The School of Odds

Matteo Berrettini v Alexander Zverev

Matchstart: 2026-03-06 19:20 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

57 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Matteo Berrettini (Hemma)

Prognos 21.40%4.67rättvist odds
EV +6.77%
Fördel +1.36%
Kelly +1.70%
Tillväxt +0.115%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.99

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
19.12%21.43%21.33%24.85%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
3.754.354.354.9926.67%23.01%22.99%20.04%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Alexander Zverev (Borta)

Prognos 78.60%1.27rättvist odds
EV -1.75%
Fördel -1.40%
Kelly -6.98%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.25

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
75.15%78.57%78.67%80.88%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.151.211.221.2586.96%82.72%81.97%80.00%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (57 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
DraftKings4.99I 20.04%NM 19.12%EV +6.77%E +1.36%K +1.70%G +0.115%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.88%EV -7.25%E -6.14%K -40.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 19:15
Winamax (DE)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV +2.70%E +0.563%K +0.711%G +0.019%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.28%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-06 19:15
BetOnline.ag4.79I 20.88%NM 19.90%EV +2.49%E +0.520%K +0.657%G +0.016%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.10%EV -6.46%E -5.43%K -34.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 19:15
Tipico (DE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV +0.564%E +0.120%K +0.152%G +0.001%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -9.61%E -8.35%K -64.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-06 19:15
SportsBet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -1.58%E -0.343%K -0.438%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 19:15
Coolbet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.58%E -0.343%K -0.438%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.68%E -4.73%K -28.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 19:15
Unibet (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.58%E -0.343%K -0.438%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.68%E -4.73%K -28.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 19:15
Unibet (FR)4.55I 21.98%NM 21.01%EV -2.65%E -0.581%K -0.745%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.99%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 19:10
GTbets4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -2.65%E -0.581%K -0.745%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -5.68%E -4.73%K -28.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 19:09
FanDuel4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.72%E -0.826%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-06 19:15
Bovada4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.72%E -0.826%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-06 19:09
NordicBet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.72%E -0.826%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.68%E -4.73%K -28.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 19:15
Betsson4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.72%E -0.826%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.68%E -4.73%K -28.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 19:15
Winamax (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.72%E -0.826%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.68%E -4.73%K -28.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 19:16
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.72%E -0.826%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.68%E -4.73%K -28.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 19:15
Bet Victor4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.72%E -0.826%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.25%E -6.14%K -40.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 19:14
888sport4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.72%E -0.826%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.03%E -6.87%K -47.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 19:15
888sport (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.72%E -0.826%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.03%E -6.87%K -47.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 19:15
Mr Green (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.72%E -0.826%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.03%E -6.87%K -47.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 19:15
theScore Bet4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -4.79%E -1.08%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -5.68%E -4.73%K -28.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 19:15
Pinnacle4.41I 22.68%NM 22.08%EV -5.64%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.92%EV -1.75%E -1.40%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-06 19:16
Codere (IT)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.86%E -1.33%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.68%E -4.73%K -28.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 19:15
LeoVegas (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 19:15
LeoVegas4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 19:15
Grosvenor4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 19:15
TABtouch4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 19:15
LiveScore Bet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 19:15
Casumo4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 19:16
Unibet (NL)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 19:15
Unibet (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 19:15
Unibet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 19:15
ATG (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 19:15
Svenska Spel4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 19:15
betPARX4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 19:15
Bally Bet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 19:15
Bet Right4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -7.99%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 19:13
Betr (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -7.99%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 19:13
NetBet (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -7.99%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 19:04
PointsBet (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.99%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.68%E -4.73%K -28.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 19:07
Fliff4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -7.99%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -8.03%E -6.87%K -47.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-06 19:15
LowVig.ag4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -8.64%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -3.32%E -2.70%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 19:15
Betway4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.06%E -2.13%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 19:15
BetUS4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.06%E -2.13%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 19:10
Hard Rock Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.06%E -2.13%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 19:15
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.13%E -2.41%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 19:12
Virgin Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -10.13%E -2.41%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 19:15
Fanatics4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -10.13%E -2.41%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.25%E -6.14%K -40.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-06 19:15
Betclic (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -12.27%E -2.99%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 77.80%EV -8.03%E -6.87%K -47.26%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-06 19:11
PlayUp4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -14.41%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.53%E -2.04%K -10.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 19:15
BetMGM4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.41%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 19:15
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.41%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 19:15
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.41%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 19:15
TAB4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.41%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 19:15
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.41%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 19:15
Caesars4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.41%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 19:15
Neds3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -19.76%E -5.27%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -2.53%E -2.04%K -10.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 19:12
Ladbrokes (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -19.76%E -5.27%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -2.53%E -2.04%K -10.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 19:12
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%0.3%2026-03-06 19:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-03-06 19:16
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-03-06 19:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-03-06 19:15
Novig4.57I 21.88%NM 21.48%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.52%1.9%2026-03-06 19:15
Smarkets4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26%2.2%2026-03-06 19:15