Idioma:Español
Denis Shapovalov v Jannik Sinner
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Denis Shapovalov (Local)
Predicción 7.83%12.77momio equitativo
EV +22.13%
Ventaja +1.42%
Kelly +1.52%
Crecimiento +0.335%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 15.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
6.23%8.00%7.90%10.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
8.5012.3712.5615.6011.76%8.08%7.96%6.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Jannik Sinner (Visitante)
Predicción 92.17%1.08momio equitativo
EV -3.22%
Ventaja -3.07%
Kelly -64.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
89.10%92.00%92.10%93.77%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.021.031.031.0598.04%96.88%97.09%95.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Denis Shapovalov (Local): 7.83%; Jannik Sinner (Visitante): 92.17%. Para Denis Shapovalov (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 12.77. 25 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 15.60, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +22.13%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 15.60I 6.41%NM 6.25%EV +22.13%E +1.42%K +1.52%G +0.335% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.75%EV -4.14%E -3.98%K -103.54%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.23%EV +21.34%E +1.38%K +1.47%G +0.314% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.77%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-08 22:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +17.43%E +1.16%K +1.24%G +0.217% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV +17.43%E +1.16%K +1.24%G +0.217% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 22:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +17.43%E +1.16%K +1.24%G +0.217% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.99%E -5.87%K -299.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 22:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +17.43%E +1.16%K +1.24%G +0.217% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.99%E -5.87%K -299.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 22:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +17.43%E +1.16%K +1.24%G +0.217% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.99%E -5.87%K -299.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 14.61I 6.84%NM 6.70%EV +14.38%E +0.984%K +1.06%G +0.152% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.30%EV -3.22%E -3.07%K -64.40%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.69%EV +13.51%E +0.932%K +1.00%G +0.135% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.31%EV -4.14%E -3.98%K -103.54%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 13.80I 7.25%NM 6.88%EV +8.03%E +0.582%K +0.628%G +0.050% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.12%EV -5.99%E -5.87%K -299.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 22:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.09%EV +5.69%E +0.421%K +0.455%G +0.026% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.91%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 22:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +1.77%E +0.136%K +0.148%G +0.003% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -3.22%E -3.07%K -64.40%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +1.77%E +0.136%K +0.148%G +0.003% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +1.77%E +0.136%K +0.148%G +0.003% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +1.77%E +0.136%K +0.148%G +0.003% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +1.77%E +0.136%K +0.148%G +0.003% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +1.77%E +0.136%K +0.148%G +0.003% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +1.77%E +0.136%K +0.148%G +0.003% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +1.77%E +0.136%K +0.148%G +0.003% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +1.77%E +0.136%K +0.148%G +0.003% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +1.77%E +0.136%K +0.148%G +0.003% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +1.77%E +0.136%K +0.148%G +0.003% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +1.77%E +0.136%K +0.148%G +0.003% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +1.77%E +0.136%K +0.148%G +0.003% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.99%E -5.87%K -299.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-08 22:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 12.95I 7.72%NM 7.37%EV +1.38%E +0.107%K +0.115%G +0.002% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.63%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 22:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 12.56I 7.96%NM 7.65%EV -1.67%E -0.133%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.35%EV -4.14%E -3.98%K -103.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 12.56I 7.96%NM 7.65%EV -1.67%E -0.133%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.35%EV -4.14%E -3.98%K -103.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -6.06%E -0.505%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.14%E -3.98%K -103.54%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -6.06%E -0.505%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 22:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -6.06%E -0.505%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -6.06%E -0.505%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -6.06%E -0.505%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -6.06%E -0.505%K -0.551%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -9.97%E -0.867%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -9.97%E -0.867%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -5.99%E -5.87%K -299.26%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -11.93%E -1.06%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -13.89%E -1.26%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.22%E -3.07%K -64.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -13.89%E -1.26%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.22%E -3.07%K -64.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -13.89%E -1.26%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.14%E -3.98%K -103.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -13.89%E -1.26%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.14%E -3.98%K -103.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -13.89%E -1.26%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -13.89%E -1.26%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -13.89%E -1.26%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 21:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -17.80%E -1.70%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -5.99%E -5.87%K -299.26%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -17.80%E -1.70%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -5.99%E -5.87%K -299.26%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -21.71%E -2.17%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.14%E -3.98%K -103.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -21.71%E -2.17%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.14%E -3.98%K -103.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 21:56 |
| TAB🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -21.71%E -2.17%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -23.67%E -2.43%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%EV -4.14%E -3.98%K -103.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -29.54%E -3.28%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -5.06%E -4.92%K -168.78%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -33.46%E -3.94%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -4.14%E -3.98%K -103.54%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-08 22:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.79% | 0.6% | 2026-03-08 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.79% | 0.6% | 2026-03-08 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.79% | 0.6% | 2026-03-08 22:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.21% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.79% | 0.6% | 2026-03-08 22:19 |
| Smarkets◎ | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.34% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.66% | 1.7% | 2026-03-08 22:05 |