Язык:Русский
Mariano Navone v Marcos Giron
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Mariano Navone (Хозяева)
Прогноз 30.66%3.26справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.256%
Преимущество +0.078%
Kelly +0.113%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.27
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
29.36%30.73%30.62%32.56%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.903.073.053.2734.48%32.60%32.79%30.58%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Marcos Giron (Гости)
Прогноз 69.34%1.44справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.843%
Преимущество -0.589%
Kelly -1.96%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.43
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
67.44%69.27%69.38%70.64%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.321.371.381.4375.76%72.90%72.46%69.93%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Mariano Navone (Хозяева): 30.66%; Marcos Giron (Гости): 69.34%. Для исхода «Mariano Navone (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.26. 1 букмекер предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 3.27, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +0.256%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (61 букмекерская контора)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.68%EV +0.256%E +0.078%K +0.113%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.32%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-04 18:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -0.357%E -0.110%K -0.159%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-04 18:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.54%EV -1.28%E -0.397%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.46%EV -6.39%E -4.73%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.89%E -0.591%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 10:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.89%E -0.591%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -1.89%E -0.591%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.39%E -4.73%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 18:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.89%E -0.591%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.11%EV -2.50%E -0.787%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.89%EV -5.00%E -3.65%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 07:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -2.50%E -0.787%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 18:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -3.42%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -3.62%E -2.60%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -3.42%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -3.62%E -2.60%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -3.42%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -3.62%E -2.60%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-04 16:58 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -3.73%E -1.19%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -3.73%E -1.19%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 18:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 10:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 10:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.00%E -3.65%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.00%E -3.65%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 12:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 13:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 14:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.47%E -6.42%K -26.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 09:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 09:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 09:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 09:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 09:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 09:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 09:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 09:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 09:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 09:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 09:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 09:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 09:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 09:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 15:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.00%E -3.65%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 10:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.00%E -3.65%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 18:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -7.08%E -5.29%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -7.08%E -5.29%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-04 15:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -0.843%E -0.589%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-03 18:56 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 12:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-04 10:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-04 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.39%E -4.73%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-04 14:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.39%E -4.73%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-04 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.39%E -4.73%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.39%E -4.73%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 18:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -9.55%E -3.24%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -5.00%E -3.65%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-04 09:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -9.86%E -3.35%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -2.92%E -2.09%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-03 18:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.09%E -3.82%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.92%E -2.09%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 19:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.09%E -3.82%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.92%E -2.09%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.09%E -3.82%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.92%E -2.09%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.09%E -3.82%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.92%E -2.09%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -11.09%E -3.82%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-04 16:59 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (4)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29% | 0.2% | 2026-03-04 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29% | 0.2% | 2026-03-04 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29% | 0.2% | 2026-03-04 18:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16% | 2.6% | 2026-03-04 18:20 |