语言:简体中文
Denis Shapovalov v Jannik Sinner
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Denis Shapovalov (主队)
预测 7.83%12.77公平赔率
EV +22.13%
优势 +1.42%
Kelly +1.52%
增长率 +0.335%
假设最高赔率为 15.60
博彩公司预测分布
6.23%8.00%7.90%10.90%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
8.5012.3712.5615.6011.76%8.08%7.96%6.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
Jannik Sinner (客队)
预测 92.17%1.08公平赔率
EV -3.22%
优势 -3.07%
Kelly -64.40%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.05
博彩公司预测分布
89.10%92.00%92.10%93.77%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.021.031.031.0598.04%96.88%97.09%95.24%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Denis Shapovalov (主队)：7.83%；Jannik Sinner (客队)：92.17%。 对于“Denis Shapovalov (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为12.77。 当时有25家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为15.60，对应+22.13%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (51 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 15.60I 6.41%NM 6.25%EV +22.13%E +1.42%K +1.52%G +0.335% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.75%EV -4.14%E -3.98%K -103.54%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.23%EV +21.34%E +1.38%K +1.47%G +0.314% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.77%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-08 22:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +17.43%E +1.16%K +1.24%G +0.217% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +17.43%E +1.16%K +1.24%G +0.217% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 22:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +17.43%E +1.16%K +1.24%G +0.217% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.99%E -5.87%K -299.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 22:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +17.43%E +1.16%K +1.24%G +0.217% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.99%E -5.87%K -299.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 22:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +17.43%E +1.16%K +1.24%G +0.217% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.99%E -5.87%K -299.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 14.61I 6.84%NM 6.70%EV +14.38%E +0.984%K +1.06%G +0.152% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.30%EV -3.22%E -3.07%K -64.40%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.69%EV +13.51%E +0.932%K +1.00%G +0.135% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.31%EV -4.14%E -3.98%K -103.54%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 13.80I 7.25%NM 6.88%EV +8.03%E +0.582%K +0.628%G +0.050% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.12%EV -5.99%E -5.87%K -299.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 22:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.09%EV +5.69%E +0.421%K +0.455%G +0.026% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.91%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 22:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +1.77%E +0.136%K +0.148%G +0.003% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -3.22%E -3.07%K -64.40%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +1.77%E +0.136%K +0.148%G +0.003% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +1.77%E +0.136%K +0.148%G +0.003% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +1.77%E +0.136%K +0.148%G +0.003% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +1.77%E +0.136%K +0.148%G +0.003% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +1.77%E +0.136%K +0.148%G +0.003% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +1.77%E +0.136%K +0.148%G +0.003% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +1.77%E +0.136%K +0.148%G +0.003% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +1.77%E +0.136%K +0.148%G +0.003% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +1.77%E +0.136%K +0.148%G +0.003% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +1.77%E +0.136%K +0.148%G +0.003% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +1.77%E +0.136%K +0.148%G +0.003% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +1.77%E +0.136%K +0.148%G +0.003% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.99%E -5.87%K -299.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-08 22:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 12.95I 7.72%NM 7.37%EV +1.38%E +0.107%K +0.115%G +0.002% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.63%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 22:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 12.56I 7.96%NM 7.65%EV -1.67%E -0.133%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.35%EV -4.14%E -3.98%K -103.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 12.56I 7.96%NM 7.65%EV -1.67%E -0.133%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.35%EV -4.14%E -3.98%K -103.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -6.06%E -0.505%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.14%E -3.98%K -103.54%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -6.06%E -0.505%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 22:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -6.06%E -0.505%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -6.06%E -0.505%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -6.06%E -0.505%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -6.06%E -0.505%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -9.97%E -0.867%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -9.97%E -0.867%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -5.99%E -5.87%K -299.26%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -11.93%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -13.89%E -1.26%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.22%E -3.07%K -64.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -13.89%E -1.26%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.22%E -3.07%K -64.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -13.89%E -1.26%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.14%E -3.98%K -103.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -13.89%E -1.26%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.14%E -3.98%K -103.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -13.89%E -1.26%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -13.89%E -1.26%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -13.89%E -1.26%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -17.80%E -1.70%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -5.99%E -5.87%K -299.26%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -17.80%E -1.70%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -5.99%E -5.87%K -299.26%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -21.71%E -2.17%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.14%E -3.98%K -103.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -21.71%E -2.17%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.14%E -3.98%K -103.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 21:56 |
| TAB🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -21.71%E -2.17%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -23.67%E -2.43%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%EV -4.14%E -3.98%K -103.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -29.54%E -3.28%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -33.46%E -3.94%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -4.14%E -3.98%K -103.54%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.79% | 0.6% | 2026-03-08 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.79% | 0.6% | 2026-03-08 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.79% | 0.6% | 2026-03-08 22:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.79% | 0.6% | 2026-03-08 22:19 |
| Smarkets◎ | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.34% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.66% | 1.7% | 2026-03-08 22:05 |