La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Matteo Berrettini v Alexander Zverev
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Matteo Berrettini (Local)
Predicción 21.40%4.67momio equitativo
EV +6.77%
Ventaja +1.36%
Kelly +1.70%
Crecimiento +0.115%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.99
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.12%21.43%21.33%24.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.354.354.9926.67%23.01%22.99%20.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Alexander Zverev (Visitante)
Predicción 78.60%1.27momio equitativo
EV -1.75%
Ventaja -1.40%
Kelly -6.98%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
75.15%78.57%78.67%80.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.151.211.221.2586.96%82.72%81.97%80.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 4.99I 20.04%NM 19.12%EV +6.77%E +1.36%K +1.70%G +0.115% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.88%EV -7.25%E -6.14%K -40.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV +2.70%E +0.563%K +0.711%G +0.019% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.79I 20.88%NM 19.90%EV +2.49%E +0.520%K +0.657%G +0.016% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.10%EV -6.46%E -5.43%K -34.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV +0.564%E +0.120%K +0.152%G +0.001% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -9.61%E -8.35%K -64.04%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| SportsBet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -1.58%E -0.343%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Coolbet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.58%E -0.343%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.68%E -4.73%K -28.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.58%E -0.343%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.68%E -4.73%K -28.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.01%EV -2.65%E -0.581%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.99%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 19:10 |
| GTbets | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -2.65%E -0.581%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -5.68%E -4.73%K -28.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 19:09 |
| FanDuel | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.72%E -0.826%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Bovada | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.72%E -0.826%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-06 19:09 |
| NordicBet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.72%E -0.826%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.68%E -4.73%K -28.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Betsson | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.72%E -0.826%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.68%E -4.73%K -28.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.72%E -0.826%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.68%E -4.73%K -28.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 19:16 |
| Paddy Power | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.72%E -0.826%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.68%E -4.73%K -28.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Bet Victor | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.72%E -0.826%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.25%E -6.14%K -40.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 19:14 |
| 888sport | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.72%E -0.826%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.03%E -6.87%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.72%E -0.826%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.03%E -6.87%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.72%E -0.826%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.03%E -6.87%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| theScore Bet | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -4.79%E -1.08%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -5.68%E -4.73%K -28.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Pinnacle | 4.41I 22.68%NM 22.08%EV -5.64%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.92%EV -1.75%E -1.40%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-06 19:16 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.86%E -1.33%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.68%E -4.73%K -28.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| LeoVegas | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Grosvenor | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| TABtouch | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Casumo | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 19:16 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Unibet | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| betPARX | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Bally Bet | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Bet Right | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -7.99%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 19:13 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -7.99%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 19:13 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -7.99%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 19:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.99%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.68%E -4.73%K -28.38%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-06 19:07 |
| Fliff | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -7.99%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -8.03%E -6.87%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -8.64%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -3.32%E -2.70%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Betway | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.06%E -2.13%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| BetUS | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.06%E -2.13%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 19:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.06%E -2.13%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| William Hill | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.13%E -2.41%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 19:12 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -10.13%E -2.41%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Fanatics | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -10.13%E -2.41%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.25%E -6.14%K -40.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -12.27%E -2.99%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.80%EV -8.03%E -6.87%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-06 19:11 |
| PlayUp | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -14.41%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.53%E -2.04%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| BetMGM | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.41%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Coral | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.41%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.41%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| TAB | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.41%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| BoyleSports | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.41%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Caesars | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.41%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Neds | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -19.76%E -5.27%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -2.53%E -2.04%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-06 19:12 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -19.76%E -5.27%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -2.53%E -2.04%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-06 19:12 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85% | 0.3% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-03-06 19:16 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Novig | 4.57I 21.88%NM 21.48% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.52% | 1.9% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Smarkets | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26% | 2.2% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |