Die Wettquotenschule

Mariano Navone v Marcos Giron

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-04 19:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

61 Wettanbieter (23 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Mariano Navone (Heim)

Prognose 30.66%3.26faire Quote
EV +0.256%
Vorteil +0.078%
Kelly +0.113%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.27

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
29.36%30.73%30.62%32.56%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.903.073.053.2734.48%32.60%32.79%30.58%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Marcos Giron (Auswärts)

Prognose 69.34%1.44faire Quote
EV -0.843%
Vorteil -0.589%
Kelly -1.96%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.43

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
67.44%69.27%69.38%70.64%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.321.371.381.4375.76%72.90%72.46%69.93%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (61 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle3.27I 30.58%NM 29.68%EV +0.256%E +0.078%K +0.113%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.32%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-04 18:20
Coolbet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -0.357%E -0.110%K -0.159%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-04 18:20
SportsBet3.22I 31.06%NM 29.54%EV -1.28%E -0.397%K -0.575%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.46%EV -6.39%E -4.73%K -18.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 17:00
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.89%E -0.591%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 10:54
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.89%E -0.591%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-04 17:00
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -1.89%E -0.591%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.39%E -4.73%K -18.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 18:20
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.89%E -0.591%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-04 17:00
DraftKings3.18I 31.45%NM 30.11%EV -2.50%E -0.787%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.89%EV -5.00%E -3.65%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 07:34
GTbets3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -2.50%E -0.787%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 18:20
Winamax (DE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -3.42%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -3.62%E -2.60%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-04 15:40
Unibet (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -3.42%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -3.62%E -2.60%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-04 15:40
Betclic (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -3.42%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -3.62%E -2.60%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-04 16:58
LowVig.ag3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -3.73%E -1.19%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 18:20
BetOnline.ag3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -3.73%E -1.19%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 18:20
NordicBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 10:54
Betsson3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 10:55
BetUS3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 17:00
Hard Rock Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 15:40
Bet Right3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.00%E -3.65%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 15:40
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.00%E -3.65%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 15:40
theScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 12:09
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 13:04
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 14:45
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 15:40
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.47%E -6.42%K -26.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-04 15:40
Unibet (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
Unibet (NL)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
Casumo3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
Grosvenor3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
LeoVegas3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
betPARX3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
Bally Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
TABtouch3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
Unibet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
ATG (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
Svenska Spel3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 09:00
Winamax (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 15:39
Fanatics3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.00%E -3.65%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 10:55
Codere (IT)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.00%E -3.65%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 17:00
Betr (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 18:20
Fliff3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -7.08%E -5.29%K -20.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 17:00
NetBet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -7.08%E -5.29%K -20.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 15:39
1xBet3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -0.843%E -0.589%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-03 18:56
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 12:10
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 10:55
TAB3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.39%E -4.73%K -18.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 14:45
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.39%E -4.73%K -18.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.39%E -4.73%K -18.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 17:00
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.39%E -4.73%K -18.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 17:00
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-04 18:19
Virgin Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -9.55%E -3.24%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -5.00%E -3.65%K -13.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 09:00
Marathon Bet2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -9.86%E -3.35%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -2.92%E -2.09%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-03 18:55
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.09%E -3.82%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.92%E -2.09%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 19:20
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.09%E -3.82%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.92%E -2.09%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 19:25
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.09%E -3.82%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.92%E -2.09%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 19:25
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.09%E -3.82%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.92%E -2.09%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 19:25
Caesars2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -11.09%E -3.82%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 16:59
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (4)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29%0.2%2026-03-04 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29%0.2%2026-03-04 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29%0.2%2026-03-04 18:20
Smarkets3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16%2.6%2026-03-04 18:20