La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Lorenzo Musetti v Marton Fucsovics
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Lorenzo Musetti (Local)
Predicción 72.47%1.38momio equitativo
EV -1.45%
Ventaja -1.06%
Kelly -4.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.36
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.51%72.29%72.48%73.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.271.311.311.3678.74%76.15%76.34%73.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Marton Fucsovics (Visitante)
Predicción 27.53%3.63momio equitativo
EV +0.225%
Ventaja +0.062%
Kelly +0.085%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.64
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.17%27.71%27.52%30.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.433.453.6432.26%29.17%28.99%27.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.83%EV -6.52%E -5.05%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.17%EV +0.225%E +0.062%K +0.085%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Coolbet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -3.62%E -2.72%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -0.876%E -0.243%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-06 20:44 |
| FanDuel | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -0.876%E -0.243%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.52%E -5.05%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -0.876%E -0.243%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 20:46 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.75%EV -3.62%E -2.72%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -2.25%E -0.635%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -2.25%E -0.635%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.25%E -0.635%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.25%E -0.635%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.25%E -0.635%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.25%E -0.635%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| LeoVegas | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.25%E -0.635%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.25%E -0.635%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 20:46 |
| Pinnacle | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.54%EV -2.90%E -2.16%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.46%EV -2.53%E -0.714%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| 1xBet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.43%EV -2.90%E -2.16%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.57%EV -3.08%E -0.875%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| GTbets | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.82%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.18%EV -3.35%E -0.956%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.62%E -2.72%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.63%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-06 20:53 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.63%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Betway | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.63%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| BoyleSports | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.63%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -3.90%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -3.90%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Casumo | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Unibet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| betPARX | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Bally Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 20:56 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Bet Right | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 20:46 |
| Betsson | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 20:46 |
| NordicBet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Fanatics | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| PlayUp | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| theScore Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Fliff | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -6.52%E -5.05%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -5.28%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| DraftKings | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.06%EV -3.62%E -2.72%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.94%EV -5.56%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Bovada | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.62%E -2.72%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 20:52 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| BetMGM | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Coral | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Everygame | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.52%E -5.05%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 20:46 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.97%E -6.27%K -29.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| BetUS | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.76%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.76%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-06 20:46 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.76%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-06 20:56 |
| TAB | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Neds | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Bet Victor | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.51%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 20:49 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.45%E -1.06%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.64%E -4.72%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| William Hill | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.45%E -1.06%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.64%E -4.72%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.45%E -1.06%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.64%E -4.72%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.45%E -1.06%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.64%E -4.72%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Caesars | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.62%E -2.72%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.64%E -4.72%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Matchbook | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Novig | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.07% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.93% | 0.6% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04% | 2.4% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |