Język:Polski
Matteo Berrettini v Adrian Mannarino
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Matteo Berrettini (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 66.43%1.51kurs godziwy
EV -0.349%
Przewaga -0.233%
Kelly -0.699%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.50
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
63.77%66.23%66.36%67.66%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.371.431.441.5072.99%70.01%69.44%66.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Adrian Mannarino (Goście)
Prognoza 33.57%2.98kurs godziwy
EV -0.644%
Przewaga -0.218%
Kelly -0.329%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.96
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
32.34%33.77%33.64%36.23%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.582.772.752.9638.76%36.09%36.36%33.78%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Matteo Berrettini (Gospodarze): 66.43%; Adrian Mannarino (Goście): 33.57%. Dla wyniku Matteo Berrettini (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 1.51. Żaden kwalifikujący się bukmacher nie oferował kursu zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu: najlepszy wynosił 1.50, przy wartości oczekiwanej -0.349%; nie dawał dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej.
Kursy bukmacherskie (58 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -0.349%E -0.233%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -11.39%E -4.31%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-04 23:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.12%EV -3.67%E -2.53%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.88%EV -0.644%E -0.218%K -0.329%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.67%E -2.53%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -4.34%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.67%E -2.53%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.67%E -2.53%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.67%E -2.53%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -3.67%E -2.53%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -11.05%E -4.17%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.66%E -0.917%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-04 23:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.66%E -0.917%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.66%E -0.917%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -4.67%E -1.65%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 23:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -12.06%E -4.60%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -12.06%E -4.60%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -12.06%E -4.60%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -12.06%E -4.60%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -12.73%E -4.90%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 23:06 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -12.73%E -4.90%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 23:06 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.00%E -3.50%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.66%E -0.917%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 23:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.00%E -3.50%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.34%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 23:06 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.00%E -3.50%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.66%E -3.99%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.33%E -1.16%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 23:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.66%E -3.99%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.34%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.66%E -3.99%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.34%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.66%E -3.99%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.34%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.67%EV -5.66%E -3.99%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.33%EV -4.67%E -1.65%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.66%E -3.99%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 23:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.66%E -3.99%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 23:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.66%E -3.99%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.66%E -3.99%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 23:06 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.66%E -3.99%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 23:07 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.66%E -3.99%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -5.66%E -3.99%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -12.73%E -4.90%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.33%E -4.49%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -0.980%E -0.332%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.33%E -4.49%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -4.34%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 23:01 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.99%E -4.99%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.66%E -0.917%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 22:58 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.99%E -4.99%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.34%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.99%E -4.99%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.99%E -4.99%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.99%E -4.99%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.99%E -4.99%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.82%EV -6.99%E -4.99%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.18%EV -13.40%E -5.19%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-04 23:08 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -7.66%E -5.51%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -4.34%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -8.32%E -6.03%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -4.34%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 23:06 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -8.99%E -6.56%K -24.29%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -4.34%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (4)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 0.4% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 0.4% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 0.4% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.42% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.58% | 3.0% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |