A Escola das Odds

Denis Shapovalov v Jannik Sinner

Início: 2026-03-08 22:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Denis Shapovalov (Local)

Previsão 7.83%12.77odd justa
EV +22.13%
Vantagem +1.42%
Kelly +1.52%
Crescimento +0.335%

pressupondo odds máximas de 15.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
6.23%8.00%7.90%10.90%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
8.5012.3712.5615.6011.76%8.08%7.96%6.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Jannik Sinner (Visitante)

Previsão 92.17%1.08odd justa
EV -3.22%
Vantagem -3.07%
Kelly -64.40%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
89.10%92.00%92.10%93.77%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.021.031.031.0598.04%96.88%97.09%95.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
DraftKings15.60I 6.41%NM 6.25%EV +22.13%E +1.42%K +1.52%G +0.335%1.04I 96.15%NM 93.75%EV -4.14%E -3.98%K -103.54%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-08 22:00
1xBet15.50I 6.45%NM 6.23%EV +21.34%E +1.38%K +1.47%G +0.314%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.77%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-08 22:05
Winamax (DE)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +17.43%E +1.16%K +1.24%G +0.217%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-08 22:00
Paddy Power15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +17.43%E +1.16%K +1.24%G +0.217%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-08 22:20
SportsBet15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +17.43%E +1.16%K +1.24%G +0.217%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.99%E -5.87%K -299.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 22:19
FanDuel15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +17.43%E +1.16%K +1.24%G +0.217%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.99%E -5.87%K -299.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 22:19
Bovada15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +17.43%E +1.16%K +1.24%G +0.217%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.99%E -5.87%K -299.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 21:59
Pinnacle14.61I 6.84%NM 6.70%EV +14.38%E +0.984%K +1.06%G +0.152%1.05I 95.24%NM 93.30%EV -3.22%E -3.07%K -64.40%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-08 22:00
Coolbet14.50I 6.90%NM 6.69%EV +13.51%E +0.932%K +1.00%G +0.135%1.04I 96.15%NM 93.31%EV -4.14%E -3.98%K -103.54%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-08 21:59
Unibet (FR)13.80I 7.25%NM 6.88%EV +8.03%E +0.582%K +0.628%G +0.050%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.12%EV -5.99%E -5.87%K -299.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 22:19
Winamax (FR)13.50I 7.41%NM 7.09%EV +5.69%E +0.421%K +0.455%G +0.026%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.91%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-08 22:05
BoyleSports13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +1.77%E +0.136%K +0.148%G +0.003%1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -3.22%E -3.07%K -64.40%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-08 21:59
Bet Right13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +1.77%E +0.136%K +0.148%G +0.003%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 22:00
Casumo13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +1.77%E +0.136%K +0.148%G +0.003%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 22:00
Unibet (NL)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +1.77%E +0.136%K +0.148%G +0.003%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 22:00
LeoVegas13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +1.77%E +0.136%K +0.148%G +0.003%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 22:00
Grosvenor13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +1.77%E +0.136%K +0.148%G +0.003%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 22:00
Unibet (SE)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +1.77%E +0.136%K +0.148%G +0.003%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 22:00
TABtouch13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +1.77%E +0.136%K +0.148%G +0.003%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 22:00
Unibet13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +1.77%E +0.136%K +0.148%G +0.003%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 22:00
LeoVegas (SE)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +1.77%E +0.136%K +0.148%G +0.003%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 22:00
LiveScore Bet13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +1.77%E +0.136%K +0.148%G +0.003%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 22:00
BetRivers13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +1.77%E +0.136%K +0.148%G +0.003%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 22:00
Betclic (FR)13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +1.77%E +0.136%K +0.148%G +0.003%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.99%E -5.87%K -299.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 22:19
GTbets12.95I 7.72%NM 7.37%EV +1.38%E +0.107%K +0.115%G +0.002%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.63%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-08 22:19
LowVig.ag12.56I 7.96%NM 7.65%EV -1.67%E -0.133%K -0.145%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.35%EV -4.14%E -3.98%K -103.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 22:00
BetOnline.ag12.56I 7.96%NM 7.65%EV -1.67%E -0.133%K -0.145%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.35%EV -4.14%E -3.98%K -103.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 22:00
PointsBet (AU)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -6.06%E -0.505%K -0.551%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.14%E -3.98%K -103.54%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-08 22:00
Marathon Bet12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -6.06%E -0.505%K -0.551%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 22:19
Betsson12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -6.06%E -0.505%K -0.551%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 21:59
Unibet (UK)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -6.06%E -0.505%K -0.551%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 22:00
Betway12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -6.06%E -0.505%K -0.551%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 22:00
NordicBet12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -6.06%E -0.505%K -0.551%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 22:00
Fanatics11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -9.97%E -0.867%K -0.950%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 22:00
Virgin Bet11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -9.97%E -0.867%K -0.950%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -5.99%E -5.87%K -299.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 22:00
Betr (AU)11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -11.93%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 21:59
Ladbrokes (UK)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -13.89%E -1.26%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.22%E -3.07%K -64.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 22:00
Coral11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -13.89%E -1.26%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.22%E -3.07%K -64.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 22:00
888sport11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -13.89%E -1.26%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.14%E -3.98%K -103.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 22:00
William Hill11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -13.89%E -1.26%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.14%E -3.98%K -103.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 21:59
Codere (IT)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -13.89%E -1.26%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 22:00
PlayUp11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -13.89%E -1.26%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 22:00
BetUS11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -13.89%E -1.26%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 21:59
Neds10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -17.80%E -1.70%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -5.99%E -5.87%K -299.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-08 22:00
Ladbrokes (AU)10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -17.80%E -1.70%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -5.99%E -5.87%K -299.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-08 22:00
Everygame10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -21.71%E -2.17%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.14%E -3.98%K -103.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 22:00
Caesars10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -21.71%E -2.17%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.14%E -3.98%K -103.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 21:56
TAB10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -21.71%E -2.17%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 22:00
BetMGM9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -23.67%E -2.43%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%EV -4.14%E -3.98%K -103.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 22:00
Tipico (DE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -29.54%E -3.28%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 22:00
Bet Victor8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -33.46%E -3.94%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -4.14%E -3.98%K -103.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 22:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21%1.06I 94.34%NM 93.79%0.6%2026-03-08 22:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21%1.06I 94.34%NM 93.79%0.6%2026-03-08 22:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21%1.06I 94.34%NM 93.79%0.6%2026-03-08 22:20
Matchbook16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21%1.06I 94.34%NM 93.79%0.6%2026-03-08 22:19
Smarkets15.50I 6.45%NM 6.34%1.05I 95.24%NM 93.66%1.7%2026-03-08 22:05