La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Daniil Medvedev v Sebastian Baez
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Daniil Medvedev (Casa)
Previsione 83.69%1.19quota equa
EV -2.08%
Vantaggio -1.78%
Kelly -12.22%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.17
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
79.86%83.64%83.80%86.21%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.101.131.131.1790.91%88.38%88.50%85.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Sebastian Baez (Trasferta)
Previsione 16.31%6.13quota equa
EV +14.14%
Vantaggio +2.02%
Kelly +2.36%
Crescita +0.333%
ipotizzando la quota massima 7.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
13.79%16.36%16.20%20.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.605.705.757.0021.74%17.54%17.39%14.29%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.19%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +14.14%E +2.02%K +2.36%G +0.333% | 3.6% | 2026-03-10 03:19 |
| DraftKings | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.12%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.19%G +0.000% | 6.95I 14.39%NM 13.88%EV +13.33%E +1.92%K +2.24%G +0.299% | 3.7% | 2026-03-10 03:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.19%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +5.99%E +0.921%K +1.09%G +0.065% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 03:20 |
| Bovada | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.19%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +5.99%E +0.921%K +1.09%G +0.065% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 03:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -7.10%E -6.40%K -64.54%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +5.99%E +0.921%K +1.09%G +0.065% | 5.5% | 2026-03-10 03:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +4.36%E +0.681%K +0.807%G +0.035% | 4.1% | 2026-03-10 02:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.41%EV -2.92%E -2.51%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 6.28I 15.92%NM 15.59%EV +2.40%E +0.383%K +0.455%G +0.011% | 2.1% | 2026-03-10 03:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -7.94%E -7.22%K -79.37%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV +1.91%E +0.306%K +0.364%G +0.007% | 6.9% | 2026-03-10 03:19 |
| Betsson | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -7.94%E -7.22%K -79.37%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV +1.91%E +0.306%K +0.364%G +0.007% | 6.9% | 2026-03-10 03:19 |
| GTbets | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.56%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000% | 6.19I 16.16%NM 15.44%EV +0.935%E +0.151%K +0.180%G +0.002% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 03:19 |
| 1xBet | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.09%EV -3.75%E -3.26%K -25.01%G +0.000% | 6.08I 16.45%NM 15.91%EV -0.859%E -0.141%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-10 03:09 |
| Coolbet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%EV -2.92%E -2.51%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV -2.16%E -0.361%K -0.433%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-10 03:04 |
| SportsBet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.16%E -0.361%K -0.433%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-10 03:00 |
| Betway | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.19%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.16%E -0.361%K -0.433%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-10 02:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.19%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.16%E -0.361%K -0.433%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-10 03:19 |
| 888sport | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.10%E -6.40%K -64.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -2.16%E -0.361%K -0.433%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-10 03:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.10%E -6.40%K -64.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -2.16%E -0.361%K -0.433%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-10 03:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.10%E -6.40%K -64.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -2.16%E -0.361%K -0.433%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-10 03:24 |
| FanDuel | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -5.42%E -0.935%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-10 02:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.19%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -5.42%E -0.935%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-10 03:04 |
| Fanatics | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.06%EV -7.94%E -7.22%K -79.37%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -5.42%E -0.935%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-10 03:18 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -3.75%E -3.26%K -25.01%G +0.000% | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -6.08%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 03:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -3.75%E -3.26%K -25.01%G +0.000% | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -6.08%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 03:15 |
| BetUS | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.24%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-10 02:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.24%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-10 03:24 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.24%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-10 03:24 |
| Unibet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.24%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-10 03:24 |
| Casumo | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.24%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-10 03:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.24%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-10 03:24 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.24%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-10 03:25 |
| betPARX | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.24%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-10 03:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.24%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-10 03:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.21%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.79%EV -7.87%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-10 03:19 |
| Fliff | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.70%EV -7.94%E -7.22%K -79.37%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.30%EV -7.87%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-10 03:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.75%E -3.26%K -25.01%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.69%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-10 03:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -2.92%E -2.51%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-10 03:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -2.92%E -2.51%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-10 03:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.75%E -3.26%K -25.01%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 03:24 |
| William Hill | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-10 02:59 |
| Everygame | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-10 02:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-10 02:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.19%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-10 03:24 |
| BoyleSports | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.19%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-10 03:24 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -7.10%E -6.40%K -64.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-10 03:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -11.95%E -2.21%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-10 03:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -11.95%E -2.21%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-10 03:24 |
| Grosvenor | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -13.58%E -2.56%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-10 03:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -13.58%E -2.56%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-10 03:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -13.58%E -2.56%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-10 03:24 |
| PlayUp | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.75%E -3.26%K -25.01%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -14.39%E -2.74%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-10 02:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.75%E -3.26%K -25.01%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -14.39%E -2.74%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-10 02:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -14.39%E -2.74%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-10 03:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -14.39%E -2.74%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-10 03:00 |
| Coral | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -14.39%E -2.74%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-10 02:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.55%EV -7.10%E -6.40%K -64.54%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.45%EV -14.39%E -2.74%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-10 03:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.41%EV -7.10%E -6.40%K -64.54%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.59%EV -15.21%E -2.92%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-10 03:24 |
| Neds | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -18.47%E -3.69%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-10 03:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -18.47%E -3.69%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-10 03:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -18.47%E -3.69%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-10 03:09 |
| Caesars | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -2.08%E -1.78%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -21.73%E -4.53%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-10 03:25 |
| TAB | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -2.92%E -2.51%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -24.99%E -5.43%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-10 03:00 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.62% | 6.49I 15.41%NM 15.38% | 0.2% | 2026-03-10 03:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.5% | 2026-03-10 03:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.5% | 2026-03-10 03:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.5% | 2026-03-10 03:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.5% | 2026-03-10 03:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.88% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.12% | 3.3% | 2026-03-10 03:25 |