A Escola das Odds

Mattia Bellucci v Gabriel Diallo

Início: 2026-03-04 22:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Mattia Bellucci (Local)

Previsão 46.41%2.15odd justa
EV +2.11%
Vantagem +0.958%
Kelly +1.76%
Crescimento +0.037%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.26%46.22%46.53%48.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.912.002.002.2052.36%49.89%50.00%45.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Gabriel Diallo (Visitante)

Previsão 53.59%1.87odd justa
EV -0.864%
Vantagem -0.467%
Kelly -1.02%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.70%53.78%53.47%57.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.611.771.781.8562.11%56.47%56.18%54.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV +2.11%E +0.958%K +1.76%G +0.037%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -13.72%E -8.52%K -22.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 21:45
DraftKings2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV +1.18%E +0.541%K +1.000%G +0.012%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -10.51%E -6.29%K -15.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 21:44
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.53%E -1.21%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.22%E -3.56%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 21:44
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.53%E -1.21%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.29%E -4.22%K -9.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 21:40
Pinnacle2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80%EV -3.46%E -1.66%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20%EV -1.94%E -1.06%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-04 21:15
Unibet (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -4.39%E -2.13%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -4.61%E -2.59%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 21:45
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.39%E -2.13%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.69%E -3.23%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 21:45
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.85%E -2.37%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.22%E -3.56%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 21:44
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.85%E -2.37%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.76%E -3.88%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 21:45
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.85%E -2.37%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.29%E -4.22%K -9.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-04 21:45
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.85%E -2.37%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.90%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 21:40
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.85%E -2.37%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.90%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 21:45
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.85%E -2.37%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.90%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 21:40
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.85%E -2.37%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.90%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 21:40
FanDuel2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.32%E -2.61%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 21:45
Unibet (FR)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.32%E -2.61%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.08%E -2.28%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 21:37
GTbets2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.78%E -2.85%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.08%E -2.28%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 21:05
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 45.14%EV -5.78%E -2.85%K -5.61%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.86%EV -10.51%E -6.29%K -15.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-04 21:43
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.25%E -3.09%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 21:40
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.25%E -3.09%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 21:05
Bally Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.25%E -3.09%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 21:05
SportsBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -6.25%E -3.09%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.22%E -3.56%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-04 21:44
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.17%E -3.59%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.94%E -1.06%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 21:45
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.17%E -3.59%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 21:35
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.17%E -3.59%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 21:05
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.17%E -3.59%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 21:05
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.17%E -3.59%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.15%E -2.91%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 20:59
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.17%E -3.59%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.15%E -2.91%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 21:40
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.17%E -3.59%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.15%E -2.91%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 21:05
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.17%E -3.59%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.15%E -2.91%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 21:45
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.17%E -3.59%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.29%E -4.22%K -9.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 21:45
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.17%E -3.59%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.37%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-04 21:35
LowVig.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -8.10%E -4.09%K -8.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -0.864%E -0.467%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 21:05
BetOnline.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -8.10%E -4.09%K -8.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -0.864%E -0.467%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 21:05
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -8.10%E -4.09%K -8.27%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 21:44
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.57%E -4.35%K -8.83%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.47%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-04 21:45
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.57%E -4.35%K -8.83%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.47%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-04 21:45
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.57%E -4.35%K -8.83%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.47%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-04 21:45
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.57%E -4.35%K -8.83%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.47%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-04 21:45
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.57%E -4.35%K -8.83%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.47%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-04 21:45
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.57%E -4.35%K -8.83%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.47%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-04 21:45
NetBet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -8.57%E -4.35%K -8.83%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -6.22%E -3.56%K -8.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 21:10
Codere (IT)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%EV -9.03%E -4.61%K -9.41%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%EV -6.22%E -3.56%K -8.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-04 21:05
Virgin Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.49%E -4.87%K -9.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 21:45
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.49%E -4.87%K -9.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 21:45
TABtouch1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.49%E -4.87%K -9.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 21:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.49%E -4.87%K -9.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 21:05
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.49%E -4.87%K -9.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 21:05
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.49%E -4.87%K -9.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 21:45
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.49%E -4.87%K -9.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 21:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -9.49%E -4.87%K -9.99%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -4.61%E -2.59%K -5.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 21:05
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -9.49%E -4.87%K -9.99%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -4.61%E -2.59%K -5.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 21:05
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -9.49%E -4.87%K -9.99%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -8.37%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-04 21:45
Grosvenor1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -9.96%E -5.13%K -10.59%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 21:45
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -9.96%E -5.13%K -10.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.30%EV -8.90%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-04 21:45
LeoVegas1.92I 52.08%NM 48.11%EV -10.89%E -5.67%K -11.83%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%EV -4.61%E -2.59%K -5.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-04 21:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.96%EV -11.35%E -5.94%K -12.47%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.04%EV -5.69%E -3.23%K -7.48%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-04 21:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-03-04 21:45
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-03-04 21:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-03-04 21:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%6.1%2026-03-04 21:45