Langue:Français
Matteo Berrettini v Alexander Zverev
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Matteo Berrettini (Local)
Prévision 21.40%4.67cote équitable
EV +6.77%
Avantage +1.36%
Kelly +1.70%
Croissance +0.115%
avec la cote maximale 4.99
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.12%21.43%21.33%24.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.754.354.354.9926.67%23.01%22.99%20.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Alexander Zverev (Visiteur)
Prévision 78.60%1.27cote équitable
EV -1.75%
Avantage -1.40%
Kelly -6.98%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
75.15%78.57%78.67%80.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.151.211.221.2586.96%82.72%81.97%80.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Matteo Berrettini (Local) : 21.40% ; Alexander Zverev (Visiteur) : 78.60%. Pour Matteo Berrettini (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.67. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.99, soit une espérance positive de +6.77%.
Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.99I 20.04%NM 19.12%EV +6.77%E +1.36%K +1.70%G +0.115% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.88%EV -7.25%E -6.14%K -40.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV +2.70%E +0.563%K +0.711%G +0.019% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.79I 20.88%NM 19.90%EV +2.49%E +0.520%K +0.657%G +0.016% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.10%EV -6.46%E -5.43%K -34.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV +0.564%E +0.120%K +0.152%G +0.001% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -9.61%E -8.35%K -64.04%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -1.58%E -0.343%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.58%E -0.343%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.68%E -4.73%K -28.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.58%E -0.343%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.68%E -4.73%K -28.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.01%EV -2.65%E -0.581%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.99%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 19:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -2.65%E -0.581%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -5.68%E -4.73%K -28.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 19:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.72%E -0.826%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.72%E -0.826%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-06 19:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.72%E -0.826%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.68%E -4.73%K -28.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.72%E -0.826%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.68%E -4.73%K -28.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.72%E -0.826%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.68%E -4.73%K -28.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 19:16 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.72%E -0.826%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.68%E -4.73%K -28.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.72%E -0.826%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.25%E -6.14%K -40.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 19:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.72%E -0.826%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.03%E -6.87%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.72%E -0.826%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.03%E -6.87%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.72%E -0.826%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.03%E -6.87%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -4.79%E -1.08%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -5.68%E -4.73%K -28.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.41I 22.68%NM 22.08%EV -5.64%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.92%EV -1.75%E -1.40%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-06 19:16 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.86%E -1.33%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.68%E -4.73%K -28.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 19:16 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -7.99%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 19:13 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -7.99%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 19:13 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -7.99%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 19:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.99%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.68%E -4.73%K -28.38%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-06 19:07 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -7.99%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -8.03%E -6.87%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -8.64%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -3.32%E -2.70%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.06%E -2.13%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.06%E -2.13%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 19:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.06%E -2.13%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.13%E -2.41%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 19:12 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -10.13%E -2.41%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -10.13%E -2.41%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.25%E -6.14%K -40.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -12.27%E -2.99%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.80%EV -8.03%E -6.87%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-06 19:11 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -14.41%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.53%E -2.04%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.41%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.41%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.41%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.41%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.41%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.41%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -19.76%E -5.27%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -2.53%E -2.04%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-06 19:12 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -19.76%E -5.27%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -2.53%E -2.04%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-06 19:12 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85% | 0.3% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-03-06 19:16 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Novig◎ | 4.57I 21.88%NM 21.48% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.52% | 1.9% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26% | 2.2% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |