Школа коэффициентов

Mariano Navone v Marcos Giron

Начало: 2026-03-04 19:00 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

61 букмекерская контора (23 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Mariano Navone (Хозяева)

Прогноз 30.66%3.26справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.256%
Преимущество +0.078%
Kelly +0.113%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.27

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
29.36%30.73%30.62%32.56%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.903.073.053.2734.48%32.60%32.79%30.58%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Marcos Giron (Гости)

Прогноз 69.34%1.44справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.843%
Преимущество -0.589%
Kelly -1.96%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.43

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
67.44%69.27%69.38%70.64%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.321.371.381.4375.76%72.90%72.46%69.93%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (61 букмекерская контора)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle3.27I 30.58%NM 29.68%EV +0.256%E +0.078%K +0.113%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.32%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-04 18:20
Coolbet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -0.357%E -0.110%K -0.159%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-04 18:20
SportsBet3.22I 31.06%NM 29.54%EV -1.28%E -0.397%K -0.575%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.46%EV -6.39%E -4.73%K -18.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 17:00
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.89%E -0.591%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 10:54
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.89%E -0.591%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 17:00
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -1.89%E -0.591%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.39%E -4.73%K -18.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 18:20
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.89%E -0.591%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-04 17:00
DraftKings3.18I 31.45%NM 30.11%EV -2.50%E -0.787%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.89%EV -5.00%E -3.65%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 07:34
GTbets3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -2.50%E -0.787%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 18:20
Winamax (DE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -3.42%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -3.62%E -2.60%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-04 15:40
Unibet (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -3.42%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -3.62%E -2.60%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-04 15:40
Betclic (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -3.42%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -3.62%E -2.60%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-04 16:58
LowVig.ag3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -3.73%E -1.19%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 18:20
BetOnline.ag3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -3.73%E -1.19%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 18:20
NordicBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 10:54
Betsson3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 10:55
BetUS3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 17:00
Hard Rock Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 15:40
Bet Right3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.00%E -3.65%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 15:40
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.00%E -3.65%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 15:40
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 12:09
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 13:04
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 14:45
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 15:40
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.47%E -6.42%K -26.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-04 15:40
Unibet (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
Unibet (NL)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
Casumo3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
Grosvenor3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
LeoVegas3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
betPARX3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
Bally Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
TABtouch3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
Unibet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
ATG (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
Svenska Spel3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
Winamax (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 15:39
Fanatics3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.00%E -3.65%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 10:55
Codere (IT)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.00%E -3.65%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 17:00
Betr (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 18:20
Fliff3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -7.08%E -5.29%K -20.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 17:00
NetBet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -7.08%E -5.29%K -20.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 15:39
1xBet3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -0.843%E -0.589%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-03 18:56
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 12:10
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 10:55
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.39%E -4.73%K -18.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 14:45
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.39%E -4.73%K -18.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.39%E -4.73%K -18.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 17:00
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.39%E -4.73%K -18.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 17:00
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-04 18:19
Virgin Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -9.55%E -3.24%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -5.00%E -3.65%K -13.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 09:00
Marathon Bet2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -9.86%E -3.35%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -2.92%E -2.09%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-03 18:55
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.09%E -3.82%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.92%E -2.09%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 19:20
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.09%E -3.82%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.92%E -2.09%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 19:25
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.09%E -3.82%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.92%E -2.09%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 19:25
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.09%E -3.82%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.92%E -2.09%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 19:25
Caesars2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -11.09%E -3.82%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 16:59
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (4)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29%0.2%2026-03-04 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29%0.2%2026-03-04 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29%0.2%2026-03-04 18:20
Smarkets3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16%2.6%2026-03-04 18:20