L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Mattia Bellucci v Gabriel Diallo
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Mattia Bellucci (Local)
Prévision 46.41%2.15cote équitable
EV +2.11%
Avantage +0.958%
Kelly +1.76%
Croissance +0.037%
avec la cote maximale 2.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.26%46.22%46.53%48.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.002.002.2052.36%49.89%50.00%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Gabriel Diallo (Visiteur)
Prévision 53.59%1.87cote équitable
EV -0.864%
Avantage -0.467%
Kelly -1.02%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.85
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.70%53.78%53.47%57.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.611.771.781.8562.11%56.47%56.18%54.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV +2.11%E +0.958%K +1.76%G +0.037% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -13.72%E -8.52%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| DraftKings | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV +1.18%E +0.541%K +1.000%G +0.012% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -10.51%E -6.29%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 21:44 |
| Coolbet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.53%E -1.21%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.22%E -3.56%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 21:44 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.53%E -1.21%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.29%E -4.22%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 21:40 |
| Pinnacle | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80%EV -3.46%E -1.66%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20%EV -1.94%E -1.06%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-04 21:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -4.39%E -2.13%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -4.61%E -2.59%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| Unibet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.39%E -2.13%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.69%E -3.23%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| Betsson | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.85%E -2.37%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.22%E -3.56%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 21:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.85%E -2.37%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.76%E -3.88%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| BoyleSports | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.85%E -2.37%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.29%E -4.22%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| 888sport | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.85%E -2.37%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.90%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 21:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.85%E -2.37%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.90%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.85%E -2.37%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.90%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 21:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.85%E -2.37%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.90%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 21:40 |
| FanDuel | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.32%E -2.61%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.32%E -2.61%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.08%E -2.28%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 21:37 |
| GTbets | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -5.78%E -2.85%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -4.08%E -2.28%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 21:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.14%EV -5.78%E -2.85%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.86%EV -10.51%E -6.29%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-04 21:43 |
| Bet Right | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.25%E -3.09%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 21:40 |
| BetRivers | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.25%E -3.09%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 21:05 |
| Bally Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.25%E -3.09%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 21:05 |
| SportsBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -6.25%E -3.09%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.22%E -3.56%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-04 21:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.17%E -3.59%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.94%E -1.06%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| NordicBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.17%E -3.59%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 21:35 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.17%E -3.59%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 21:05 |
| TAB | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.17%E -3.59%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 21:05 |
| BetUS | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.17%E -3.59%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.15%E -2.91%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-04 20:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.17%E -3.59%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.15%E -2.91%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-04 21:40 |
| Caesars | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.17%E -3.59%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.15%E -2.91%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-04 21:05 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.17%E -3.59%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.15%E -2.91%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.17%E -3.59%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.29%E -4.22%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.17%E -3.59%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.37%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 21:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -8.10%E -4.09%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -0.864%E -0.467%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 21:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -8.10%E -4.09%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -0.864%E -0.467%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 21:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -8.10%E -4.09%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 21:44 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.57%E -4.35%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.47%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.57%E -4.35%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.47%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| Casumo | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.57%E -4.35%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.47%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| betPARX | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.57%E -4.35%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.47%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.57%E -4.35%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.47%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.57%E -4.35%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.47%E -1.36%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -8.57%E -4.35%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -6.22%E -3.56%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 21:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%EV -9.03%E -4.61%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%EV -6.22%E -3.56%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-04 21:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.49%E -4.87%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.49%E -4.87%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.49%E -4.87%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.49%E -4.87%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 21:05 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.49%E -4.87%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 21:05 |
| BetMGM | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.49%E -4.87%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.49%E -4.87%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -9.49%E -4.87%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -4.61%E -2.59%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 21:05 |
| Neds | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -9.49%E -4.87%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -4.61%E -2.59%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 21:05 |
| Fliff | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -9.49%E -4.87%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -8.37%E -4.89%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -9.96%E -5.13%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -3.54%E -1.97%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -9.96%E -5.13%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.30%EV -8.90%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| LeoVegas | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.11%EV -10.89%E -5.67%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.89%EV -4.61%E -2.59%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.96%EV -11.35%E -5.94%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.04%EV -5.69%E -3.23%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 0.7% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| Smarkets | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89% | 0.9% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 21:45 |