La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Matteo Berrettini v Adrian Mannarino
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Matteo Berrettini (Local)
Predicción 66.43%1.51momio equitativo
EV -0.349%
Ventaja -0.233%
Kelly -0.699%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.77%66.23%66.36%67.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.371.431.441.5072.99%70.01%69.44%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Adrian Mannarino (Visitante)
Predicción 33.57%2.98momio equitativo
EV -0.644%
Ventaja -0.218%
Kelly -0.329%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.96
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.34%33.77%33.64%36.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.582.772.752.9638.76%36.09%36.36%33.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -0.349%E -0.233%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -11.39%E -4.31%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-04 23:05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.12%EV -3.67%E -2.53%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.88%EV -0.644%E -0.218%K -0.329%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Coolbet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.67%E -2.53%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -4.34%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.67%E -2.53%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Unibet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.67%E -2.53%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.67%E -2.53%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -3.67%E -2.53%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -11.05%E -4.17%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.66%E -0.917%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-04 23:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.66%E -0.917%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.66%E -0.917%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -4.67%E -1.65%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Betway | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Casumo | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 23:05 |
| betPARX | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Bally Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -12.06%E -4.60%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -12.06%E -4.60%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -12.06%E -4.60%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -12.06%E -4.60%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -12.73%E -4.90%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 23:06 |
| Neds | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -12.73%E -4.90%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 23:06 |
| Bovada | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.00%E -3.50%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.66%E -0.917%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 23:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.00%E -3.50%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.34%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 23:06 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.00%E -3.50%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| GTbets | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.66%E -3.99%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.33%E -1.16%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 23:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.66%E -3.99%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.34%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.66%E -3.99%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.34%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| theScore Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.66%E -3.99%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.34%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.67%EV -5.66%E -3.99%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.33%EV -4.67%E -1.65%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.66%E -3.99%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 23:09 |
| Betsson | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.66%E -3.99%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 23:09 |
| PlayUp | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.66%E -3.99%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.66%E -3.99%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 23:06 |
| Caesars | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.66%E -3.99%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 23:07 |
| TAB | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.66%E -3.99%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Fliff | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -5.66%E -3.99%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -12.73%E -4.90%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.33%E -4.49%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -0.980%E -0.332%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.33%E -4.49%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -4.34%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 23:01 |
| Everygame | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.99%E -4.99%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.66%E -0.917%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 22:58 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.99%E -4.99%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.34%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.99%E -4.99%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.99%E -4.99%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.99%E -4.99%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.99%E -4.99%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.82%EV -6.99%E -4.99%K -17.48%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.18%EV -13.40%E -5.19%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-04 23:08 |
| SportsBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -7.66%E -5.51%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -4.34%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -8.32%E -6.03%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -4.34%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 23:06 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -8.99%E -6.56%K -24.29%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -4.34%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 0.4% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 0.4% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 0.4% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.42% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.58% | 3.0% | 2026-03-04 23:10 |