La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Matteo Berrettini v Alexander Zverev
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Matteo Berrettini (Casa)
Previsione 21.40%4.67quota equa
EV +6.77%
Vantaggio +1.36%
Kelly +1.70%
Crescita +0.115%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.99
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.12%21.43%21.33%24.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.354.354.9926.67%23.01%22.99%20.04%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Alexander Zverev (Trasferta)
Previsione 78.60%1.27quota equa
EV -1.75%
Vantaggio -1.40%
Kelly -6.98%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.25
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
75.15%78.57%78.67%80.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.151.211.221.2586.96%82.72%81.97%80.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 4.99I 20.04%NM 19.12%EV +6.77%E +1.36%K +1.70%G +0.115% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.88%EV -7.25%E -6.14%K -40.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%EV +2.70%E +0.563%K +0.711%G +0.019% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.79I 20.88%NM 19.90%EV +2.49%E +0.520%K +0.657%G +0.016% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.10%EV -6.46%E -5.43%K -34.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV +0.564%E +0.120%K +0.152%G +0.001% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -9.61%E -8.35%K -64.04%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| SportsBet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -1.58%E -0.343%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Coolbet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.58%E -0.343%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.68%E -4.73%K -28.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -1.58%E -0.343%K -0.438%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.68%E -4.73%K -28.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.01%EV -2.65%E -0.581%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.99%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 19:10 |
| GTbets | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -2.65%E -0.581%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -5.68%E -4.73%K -28.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 19:09 |
| FanDuel | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.72%E -0.826%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Bovada | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -3.72%E -0.826%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-06 19:09 |
| NordicBet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.72%E -0.826%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.68%E -4.73%K -28.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Betsson | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.72%E -0.826%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.68%E -4.73%K -28.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.72%E -0.826%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.68%E -4.73%K -28.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 19:16 |
| Paddy Power | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -3.72%E -0.826%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.68%E -4.73%K -28.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Bet Victor | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -3.72%E -0.826%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.25%E -6.14%K -40.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 19:14 |
| 888sport | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.72%E -0.826%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.03%E -6.87%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.72%E -0.826%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.03%E -6.87%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -3.72%E -0.826%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.03%E -6.87%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| theScore Bet | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -4.79%E -1.08%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -5.68%E -4.73%K -28.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Pinnacle | 4.41I 22.68%NM 22.08%EV -5.64%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.92%EV -1.75%E -1.40%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-06 19:16 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.86%E -1.33%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.68%E -4.73%K -28.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| LeoVegas | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Grosvenor | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| TABtouch | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Casumo | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 19:16 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Unibet | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| betPARX | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Bally Bet | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Bet Right | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -7.99%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 19:13 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -7.99%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 19:13 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -7.99%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 19:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.99%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.68%E -4.73%K -28.38%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-06 19:07 |
| Fliff | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -7.99%E -1.86%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -8.03%E -6.87%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -8.64%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -3.32%E -2.70%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Betway | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.06%E -2.13%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| BetUS | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.06%E -2.13%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 19:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.06%E -2.13%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| William Hill | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.13%E -2.41%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 19:12 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -10.13%E -2.41%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -4.89%E -4.04%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Fanatics | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -10.13%E -2.41%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -7.25%E -6.14%K -40.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV -12.27%E -2.99%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.80%EV -8.03%E -6.87%K -47.26%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-06 19:11 |
| PlayUp | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -14.41%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.53%E -2.04%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| BetMGM | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.41%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Coral | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.41%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.41%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| TAB | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.41%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| BoyleSports | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.41%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Caesars | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.41%E -3.60%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.10%E -3.36%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Neds | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -19.76%E -5.27%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -2.53%E -2.04%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-06 19:12 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -19.76%E -5.27%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -2.53%E -2.04%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-06 19:12 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85% | 0.3% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-03-06 19:16 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Novig | 4.57I 21.88%NM 21.48% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.52% | 1.9% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| Smarkets | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26% | 2.2% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |