StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Mariano Navone v Marcos Giron

Matchstart: 2026-03-04 19:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

61 spelbolag (23 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Mariano Navone (Hemma)

Prognos 30.66%3.26rättvist odds
EV +0.256%
Fördel +0.078%
Kelly +0.113%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.27

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
29.36%30.73%30.62%32.56%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.903.073.053.2734.48%32.60%32.79%30.58%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Marcos Giron (Borta)

Prognos 69.34%1.44rättvist odds
EV -0.843%
Fördel -0.589%
Kelly -1.96%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.43

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
67.44%69.27%69.38%70.64%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.321.371.381.4375.76%72.90%72.46%69.93%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Mariano Navone (Hemma): 30.66%; Marcos Giron (Borta): 69.34%. För Mariano Navone (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.26. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.27, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.256%.

Spelbolagsodds (61 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯3.27I 30.58%NM 29.68%EV +0.256%E +0.078%K +0.113%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.32%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-04 18:20
Coolbet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -0.357%E -0.110%K -0.159%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-04 18:20
SportsBet🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 29.54%EV -1.28%E -0.397%K -0.575%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.46%EV -6.39%E -4.73%K -18.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 17:00
Bovada🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.89%E -0.591%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 10:54
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.89%E -0.591%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 17:00
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -1.89%E -0.591%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.39%E -4.73%K -18.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 18:20
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.89%E -0.591%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-04 17:00
DraftKings🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 30.11%EV -2.50%E -0.787%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.89%EV -5.00%E -3.65%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 07:34
GTbets🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -2.50%E -0.787%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 18:20
Winamax (DE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -3.42%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -3.62%E -2.60%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-04 15:40
Unibet (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -3.42%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -3.62%E -2.60%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-04 15:40
Betclic (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -3.42%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -3.62%E -2.60%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-04 16:58
LowVig.ag🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -3.73%E -1.19%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 18:20
BetOnline.ag🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -3.73%E -1.19%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 18:20
NordicBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 10:54
Betsson🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 10:55
BetUS🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 17:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 15:40
Bet Right🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.00%E -3.65%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 15:40
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.00%E -3.65%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 15:40
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 12:09
Everygame🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 13:04
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 14:45
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 15:40
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.47%E -6.42%K -26.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-04 15:40
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
Casumo🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
LiveScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
BetRivers🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
LeoVegas🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
betPARX🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
Bally Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
TABtouch🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
Unibet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
Winamax (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 15:39
Fanatics🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.00%E -3.65%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 10:55
Codere (IT)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.00%E -3.65%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 17:00
Betr (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 18:20
Fliff🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -7.08%E -5.29%K -20.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 17:00
NetBet (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -7.08%E -5.29%K -20.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 15:39
1xBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -0.843%E -0.589%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-03 18:56
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 12:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 10:55
TAB🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.39%E -4.73%K -18.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 14:45
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.39%E -4.73%K -18.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.39%E -4.73%K -18.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 17:00
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.39%E -4.73%K -18.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 17:00
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-04 18:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -9.55%E -3.24%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -5.00%E -3.65%K -13.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 09:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -9.86%E -3.35%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -2.92%E -2.09%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-03 18:55
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.09%E -3.82%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.92%E -2.09%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 19:20
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.09%E -3.82%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.92%E -2.09%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 19:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.09%E -3.82%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.92%E -2.09%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 19:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.09%E -3.82%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.92%E -2.09%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 19:25
Caesars🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -11.09%E -3.82%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 16:59
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29%0.2%2026-03-04 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29%0.2%2026-03-04 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29%0.2%2026-03-04 18:20
Smarkets3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16%2.6%2026-03-04 18:20