La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Matteo Berrettini v Adrian Mannarino
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Matteo Berrettini (Casa)
Previsione 66.43%1.51quota equa
EV -0.349%
Vantaggio -0.233%
Kelly -0.699%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.50
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
63.77%66.23%66.36%67.66%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.371.431.441.5072.99%70.01%69.44%66.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Adrian Mannarino (Trasferta)
Previsione 33.57%2.98quota equa
EV -0.644%
Vantaggio -0.218%
Kelly -0.329%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.96
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.34%33.77%33.64%36.23%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.582.772.752.9638.76%36.09%36.36%33.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -0.349%E -0.233%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -11.39%E -4.31%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-04 23:05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.12%EV -3.67%E -2.53%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.88%EV -0.644%E -0.218%K -0.329%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Coolbet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.67%E -2.53%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -4.34%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.67%E -2.53%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Unibet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.67%E -2.53%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.67%E -2.53%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -3.67%E -2.53%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -11.05%E -4.17%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.66%E -0.917%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-04 23:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.66%E -0.917%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.66%E -0.917%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -4.67%E -1.65%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Betway | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Casumo | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 23:05 |
| betPARX | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Bally Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -12.06%E -4.60%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -12.06%E -4.60%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -12.06%E -4.60%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -12.06%E -4.60%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -12.73%E -4.90%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 23:06 |
| Neds | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -12.73%E -4.90%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 23:06 |
| Bovada | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.00%E -3.50%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.66%E -0.917%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 23:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.00%E -3.50%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.34%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 23:06 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.00%E -3.50%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| GTbets | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.66%E -3.99%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.33%E -1.16%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 23:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.66%E -3.99%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.34%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.66%E -3.99%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.34%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| theScore Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.66%E -3.99%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.34%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.67%EV -5.66%E -3.99%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.33%EV -4.67%E -1.65%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.66%E -3.99%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 23:09 |
| Betsson | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.66%E -3.99%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 23:09 |
| PlayUp | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.66%E -3.99%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.66%E -3.99%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 23:06 |
| Caesars | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.66%E -3.99%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 23:07 |
| TAB | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.66%E -3.99%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Fliff | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -5.66%E -3.99%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -12.73%E -4.90%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.33%E -4.49%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -0.980%E -0.332%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.33%E -4.49%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -4.34%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 23:01 |
| Everygame | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.99%E -4.99%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.66%E -0.917%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 22:58 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.99%E -4.99%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.34%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.99%E -4.99%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.99%E -4.99%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.99%E -4.99%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.99%E -4.99%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.82%EV -6.99%E -4.99%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.18%EV -13.40%E -5.19%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-04 23:08 |
| SportsBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -7.66%E -5.51%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -4.34%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -8.32%E -6.03%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -4.34%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 23:06 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -8.99%E -6.56%K -24.29%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -4.34%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (4)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 0.4% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 0.4% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 0.4% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.42% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.58% | 3.0% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |