La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Lorenzo Musetti v Marton Fucsovics
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Lorenzo Musetti (Casa)
Previsione 72.47%1.38quota equa
EV -1.45%
Vantaggio -1.06%
Kelly -4.02%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.36
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
69.51%72.29%72.48%73.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.271.311.311.3678.74%76.15%76.34%73.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Marton Fucsovics (Trasferta)
Previsione 27.53%3.63quota equa
EV +0.225%
Vantaggio +0.062%
Kelly +0.085%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.64
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.17%27.71%27.52%30.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.433.453.6432.26%29.17%28.99%27.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.83%EV -6.52%E -5.05%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.17%EV +0.225%E +0.062%K +0.085%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Coolbet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -3.62%E -2.72%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -0.876%E -0.243%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-06 20:44 |
| FanDuel | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -0.876%E -0.243%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.52%E -5.05%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -0.876%E -0.243%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 20:46 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.75%EV -3.62%E -2.72%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -2.25%E -0.635%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -2.25%E -0.635%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.25%E -0.635%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.25%E -0.635%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.25%E -0.635%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.25%E -0.635%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| LeoVegas | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.25%E -0.635%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.25%E -0.635%K -0.883%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 20:46 |
| Pinnacle | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.54%EV -2.90%E -2.16%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.46%EV -2.53%E -0.714%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| 1xBet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.43%EV -2.90%E -2.16%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.57%EV -3.08%E -0.875%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| GTbets | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.82%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.18%EV -3.35%E -0.956%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.62%E -2.72%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.63%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-06 20:53 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.63%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Betway | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.63%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| BoyleSports | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.63%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -3.90%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -3.90%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Casumo | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Unibet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| betPARX | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Bally Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 20:56 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Bet Right | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 20:46 |
| Betsson | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 20:46 |
| NordicBet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Fanatics | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| PlayUp | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| theScore Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Fliff | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -6.52%E -5.05%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -5.28%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| DraftKings | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.06%EV -3.62%E -2.72%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.94%EV -5.56%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Bovada | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.62%E -2.72%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 20:52 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| BetMGM | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Coral | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Everygame | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.52%E -5.05%K -22.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 20:46 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.97%E -6.27%K -29.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.38%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| BetUS | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.35%E -3.29%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.76%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.76%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-06 20:46 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.76%E -2.32%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-06 20:56 |
| TAB | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Neds | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.14%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Bet Victor | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.79%E -4.46%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.51%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 20:49 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.45%E -1.06%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.64%E -4.72%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| William Hill | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.45%E -1.06%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.64%E -4.72%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.45%E -1.06%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.64%E -4.72%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.45%E -1.06%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.64%E -4.72%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Caesars | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.62%E -2.72%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.64%E -4.72%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |
| Matchbook | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Novig | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.07% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.93% | 0.6% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04% | 2.4% | 2026-03-06 20:45 |