مدرسة الاحتمالات

Lorenzo Musetti v Marton Fucsovics

البداية: 2026-03-06 21:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (23 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Lorenzo Musetti (المضيف)

التنبؤ 72.47%1.38السعر العادل
EV -1.45%
الأفضلية -1.06%
Kelly -4.02%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.36

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
69.51%72.29%72.48%73.83%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.271.311.311.3678.74%76.15%76.34%73.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Marton Fucsovics (الضيف)

التنبؤ 27.53%3.63السعر العادل
EV +0.225%
الأفضلية +0.062%
Kelly +0.085%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.64

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.17%27.71%27.52%30.49%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.433.453.6432.26%29.17%28.99%27.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
SportsBet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.83%EV -6.52%E -5.05%K -22.48%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.17%EV +0.225%E +0.062%K +0.085%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 20:45
Coolbet1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -3.62%E -2.72%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -0.876%E -0.243%K -0.337%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-06 20:44
FanDuel1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -0.876%E -0.243%K -0.337%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 20:45
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.52%E -5.05%K -22.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -0.876%E -0.243%K -0.337%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 20:46
Winamax (DE)1.33I 75.19%NM 72.75%EV -3.62%E -2.72%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -2.25%E -0.635%K -0.883%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-06 20:45
Unibet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -2.25%E -0.635%K -0.883%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-06 20:55
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.25%E -0.635%K -0.883%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 20:45
BetRivers1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.25%E -0.635%K -0.883%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 20:45
Unibet (NL)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.25%E -0.635%K -0.883%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 20:45
Unibet (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.25%E -0.635%K -0.883%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 20:45
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.25%E -0.635%K -0.883%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 20:45
TABtouch1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.25%E -0.635%K -0.883%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 20:46
Pinnacle1.34I 74.63%NM 72.54%EV -2.90%E -2.16%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.46%EV -2.53%E -0.714%K -0.995%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-06 20:45
1xBet1.34I 74.63%NM 72.43%EV -2.90%E -2.16%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.57%EV -3.08%E -0.875%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-06 20:45
GTbets1.31I 76.34%NM 72.82%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.36%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.18%EV -3.35%E -0.956%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 20:55
Betclic (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.62%E -2.72%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.63%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-06 20:53
Hard Rock Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.63%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 20:55
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.63%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 20:45
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.63%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 20:55
LowVig.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -3.90%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 20:45
BetOnline.ag1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -3.90%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 20:45
Unibet (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 20:45
Casumo1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 20:55
Unibet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 20:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 20:55
Grosvenor1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 20:55
betPARX1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 20:55
Bally Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 20:56
ATG (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 20:55
Svenska Spel1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 20:55
Bet Right1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 20:46
Betsson1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 20:46
NordicBet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 20:45
Winamax (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 20:45
Fanatics1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 20:45
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 20:45
theScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 20:45
Fliff1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -6.52%E -5.05%K -22.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 20:45
Marathon Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.36%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -5.28%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 20:45
DraftKings1.33I 75.19%NM 72.06%EV -3.62%E -2.72%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.94%EV -5.56%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-06 20:45
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.62%E -2.72%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 20:52
Codere (IT)1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 20:45
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 20:45
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 20:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 20:45
Everygame1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 20:45
PointsBet (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.52%E -5.05%K -22.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 20:46
Tipico (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.97%E -6.27%K -29.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-06 20:45
BetUS1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.76%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 20:45
Betr (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.76%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 20:46
NetBet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.76%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 20:56
TAB1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 20:45
Virgin Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 20:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 20:45
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 20:45
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.51%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 20:49
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.45%E -1.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.64%E -4.72%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 20:45
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.45%E -1.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.64%E -4.72%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 20:45
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.45%E -1.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.64%E -4.72%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 20:45
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.45%E -1.06%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.64%E -4.72%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 20:45
Caesars1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.62%E -2.72%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.64%E -4.72%K -6.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-06 20:45
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-03-06 20:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-03-06 20:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-03-06 20:45
Matchbook1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-03-06 20:50
Novig1.36I 73.53%NM 73.07%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.93%0.6%2026-03-06 20:50
Smarkets1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%2.4%2026-03-06 20:45