语言:简体中文
Lorenzo Musetti v Marton Fucsovics
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Lorenzo Musetti (主队)
预测 72.47%1.38公平赔率
EV -1.45%
优势 -1.06%
Kelly -4.02%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.36
博彩公司预测分布
69.51%72.29%72.48%73.83%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.271.311.311.3678.74%76.15%76.34%73.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
Marton Fucsovics (客队)
预测 27.53%3.63公平赔率
EV +0.225%
优势 +0.062%
Kelly +0.085%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.64
博彩公司预测分布
26.17%27.71%27.52%30.49%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.433.453.6432.26%29.17%28.99%27.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Lorenzo Musetti (主队)：72.47%；Marton Fucsovics (客队)：27.53%。 对于“Marton Fucsovics (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.63。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.64，对应+0.225%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (61 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.83%EV -6.52%E -5.05%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.17%EV +0.225%E +0.062%K +0.085%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -3.62%E -2.72%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -0.876%E -0.243%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-06 20:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -0.876%E -0.243%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.52%E -5.05%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -0.876%E -0.243%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 20:46 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.75%EV -3.62%E -2.72%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -2.25%E -0.635%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -2.25%E -0.635%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.25%E -0.635%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.25%E -0.635%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.25%E -0.635%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.25%E -0.635%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.25%E -0.635%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.25%E -0.635%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 20:46 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.54%EV -2.90%E -2.16%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.46%EV -2.53%E -0.714%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.43%EV -2.90%E -2.16%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.57%EV -3.08%E -0.875%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.82%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.18%EV -3.35%E -0.956%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.62%E -2.72%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.63%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-06 20:53 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.63%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.63%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.63%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -3.90%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -3.90%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 20:56 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 20:46 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 20:46 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -6.52%E -5.05%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -5.28%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.06%EV -3.62%E -2.72%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.94%EV -5.56%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.62%E -2.72%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 20:52 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.52%E -5.05%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 20:46 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.97%E -6.27%K -29.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.76%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.76%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-06 20:46 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.76%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-06 20:56 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.51%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 20:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.45%E -1.06%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.64%E -4.72%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.45%E -1.06%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.64%E -4.72%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.45%E -1.06%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.64%E -4.72%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.45%E -1.06%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.64%E -4.72%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.62%E -2.72%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.64%E -4.72%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.07% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.93% | 0.6% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04% | 2.4% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |