مدرسة الاحتمالات

Mariano Navone v Marcos Giron

البداية: 2026-03-04 19:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (23 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Mariano Navone (المضيف)

التنبؤ 30.66%3.26السعر العادل
EV +0.256%
الأفضلية +0.078%
Kelly +0.113%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.27

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.36%30.73%30.62%32.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.903.073.053.2734.48%32.60%32.79%30.58%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Marcos Giron (الضيف)

التنبؤ 69.34%1.44السعر العادل
EV -0.843%
الأفضلية -0.589%
Kelly -1.96%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.43

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
67.44%69.27%69.38%70.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.321.371.381.4375.76%72.90%72.46%69.93%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle3.27I 30.58%NM 29.68%EV +0.256%E +0.078%K +0.113%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.32%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-04 18:20
Coolbet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -0.357%E -0.110%K -0.159%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-04 18:20
SportsBet3.22I 31.06%NM 29.54%EV -1.28%E -0.397%K -0.575%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.46%EV -6.39%E -4.73%K -18.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 17:00
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.89%E -0.591%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 10:54
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.89%E -0.591%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 17:00
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -1.89%E -0.591%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.39%E -4.73%K -18.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 18:20
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.89%E -0.591%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-04 17:00
DraftKings3.18I 31.45%NM 30.11%EV -2.50%E -0.787%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.89%EV -5.00%E -3.65%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 07:34
GTbets3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -2.50%E -0.787%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 18:20
Winamax (DE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -3.42%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -3.62%E -2.60%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-04 15:40
Unibet (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -3.42%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -3.62%E -2.60%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-04 15:40
Betclic (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -3.42%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -3.62%E -2.60%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-04 16:58
LowVig.ag3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -3.73%E -1.19%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 18:20
BetOnline.ag3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -3.73%E -1.19%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 18:20
NordicBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 10:54
Betsson3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 10:55
BetUS3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 17:00
Hard Rock Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 15:40
Bet Right3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.00%E -3.65%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 15:40
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.00%E -3.65%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 15:40
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 12:09
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 13:04
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 14:45
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 15:40
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.47%E -6.42%K -26.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-04 15:40
Unibet (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
Unibet (NL)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
Casumo3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
Grosvenor3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
LeoVegas3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
betPARX3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
Bally Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
TABtouch3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
Unibet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
ATG (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
Svenska Spel3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
Winamax (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 15:39
Fanatics3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.00%E -3.65%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 10:55
Codere (IT)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.00%E -3.65%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 17:00
Betr (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 18:20
Fliff3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -7.08%E -5.29%K -20.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 17:00
NetBet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -7.08%E -5.29%K -20.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 15:39
1xBet3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -0.843%E -0.589%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-03 18:56
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 12:10
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 10:55
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.39%E -4.73%K -18.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 14:45
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.39%E -4.73%K -18.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.39%E -4.73%K -18.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 17:00
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.39%E -4.73%K -18.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 17:00
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-04 18:19
Virgin Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -9.55%E -3.24%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -5.00%E -3.65%K -13.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 09:00
Marathon Bet2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -9.86%E -3.35%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -2.92%E -2.09%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-03 18:55
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.09%E -3.82%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.92%E -2.09%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 19:20
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.09%E -3.82%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.92%E -2.09%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 19:25
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.09%E -3.82%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.92%E -2.09%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 19:25
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.09%E -3.82%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.92%E -2.09%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 19:25
Caesars2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -11.09%E -3.82%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 16:59
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29%0.2%2026-03-04 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29%0.2%2026-03-04 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29%0.2%2026-03-04 18:20
Smarkets3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16%2.6%2026-03-04 18:20