E -2.28%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 21:05
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 45.14%EV -5.78%E -2.85%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.86%EV -10.51%E -6.29%K -15.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-04 21:43
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.25%E -3.09%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 21:40
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.25%E -3.09%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 21:05
Bally Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.25%E -3.09%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 21:05
SportsBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -6.25%E -3.09%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.22%E -3.56%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-04 21:44
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.17%E -3.59%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.94%E -1.06%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 21:45
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.17%E -3.59%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 21:35
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.17%E -3.59%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 21:05
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.17%E -3.59%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 21:05
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.17%E -3.59%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.15%E -2.91%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 20:59
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.17%E -3.59%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.15%E -2.91%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 21:40
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.17%E -3.59%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.15%E -2.91%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 21:05
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.17%E -3.59%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.15%E -2.91%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 21:45
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.17%E -3.59%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.29%E -4.22%K -9.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 21:45
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.17%E -3.59%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.37%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-04 21:35
LowVig.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -8.10%E -4.09%K -8.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -0.864%E -0.467%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 21:05
BetOnline.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -8.10%E -4.09%K -8.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -0.864%E -0.467%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 21:05
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -8.10%E -4.09%K -8.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 21:44
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.57%E -4.35%K -8.83%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.47%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-04 21:45
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.57%E -4.35%K -8.83%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.47%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-04 21:45
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.57%E -4.35%K -8.83%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.47%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-04 21:45
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.57%E -4.35%K -8.83%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.47%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-04 21:45
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.57%E -4.35%K -8.83%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.47%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-04 21:45
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.57%E -4.35%K -8.83%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.47%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-04 21:45
NetBet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -8.57%E -4.35%K -8.83%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -6.22%E -3.56%K -8.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 21:10
Codere (IT)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%EV -9.03%E -4.61%K -9.41%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%EV -6.22%E -3.56%K -8.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-04 21:05
Virgin Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.49%E -4.87%K -9.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 21:45
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.49%E -4.87%K -9.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 21:45
TABtouch1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.49%E -4.87%K -9.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 21:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.49%E -4.87%K -9.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 21:05
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.49%E -4.87%K -9.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 21:05
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.49%E -4.87%K -9.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 21:45
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.49%E -4.87%K -9.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 21:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -9.49%E -4.87%K -9.99%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -4.61%E -2.59%K -5.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 21:05
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -9.49%E -4.87%K -9.99%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -4.61%E -2.59%K -5.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 21:05
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -9.49%E -4.87%K -9.99%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -8.37%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-04 21:45
Grosvenor1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -9.96%E -5.13%K -10.59%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 21:45
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -9.96%E -5.13%K -10.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.30%EV -8.90%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-04 21:45
LeoVegas1.92I 52.08%NM 48.11%EV -10.89%E -5.67%K -11.83%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%EV -4.61%E -2.59%K -5.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-04 21:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.96%EV -11.35%E -5.94%K -12.47%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.04%EV -5.69%E -3.23%K -7.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-04 21:45
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (4)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-03-04 21:45
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-03-04 21:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-03-04 21:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%6.1%2026-03-04 21:45