Idioma:Português
Matteo Berrettini v Alexander Zverev
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Matteo Berrettini (Local)
Previsão 21.40%4.67odd justa
EV +6.77%
Vantagem +1.36%
Kelly +1.70%
Crescimento +0.115%
pressupondo odds máximas de 4.99
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.12%21.43%21.33%24.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.754.354.354.9926.67%23.01%22.99%20.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Alexander Zverev (Visitante)
Previsão 78.60%1.27odd justa
EV -1.75%
Vantagem -1.40%
Kelly -6.98%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.25
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
75.15%78.57%78.67%80.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.151.211.221.2586.96%82.72%81.97%80.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Matteo Berrettini (Local): 21.40%; Alexander Zverev (Visitante): 78.60%. Para Matteo Berrettini (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.67. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.99, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +6.77%.
Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.99I 20.04%NM 19.12%EV +6.77%E +1.36%K +1.70%G +0.115% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.88%EV -7.25%E -6.14%K -40.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV +2.70%E +0.563%K +0.711%G +0.019% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.79I 20.88%NM 19.90%EV +2.49%E +0.520%K +0.657%G +0.016% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.10%EV -6.46%E -5.43%K -34.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV +0.564%E +0.120%K +0.152%G +0.001% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -9.61%E -8.35%K -64.04%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -1.58%E -0.343%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.58%E -0.343%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.68%E -4.73%K -28.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.58%E -0.343%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.68%E -4.73%K -28.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.01%EV -2.65%E -0.581%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.99%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 19:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -2.65%E -0.581%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -5.68%E -4.73%K -28.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 19:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.72%E -0.826%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.72%E -0.826%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-06 19:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.72%E -0.826%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.68%E -4.73%K -28.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.72%E -0.826%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.68%E -4.73%K -28.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.72%E -0.826%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.68%E -4.73%K -28.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 19:16 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.72%E -0.826%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.68%E -4.73%K -28.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.72%E -0.826%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.25%E -6.14%K -40.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 19:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.72%E -0.826%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.03%E -6.87%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.72%E -0.826%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.03%E -6.87%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.72%E -0.826%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.03%E -6.87%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -4.79%E -1.08%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -5.68%E -4.73%K -28.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.41I 22.68%NM 22.08%EV -5.64%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.92%EV -1.75%E -1.40%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-06 19:16 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.86%E -1.33%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.68%E -4.73%K -28.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 19:16 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -7.99%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 19:13 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -7.99%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 19:13 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -7.99%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 19:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.99%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.68%E -4.73%K -28.38%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-06 19:07 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -7.99%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -8.03%E -6.87%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -8.64%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -3.32%E -2.70%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.06%E -2.13%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.06%E -2.13%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 19:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.06%E -2.13%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.13%E -2.41%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 19:12 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -10.13%E -2.41%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -10.13%E -2.41%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.25%E -6.14%K -40.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -12.27%E -2.99%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.80%EV -8.03%E -6.87%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-06 19:11 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -14.41%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.53%E -2.04%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.41%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.41%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.41%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.41%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.41%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.41%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -19.76%E -5.27%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -2.53%E -2.04%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-06 19:12 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -19.76%E -5.27%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -2.53%E -2.04%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-06 19:12 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (6)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85% | 0.3% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-03-06 19:16 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Novig◎ | 4.57I 21.88%NM 21.48% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.52% | 1.9% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26% | 2.2% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |