La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Denis Shapovalov v Jannik Sinner
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Denis Shapovalov (Casa)
Previsione 7.83%12.77quota equa
EV +22.13%
Vantaggio +1.42%
Kelly +1.52%
Crescita +0.335%
ipotizzando la quota massima 15.60
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
6.23%8.00%7.90%10.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
8.5012.3712.5615.6011.76%8.08%7.96%6.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Jannik Sinner (Trasferta)
Previsione 92.17%1.08quota equa
EV -3.22%
Vantaggio -3.07%
Kelly -64.40%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.05
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
89.10%92.00%92.10%93.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.021.031.031.0598.04%96.88%97.09%95.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (51 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 15.60I 6.41%NM 6.25%EV +22.13%E +1.42%K +1.52%G +0.335% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.75%EV -4.14%E -3.98%K -103.54%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| 1xBet | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.23%EV +21.34%E +1.38%K +1.47%G +0.314% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.77%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-08 22:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +17.43%E +1.16%K +1.24%G +0.217% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Paddy Power | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +17.43%E +1.16%K +1.24%G +0.217% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 22:20 |
| SportsBet | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +17.43%E +1.16%K +1.24%G +0.217% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.99%E -5.87%K -299.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 22:19 |
| FanDuel | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +17.43%E +1.16%K +1.24%G +0.217% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.99%E -5.87%K -299.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 22:19 |
| Bovada | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +17.43%E +1.16%K +1.24%G +0.217% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.99%E -5.87%K -299.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| Pinnacle | 14.61I 6.84%NM 6.70%EV +14.38%E +0.984%K +1.06%G +0.152% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.30%EV -3.22%E -3.07%K -64.40%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Coolbet | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.69%EV +13.51%E +0.932%K +1.00%G +0.135% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.31%EV -4.14%E -3.98%K -103.54%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 13.80I 7.25%NM 6.88%EV +8.03%E +0.582%K +0.628%G +0.050% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.12%EV -5.99%E -5.87%K -299.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 22:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.09%EV +5.69%E +0.421%K +0.455%G +0.026% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.91%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 22:05 |
| BoyleSports | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +1.77%E +0.136%K +0.148%G +0.003% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -3.22%E -3.07%K -64.40%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| Bet Right | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +1.77%E +0.136%K +0.148%G +0.003% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Casumo | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +1.77%E +0.136%K +0.148%G +0.003% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +1.77%E +0.136%K +0.148%G +0.003% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| LeoVegas | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +1.77%E +0.136%K +0.148%G +0.003% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Grosvenor | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +1.77%E +0.136%K +0.148%G +0.003% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +1.77%E +0.136%K +0.148%G +0.003% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| TABtouch | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +1.77%E +0.136%K +0.148%G +0.003% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Unibet | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +1.77%E +0.136%K +0.148%G +0.003% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +1.77%E +0.136%K +0.148%G +0.003% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +1.77%E +0.136%K +0.148%G +0.003% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| BetRivers | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +1.77%E +0.136%K +0.148%G +0.003% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +1.77%E +0.136%K +0.148%G +0.003% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.99%E -5.87%K -299.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-08 22:19 |
| GTbets | 12.95I 7.72%NM 7.37%EV +1.38%E +0.107%K +0.115%G +0.002% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.63%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 22:19 |
| LowVig.ag | 12.56I 7.96%NM 7.65%EV -1.67%E -0.133%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.35%EV -4.14%E -3.98%K -103.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 12.56I 7.96%NM 7.65%EV -1.67%E -0.133%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.35%EV -4.14%E -3.98%K -103.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -6.06%E -0.505%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.14%E -3.98%K -103.54%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -6.06%E -0.505%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 22:19 |
| Betsson | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -6.06%E -0.505%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -6.06%E -0.505%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Betway | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -6.06%E -0.505%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| NordicBet | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -6.06%E -0.505%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Fanatics | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -9.97%E -0.867%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -9.97%E -0.867%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -5.99%E -5.87%K -299.26%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -11.93%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -13.89%E -1.26%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.22%E -3.07%K -64.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Coral | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -13.89%E -1.26%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.22%E -3.07%K -64.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| 888sport | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -13.89%E -1.26%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.14%E -3.98%K -103.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| William Hill | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -13.89%E -1.26%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.14%E -3.98%K -103.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -13.89%E -1.26%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| PlayUp | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -13.89%E -1.26%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| BetUS | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -13.89%E -1.26%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| Neds | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -17.80%E -1.70%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -5.99%E -5.87%K -299.26%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -17.80%E -1.70%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -5.99%E -5.87%K -299.26%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Everygame | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -21.71%E -2.17%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.14%E -3.98%K -103.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Caesars | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -21.71%E -2.17%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.14%E -3.98%K -103.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 21:56 |
| TAB | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -21.71%E -2.17%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| BetMGM | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -23.67%E -2.43%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%EV -4.14%E -3.98%K -103.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -29.54%E -3.28%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Bet Victor | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -33.46%E -3.94%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -4.14%E -3.98%K -103.54%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.79% | 0.6% | 2026-03-08 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.79% | 0.6% | 2026-03-08 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.79% | 0.6% | 2026-03-08 22:20 |
| Matchbook | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.79% | 0.6% | 2026-03-08 22:19 |
| Smarkets | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.34% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.66% | 1.7% | 2026-03-08 22:05 |