L’École des cotes

Matteo Berrettini v Adrian Mannarino

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-04 23:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Matteo Berrettini (Local)

Prévision 66.43%1.51cote équitable
EV -0.349%
Avantage -0.233%
Kelly -0.699%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.77%66.23%66.36%67.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.371.431.441.5072.99%70.01%69.44%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Adrian Mannarino (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.57%2.98cote équitable
EV -0.644%
Avantage -0.218%
Kelly -0.329%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.96

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.34%33.77%33.64%36.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.582.772.752.9638.76%36.09%36.36%33.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -0.349%E -0.233%K -0.699%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -11.39%E -4.31%K -6.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-04 23:05
Pinnacle1.45I 68.97%NM 67.12%EV -3.67%E -2.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.88%EV -0.644%E -0.218%K -0.329%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-04 23:10
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -3.67%E -2.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -4.34%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 23:10
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.67%E -2.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 23:10
Unibet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.67%E -2.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 23:10
Hard Rock Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.67%E -2.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 23:10
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -3.67%E -2.53%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -11.05%E -4.17%K -6.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 23:10
BetOnline.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.66%E -0.917%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-04 23:09
LowVig.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.66%E -0.917%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-04 23:10
Winamax (DE)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.66%E -0.917%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-04 23:10
FanDuel1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -4.67%E -1.65%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 23:10
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 23:10
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 23:10
Unibet (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 23:10
Unibet (NL)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 23:10
Casumo1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 23:10
Grosvenor1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 23:10
LeoVegas1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 23:10
TABtouch1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 23:10
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 23:05
betPARX1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 23:10
Bally Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 23:10
ATG (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 23:10
Svenska Spel1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 23:10
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -12.06%E -4.60%K -7.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -12.06%E -4.60%K -7.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 23:10
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -12.06%E -4.60%K -7.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 23:10
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -12.06%E -4.60%K -7.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -12.73%E -4.90%K -7.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 23:06
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -4.34%E -3.01%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -12.73%E -4.90%K -7.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 23:06
Bovada1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.00%E -3.50%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.66%E -0.917%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 23:05
Bet Right1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.00%E -3.50%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.34%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 23:06
Virgin Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.00%E -3.50%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 23:10
GTbets1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.66%E -3.99%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.33%E -1.16%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 23:05
Winamax (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.66%E -3.99%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.34%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 23:10
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.66%E -3.99%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.34%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 23:10
theScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.66%E -3.99%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -4.34%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 23:10
DraftKings1.42I 70.42%NM 66.67%EV -5.66%E -3.99%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.33%EV -4.67%E -1.65%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 23:10
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.66%E -3.99%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 23:09
Betsson1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.66%E -3.99%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 23:09
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.66%E -3.99%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 23:10
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.66%E -3.99%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 23:06
Caesars1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.66%E -3.99%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 23:07
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.66%E -3.99%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 23:10
Fliff1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -5.66%E -3.99%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -12.73%E -4.90%K -7.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-04 23:10
Unibet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.33%E -4.49%K -15.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -0.980%E -0.332%K -0.502%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 23:10
Codere (IT)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.33%E -4.49%K -15.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -4.34%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 23:01
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.99%E -4.99%K -17.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.66%E -0.917%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 22:58
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.99%E -4.99%K -17.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.34%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 23:10
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.99%E -4.99%K -17.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 23:10
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.99%E -4.99%K -17.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 23:10
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.99%E -4.99%K -17.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.69%E -2.80%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 23:10
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.99%E -4.99%K -17.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.37%E -3.47%K -5.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-04 23:10
Betclic (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.82%EV -6.99%E -4.99%K -17.48%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.18%EV -13.40%E -5.19%K -8.48%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-04 23:08
SportsBet1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -7.66%E -5.51%K -19.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -4.34%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 23:10
NetBet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -8.32%E -6.03%K -21.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -4.34%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 23:06
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -8.99%E -6.56%K -24.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -4.34%E -1.52%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-04 23:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-03-04 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-03-04 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-03-04 23:10
Smarkets1.44I 69.44%NM 67.42%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.58%3.0%2026-03-04 23:10