Idioma:Português
Mattia Bellucci v Gabriel Diallo
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Mattia Bellucci (Local)
Previsão 46.41%2.15odd justa
EV +2.11%
Vantagem +0.958%
Kelly +1.76%
Crescimento +0.037%
pressupondo odds máximas de 2.20
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.26%46.22%46.53%48.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.912.002.002.2052.36%49.89%50.00%45.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Gabriel Diallo (Visitante)
Previsão 53.59%1.87odd justa
EV -0.864%
Vantagem -0.467%
Kelly -1.02%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.85
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.70%53.78%53.47%57.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.611.771.781.8562.11%56.47%56.18%54.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Mattia Bellucci (Local): 46.41%; Gabriel Diallo (Visitante): 53.59%. Para Mattia Bellucci (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.15. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.20, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.11%.
Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV +2.11%E +0.958%K +1.76%G +0.037% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -13.72%E -8.52%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV +1.18%E +0.541%K +1.000%G +0.012% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -10.51%E -6.29%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 21:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.53%E -1.21%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.22%E -3.56%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 21:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.53%E -1.21%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.29%E -4.22%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 21:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80%EV -3.46%E -1.66%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20%EV -1.94%E -1.06%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -4.39%E -2.13%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -4.61%E -2.59%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.39%E -2.13%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.69%E -3.23%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.85%E -2.37%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.22%E -3.56%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 21:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.85%E -2.37%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.76%E -3.88%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.85%E -2.37%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.29%E -4.22%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.85%E -2.37%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.90%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 21:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.85%E -2.37%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.90%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.85%E -2.37%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.90%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 21:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.85%E -2.37%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.90%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 21:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.32%E -2.61%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.32%E -2.61%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.08%E -2.28%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 21:37 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.78%E -2.85%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.08%E -2.28%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 21:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.14%EV -5.78%E -2.85%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.86%EV -10.51%E -6.29%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-04 21:43 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.25%E -3.09%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 21:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.25%E -3.09%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 21:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.25%E -3.09%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 21:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -6.25%E -3.09%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.22%E -3.56%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-04 21:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.17%E -3.59%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.94%E -1.06%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.17%E -3.59%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 21:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.17%E -3.59%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 21:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.17%E -3.59%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 21:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.17%E -3.59%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.15%E -2.91%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-04 20:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.17%E -3.59%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.15%E -2.91%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-04 21:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.17%E -3.59%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.15%E -2.91%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-04 21:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.17%E -3.59%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.15%E -2.91%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.17%E -3.59%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.29%E -4.22%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.17%E -3.59%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.37%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 21:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -8.10%E -4.09%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -0.864%E -0.467%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 21:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -8.10%E -4.09%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -0.864%E -0.467%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 21:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -8.10%E -4.09%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 21:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.57%E -4.35%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.47%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.57%E -4.35%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.47%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.57%E -4.35%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.47%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.57%E -4.35%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.47%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.57%E -4.35%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.47%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.57%E -4.35%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.47%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -8.57%E -4.35%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -6.22%E -3.56%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 21:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%EV -9.03%E -4.61%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%EV -6.22%E -3.56%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-04 21:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.49%E -4.87%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.49%E -4.87%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.49%E -4.87%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.49%E -4.87%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 21:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.49%E -4.87%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 21:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.49%E -4.87%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.49%E -4.87%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -9.49%E -4.87%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -4.61%E -2.59%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 21:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -9.49%E -4.87%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -4.61%E -2.59%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 21:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -9.49%E -4.87%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -8.37%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -9.96%E -5.13%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -9.96%E -5.13%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.30%EV -8.90%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.11%EV -10.89%E -5.67%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%EV -4.61%E -2.59%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.96%EV -11.35%E -5.94%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.04%EV -5.69%E -3.23%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (4)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 0.7% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89% | 0.9% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |