Школа коэффициентов

Daniil Medvedev v Sebastian Baez

Начало: 2026-03-10 04:00 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

61 букмекерская контора (23 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Daniil Medvedev (Хозяева)

Прогноз 83.69%1.19справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.08%
Преимущество -1.78%
Kelly -12.22%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.17

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
79.86%83.64%83.80%86.21%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.101.131.131.1790.91%88.38%88.50%85.47%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Sebastian Baez (Гости)

Прогноз 16.31%6.13справедливый коэффициент
EV +14.14%
Преимущество +2.02%
Kelly +2.36%
Рост +0.333%

при максимальном коэффициенте 7.00

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
13.79%16.36%16.20%20.14%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
4.605.705.757.0021.74%17.54%17.39%14.29%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (61 букмекерская контора)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼МаржаОбновлено
Winamax (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +14.14%E +2.02%K +2.36%G +0.333%3.6%2026-03-10 03:19
DraftKings1.12I 89.29%NM 86.12%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.19%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.88%EV +13.33%E +1.92%K +2.24%G +0.299%3.7%2026-03-10 03:19
Unibet (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +5.99%E +0.921%K +1.09%G +0.065%4.7%2026-03-10 03:20
Bovada1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +5.99%E +0.921%K +1.09%G +0.065%4.7%2026-03-10 03:20
Winamax (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -7.10%E -6.40%K -64.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +5.99%E +0.921%K +1.09%G +0.065%5.5%2026-03-10 03:20
Betclic (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +4.36%E +0.681%K +0.807%G +0.035%4.1%2026-03-10 02:59
Pinnacle1.16I 86.21%NM 84.41%EV -2.92%E -2.51%K -18.22%G +0.000%6.28I 15.92%NM 15.59%EV +2.40%E +0.383%K +0.455%G +0.011%2.1%2026-03-10 03:00
NordicBet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -7.94%E -7.22%K -79.37%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV +1.91%E +0.306%K +0.364%G +0.007%6.9%2026-03-10 03:19
Betsson1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -7.94%E -7.22%K -79.37%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV +1.91%E +0.306%K +0.364%G +0.007%6.9%2026-03-10 03:19
GTbets1.13I 88.50%NM 84.56%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%6.19I 16.16%NM 15.44%EV +0.935%E +0.151%K +0.180%G +0.002%4.7%2026-03-10 03:19
1xBet1.15I 86.96%NM 84.09%EV -3.75%E -3.26%K -25.01%G +0.000%6.08I 16.45%NM 15.91%EV -0.859%E -0.141%K -0.169%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-10 03:09
Coolbet1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%EV -2.92%E -2.51%K -18.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV -2.16%E -0.361%K -0.433%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-10 03:04
SportsBet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.16%E -0.361%K -0.433%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 03:00
Betway1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.16%E -0.361%K -0.433%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 02:59
theScore Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.16%E -0.361%K -0.433%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 03:19
888sport1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.10%E -6.40%K -64.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -2.16%E -0.361%K -0.433%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-10 03:24
888sport (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.10%E -6.40%K -64.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -2.16%E -0.361%K -0.433%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-10 03:24
Mr Green (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.10%E -6.40%K -64.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -2.16%E -0.361%K -0.433%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-10 03:24
FanDuel1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -5.42%E -0.935%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-10 02:59
NetBet (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.19%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -5.42%E -0.935%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-10 03:04
Fanatics1.10I 90.91%NM 84.06%EV -7.94%E -7.22%K -79.37%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -5.42%E -0.935%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-10 03:18
LowVig.ag1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -3.75%E -3.26%K -25.01%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -6.08%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 03:15
BetOnline.ag1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -3.75%E -3.26%K -25.01%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -6.08%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 03:15
BetUS1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.24%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 02:59
Unibet (NL)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.24%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 03:24
Unibet (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.24%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 03:24
Unibet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.24%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 03:24
Casumo1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.24%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 03:24
Svenska Spel1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.24%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 03:24
ATG (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.24%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 03:25
betPARX1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.24%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 03:24
Hard Rock Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.24%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 03:24
Marathon Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.21%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.79%EV -7.87%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 03:19
Fliff1.10I 90.91%NM 83.70%EV -7.94%E -7.22%K -79.37%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.30%EV -7.87%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-10 03:25
Unibet (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.75%E -3.26%K -25.01%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.69%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 03:10
BetRivers1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -2.92%E -2.51%K -18.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-10 03:00
Bally Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -2.92%E -2.51%K -18.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-10 03:00
Bet Right1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.75%E -3.26%K -25.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 03:24
William Hill1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 02:59
Everygame1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 02:59
Betr (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 02:59
Paddy Power1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-10 03:24
BoyleSports1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-10 03:24
Tipico (DE)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -7.10%E -6.40%K -64.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-10 03:00
Codere (IT)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -11.95%E -2.21%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-10 03:00
TABtouch1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -11.95%E -2.21%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 03:24
Grosvenor1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -13.58%E -2.56%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-10 03:25
Virgin Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -13.58%E -2.56%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-10 03:25
LiveScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -13.58%E -2.56%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-10 03:24
PlayUp1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.75%E -3.26%K -25.01%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -14.39%E -2.74%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 02:59
BetMGM1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.75%E -3.26%K -25.01%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -14.39%E -2.74%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 02:59
PointsBet (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -14.39%E -2.74%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-10 03:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -14.39%E -2.74%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-10 03:00
Coral1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -14.39%E -2.74%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-10 02:59
LeoVegas1.11I 90.09%NM 82.55%EV -7.10%E -6.40%K -64.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.45%EV -14.39%E -2.74%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-10 03:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 82.41%EV -7.10%E -6.40%K -64.54%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.59%EV -15.21%E -2.92%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-10 03:24
Neds1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -18.47%E -3.69%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-10 03:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -18.47%E -3.69%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-10 03:00
Bet Victor1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -18.47%E -3.69%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-10 03:09
Caesars1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -2.08%E -1.78%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -21.73%E -4.53%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-10 03:25
TAB1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -2.92%E -2.51%K -18.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -24.99%E -5.43%K -6.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-10 03:00
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Novig1.18I 84.75%NM 84.62%6.49I 15.41%NM 15.38%0.2%2026-03-10 03:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-03-10 03:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-03-10 03:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-03-10 03:00
Matchbook1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-03-10 03:00
Smarkets1.14I 87.72%NM 84.88%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.12%3.3%2026-03-10 03:25