Szkoła Kursów

Daniil Medvedev v Sebastian Baez

Początek: 2026-03-10 04:00 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

61 bukmacherów (23 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Daniil Medvedev (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 83.69%1.19kurs godziwy
EV -2.08%
Przewaga -1.78%
Kelly -12.22%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.17

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
79.86%83.64%83.80%86.21%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.101.131.131.1790.91%88.38%88.50%85.47%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Sebastian Baez (Goście)

Prognoza 16.31%6.13kurs godziwy
EV +14.14%
Przewaga +2.02%
Kelly +2.36%
Wzrost +0.333%

przy maksymalnym kursie 7.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
13.79%16.36%16.20%20.14%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.605.705.757.0021.74%17.54%17.39%14.29%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (61 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Winamax (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +14.14%E +2.02%K +2.36%G +0.333%3.6%2026-03-10 03:19
DraftKings1.12I 89.29%NM 86.12%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.19%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.88%EV +13.33%E +1.92%K +2.24%G +0.299%3.7%2026-03-10 03:19
Unibet (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +5.99%E +0.921%K +1.09%G +0.065%4.7%2026-03-10 03:20
Bovada1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +5.99%E +0.921%K +1.09%G +0.065%4.7%2026-03-10 03:20
Winamax (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -7.10%E -6.40%K -64.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +5.99%E +0.921%K +1.09%G +0.065%5.5%2026-03-10 03:20
Betclic (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +4.36%E +0.681%K +0.807%G +0.035%4.1%2026-03-10 02:59
Pinnacle1.16I 86.21%NM 84.41%EV -2.92%E -2.51%K -18.22%G +0.000%6.28I 15.92%NM 15.59%EV +2.40%E +0.383%K +0.455%G +0.011%2.1%2026-03-10 03:00
NordicBet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -7.94%E -7.22%K -79.37%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV +1.91%E +0.306%K +0.364%G +0.007%6.9%2026-03-10 03:19
Betsson1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -7.94%E -7.22%K -79.37%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV +1.91%E +0.306%K +0.364%G +0.007%6.9%2026-03-10 03:19
GTbets1.13I 88.50%NM 84.56%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%6.19I 16.16%NM 15.44%EV +0.935%E +0.151%K +0.180%G +0.002%4.7%2026-03-10 03:19
1xBet1.15I 86.96%NM 84.09%EV -3.75%E -3.26%K -25.01%G +0.000%6.08I 16.45%NM 15.91%EV -0.859%E -0.141%K -0.169%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-10 03:09
Coolbet1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%EV -2.92%E -2.51%K -18.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV -2.16%E -0.361%K -0.433%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-10 03:04
SportsBet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.16%E -0.361%K -0.433%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 03:00
Betway1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.16%E -0.361%K -0.433%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 02:59
theScore Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.16%E -0.361%K -0.433%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 03:19
888sport1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.10%E -6.40%K -64.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -2.16%E -0.361%K -0.433%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-10 03:24
888sport (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.10%E -6.40%K -64.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -2.16%E -0.361%K -0.433%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-10 03:24
Mr Green (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.10%E -6.40%K -64.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -2.16%E -0.361%K -0.433%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-10 03:24
FanDuel1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -5.42%E -0.935%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-10 02:59
NetBet (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.19%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -5.42%E -0.935%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-10 03:04
Fanatics1.10I 90.91%NM 84.06%EV -7.94%E -7.22%K -79.37%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -5.42%E -0.935%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-10 03:18
LowVig.ag1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -3.75%E -3.26%K -25.01%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -6.08%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 03:15
BetOnline.ag1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -3.75%E -3.26%K -25.01%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -6.08%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 03:15
BetUS1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.24%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 02:59
Unibet (NL)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.24%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 03:24
Unibet (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.24%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 03:24
Unibet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.24%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 03:24
Casumo1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.24%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 03:24
Svenska Spel1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.24%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 03:24
ATG (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.24%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 03:25
betPARX1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.24%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 03:24
Hard Rock Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.24%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 03:24
Marathon Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.21%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.79%EV -7.87%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 03:19
Fliff1.10I 90.91%NM 83.70%EV -7.94%E -7.22%K -79.37%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.30%EV -7.87%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-10 03:25
Unibet (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.75%E -3.26%K -25.01%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.69%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 03:10
BetRivers1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -2.92%E -2.51%K -18.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-10 03:00
Bally Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -2.92%E -2.51%K -18.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-10 03:00
Bet Right1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.75%E -3.26%K -25.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 03:24
William Hill1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 02:59
Everygame1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 02:59
Betr (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 02:59
Paddy Power1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-10 03:24
BoyleSports1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-10 03:24
Tipico (DE)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -7.10%E -6.40%K -64.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-10 03:00
Codere (IT)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -11.95%E -2.21%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-10 03:00
TABtouch1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -11.95%E -2.21%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 03:24
Grosvenor1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -13.58%E -2.56%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-10 03:25
Virgin Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -13.58%E -2.56%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-10 03:25
LiveScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -13.58%E -2.56%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-10 03:24
PlayUp1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.75%E -3.26%K -25.01%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -14.39%E -2.74%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 02:59
BetMGM1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.75%E -3.26%K -25.01%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -14.39%E -2.74%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 02:59
PointsBet (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -14.39%E -2.74%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-10 03:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -14.39%E -2.74%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-10 03:00
Coral1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -14.39%E -2.74%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-10 02:59
LeoVegas1.11I 90.09%NM 82.55%EV -7.10%E -6.40%K -64.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.45%EV -14.39%E -2.74%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-10 03:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 82.41%EV -7.10%E -6.40%K -64.54%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.59%EV -15.21%E -2.92%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-10 03:24
Neds1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -18.47%E -3.69%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-10 03:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -18.47%E -3.69%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-10 03:00
Bet Victor1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -18.47%E -3.69%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-10 03:09
Caesars1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -2.08%E -1.78%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -21.73%E -4.53%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-10 03:25
TAB1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -2.92%E -2.51%K -18.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -24.99%E -5.43%K -6.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-10 03:00
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Novig1.18I 84.75%NM 84.62%6.49I 15.41%NM 15.38%0.2%2026-03-10 03:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-03-10 03:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-03-10 03:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-03-10 03:00
Matchbook1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-03-10 03:00
Smarkets1.14I 87.72%NM 84.88%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.12%3.3%2026-03-10 03:25