Lingua:Italiano
Mariano Navone v Marcos Giron
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Mariano Navone (Casa)
Previsione 30.66%3.26quota equa
EV +0.256%
Vantaggio +0.078%
Kelly +0.113%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.27
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.36%30.73%30.62%32.56%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.073.053.2734.48%32.60%32.79%30.58%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Marcos Giron (Trasferta)
Previsione 69.34%1.44quota equa
EV -0.843%
Vantaggio -0.589%
Kelly -1.96%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.43
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
67.44%69.27%69.38%70.64%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.321.371.381.4375.76%72.90%72.46%69.93%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Mariano Navone (Casa): 30.66%; Marcos Giron (Trasferta): 69.34%. Per Mariano Navone (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.26. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 3.27, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.256%.
Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.68%EV +0.256%E +0.078%K +0.113%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.32%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-04 18:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -0.357%E -0.110%K -0.159%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-04 18:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.54%EV -1.28%E -0.397%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.46%EV -6.39%E -4.73%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.89%E -0.591%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 10:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.89%E -0.591%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -1.89%E -0.591%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.39%E -4.73%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 18:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.89%E -0.591%K -0.859%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.11%EV -2.50%E -0.787%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.89%EV -5.00%E -3.65%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 07:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -2.50%E -0.787%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 18:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -3.42%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -3.62%E -2.60%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -3.42%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -3.62%E -2.60%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -3.42%E -1.09%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -3.62%E -2.60%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-04 16:58 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -3.73%E -1.19%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -3.73%E -1.19%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 18:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 10:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 10:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.00%E -3.65%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.00%E -3.65%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 12:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 13:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 14:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -4.96%E -1.60%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.47%E -6.42%K -26.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-04 15:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 09:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 09:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 09:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 09:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 09:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 09:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 09:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 09:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 09:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 09:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 09:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 09:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 09:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 09:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 15:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.00%E -3.65%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 10:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.00%E -3.65%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 18:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -7.08%E -5.29%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -6.49%E -2.13%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -7.08%E -5.29%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-04 15:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -0.843%E -0.589%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-03 18:56 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 12:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-04 10:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.82%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-04 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.39%E -4.73%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-04 14:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.39%E -4.73%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-04 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.39%E -4.73%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.39%E -4.73%K -18.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.02%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 18:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -9.55%E -3.24%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -5.00%E -3.65%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-04 09:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -9.86%E -3.35%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -2.92%E -2.09%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-03 18:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.09%E -3.82%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.92%E -2.09%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 19:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.09%E -3.82%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.92%E -2.09%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.09%E -3.82%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.92%E -2.09%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -11.09%E -3.82%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.92%E -2.09%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -11.09%E -3.82%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.31%E -3.12%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-04 16:59 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (4)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29% | 0.2% | 2026-03-04 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29% | 0.2% | 2026-03-04 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29% | 0.2% | 2026-03-04 18:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16% | 2.6% | 2026-03-04 18:20 |