A Escola das Odds

Lorenzo Musetti v Marton Fucsovics

Início: 2026-03-06 21:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (23 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Lorenzo Musetti (Local)

Previsão 72.47%1.38odd justa
EV -1.45%
Vantagem -1.06%
Kelly -4.02%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.36

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
69.51%72.29%72.48%73.83%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.271.311.311.3678.74%76.15%76.34%73.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Marton Fucsovics (Visitante)

Previsão 27.53%3.63odd justa
EV +0.225%
Vantagem +0.062%
Kelly +0.085%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.64

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.17%27.71%27.52%30.49%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.433.453.6432.26%29.17%28.99%27.47%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
SportsBet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.83%EV -6.52%E -5.05%K -22.48%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.17%EV +0.225%E +0.062%K +0.085%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 20:45
Coolbet1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -3.62%E -2.72%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -0.876%E -0.243%K -0.337%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-06 20:44
FanDuel1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -0.876%E -0.243%K -0.337%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 20:45
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.52%E -5.05%K -22.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -0.876%E -0.243%K -0.337%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 20:46
Winamax (DE)1.33I 75.19%NM 72.75%EV -3.62%E -2.72%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -2.25%E -0.635%K -0.883%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-06 20:45
Unibet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -2.25%E -0.635%K -0.883%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-06 20:55
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.25%E -0.635%K -0.883%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 20:45
BetRivers1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.25%E -0.635%K -0.883%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 20:45
Unibet (NL)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.25%E -0.635%K -0.883%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 20:45
Unibet (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.25%E -0.635%K -0.883%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 20:45
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.25%E -0.635%K -0.883%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 20:45
TABtouch1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.25%E -0.635%K -0.883%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 20:46
Pinnacle1.34I 74.63%NM 72.54%EV -2.90%E -2.16%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.46%EV -2.53%E -0.714%K -0.995%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-06 20:45
1xBet1.34I 74.63%NM 72.43%EV -2.90%E -2.16%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.57%EV -3.08%E -0.875%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-06 20:45
GTbets1.31I 76.34%NM 72.82%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.36%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.18%EV -3.35%E -0.956%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 20:55
Betclic (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.62%E -2.72%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.63%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-06 20:53
Hard Rock Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.63%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 20:55
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.63%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 20:45
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.63%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 20:55
LowVig.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -3.90%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 20:45
BetOnline.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -3.90%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 20:45
Unibet (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 20:45
Casumo1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 20:55
Unibet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 20:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 20:55
Grosvenor1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 20:55
betPARX1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 20:55
Bally Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 20:56
ATG (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 20:55
Svenska Spel1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 20:55
Bet Right1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 20:46
Betsson1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 20:46
NordicBet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 20:45
Winamax (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 20:45
Fanatics1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 20:45
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 20:45
theScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 20:45
Fliff1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -6.52%E -5.05%K -22.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 20:45
Marathon Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.36%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -5.28%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 20:45
DraftKings1.33I 75.19%NM 72.06%EV -3.62%E -2.72%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.94%EV -5.56%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-06 20:45
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.62%E -2.72%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 20:52
Codere (IT)1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 20:45
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 20:45
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 20:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 20:45
Everygame1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 20:45
PointsBet (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.52%E -5.05%K -22.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 20:46
Tipico (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.97%E -6.27%K -29.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-06 20:45
BetUS1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.76%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 20:45
Betr (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.76%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 20:46
NetBet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.76%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 20:56
TAB1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 20:45
Virgin Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 20:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 20:45
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 20:45
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.51%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 20:49
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.45%E -1.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.64%E -4.72%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 20:45
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.45%E -1.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.64%E -4.72%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 20:45
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.45%E -1.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.64%E -4.72%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 20:45
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.45%E -1.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.64%E -4.72%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 20:45
Caesars1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.62%E -2.72%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.64%E -4.72%K -6.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-06 20:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-03-06 20:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-03-06 20:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-03-06 20:45
Matchbook1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-03-06 20:50
Novig1.36I 73.53%NM 73.07%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.93%0.6%2026-03-06 20:50
Smarkets1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%2.4%2026-03-06 20:45