Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
Mariano Navone v Marcos Giron
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Mariano Navone (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 30.66%3.26kurs godziwy
EV +0.256%
Przewaga +0.078%
Kelly +0.113%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 3.27
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
29.36%30.73%30.62%32.56%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.903.073.053.2734.48%32.60%32.79%30.58%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Marcos Giron (Goście)
Prognoza 69.34%1.44kurs godziwy
EV -0.843%
Przewaga -0.589%
Kelly -1.96%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.43
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
67.44%69.27%69.38%70.64%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.321.371.381.4375.76%72.90%72.46%69.93%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Kursy bukmacherskie (61 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.68%EV +0.256%E +0.078%K +0.113%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.32%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-04 18:20 |
| Coolbet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -0.357%E -0.110%K -0.159%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-04 18:20 |
| SportsBet | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.54%EV -1.28%E -0.397%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.46%EV -6.39%E -4.73%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| Bovada | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.89%E -0.591%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 10:54 |
| FanDuel | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.89%E -0.591%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| Betway | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -1.89%E -0.591%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.39%E -4.73%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 18:20 |
| Paddy Power | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.89%E -0.591%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| DraftKings | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.11%EV -2.50%E -0.787%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.89%EV -5.00%E -3.65%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 07:34 |
| GTbets | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -2.50%E -0.787%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 18:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -3.42%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -3.62%E -2.60%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -3.42%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -3.62%E -2.60%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -3.42%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -3.62%E -2.60%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-04 16:58 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -3.73%E -1.19%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -3.73%E -1.19%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 18:20 |
| NordicBet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 10:54 |
| Betsson | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 10:55 |
| BetUS | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| Bet Right | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.00%E -3.65%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.00%E -3.65%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| theScore Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 12:09 |
| Everygame | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 13:04 |
| BetMGM | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 14:45 |
| BoyleSports | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.47%E -6.42%K -26.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 09:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 09:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 09:00 |
| Casumo | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 09:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 09:00 |
| BetRivers | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 09:00 |
| Grosvenor | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 09:00 |
| LeoVegas | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 09:00 |
| betPARX | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 09:00 |
| Bally Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 09:00 |
| TABtouch | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 09:00 |
| Unibet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 09:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 09:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 09:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 15:39 |
| Fanatics | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.00%E -3.65%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 10:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.00%E -3.65%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 18:20 |
| Fliff | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -7.08%E -5.29%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -7.08%E -5.29%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-04 15:39 |
| 1xBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -0.843%E -0.589%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-03 18:56 |
| PlayUp | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 12:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-04 10:55 |
| TAB | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-04 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.39%E -4.73%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-04 14:45 |
| Coral | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.39%E -4.73%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-04 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.39%E -4.73%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| Neds | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.39%E -4.73%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| Bet Victor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 18:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -9.55%E -3.24%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -5.00%E -3.65%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-04 09:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -9.86%E -3.35%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -2.92%E -2.09%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-03 18:55 |
| 888sport | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.09%E -3.82%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.92%E -2.09%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 19:20 |
| William Hill | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.09%E -3.82%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.92%E -2.09%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.09%E -3.82%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.92%E -2.09%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.09%E -3.82%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.92%E -2.09%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| Caesars | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -11.09%E -3.82%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-04 16:59 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (4)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29% | 0.2% | 2026-03-04 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29% | 0.2% | 2026-03-04 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29% | 0.2% | 2026-03-04 18:20 |
| Smarkets | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16% | 2.6% | 2026-03-04 18:20 |