مدرسة الاحتمالات

Daniil Medvedev v Sebastian Baez

البداية: 2026-03-10 04:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (23 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Daniil Medvedev (المضيف)

التنبؤ 83.69%1.19السعر العادل
EV -2.08%
الأفضلية -1.78%
Kelly -12.22%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.17

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
79.86%83.64%83.80%86.21%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.101.131.131.1790.91%88.38%88.50%85.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Sebastian Baez (الضيف)

التنبؤ 16.31%6.13السعر العادل
EV +14.14%
الأفضلية +2.02%
Kelly +2.36%
النمو +0.333%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 7.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
13.79%16.36%16.20%20.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.605.705.757.0021.74%17.54%17.39%14.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Winamax (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +14.14%E +2.02%K +2.36%G +0.333%3.6%2026-03-10 03:19
DraftKings1.12I 89.29%NM 86.12%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.19%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.88%EV +13.33%E +1.92%K +2.24%G +0.299%3.7%2026-03-10 03:19
Unibet (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +5.99%E +0.921%K +1.09%G +0.065%4.7%2026-03-10 03:20
Bovada1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +5.99%E +0.921%K +1.09%G +0.065%4.7%2026-03-10 03:20
Winamax (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -7.10%E -6.40%K -64.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +5.99%E +0.921%K +1.09%G +0.065%5.5%2026-03-10 03:20
Betclic (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +4.36%E +0.681%K +0.807%G +0.035%4.1%2026-03-10 02:59
Pinnacle1.16I 86.21%NM 84.41%EV -2.92%E -2.51%K -18.22%G +0.000%6.28I 15.92%NM 15.59%EV +2.40%E +0.383%K +0.455%G +0.011%2.1%2026-03-10 03:00
NordicBet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -7.94%E -7.22%K -79.37%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV +1.91%E +0.306%K +0.364%G +0.007%6.9%2026-03-10 03:19
Betsson1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -7.94%E -7.22%K -79.37%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV +1.91%E +0.306%K +0.364%G +0.007%6.9%2026-03-10 03:19
GTbets1.13I 88.50%NM 84.56%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%6.19I 16.16%NM 15.44%EV +0.935%E +0.151%K +0.180%G +0.002%4.7%2026-03-10 03:19
1xBet1.15I 86.96%NM 84.09%EV -3.75%E -3.26%K -25.01%G +0.000%6.08I 16.45%NM 15.91%EV -0.859%E -0.141%K -0.169%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-10 03:09
Coolbet1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%EV -2.92%E -2.51%K -18.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV -2.16%E -0.361%K -0.433%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-10 03:04
SportsBet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.16%E -0.361%K -0.433%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 03:00
Betway1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.16%E -0.361%K -0.433%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 02:59
theScore Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.16%E -0.361%K -0.433%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 03:19
888sport1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.10%E -6.40%K -64.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -2.16%E -0.361%K -0.433%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-10 03:24
888sport (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.10%E -6.40%K -64.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -2.16%E -0.361%K -0.433%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-10 03:24
Mr Green (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.10%E -6.40%K -64.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -2.16%E -0.361%K -0.433%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-10 03:24
FanDuel1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -5.42%E -0.935%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-10 02:59
NetBet (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.19%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -5.42%E -0.935%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-10 03:04
Fanatics1.10I 90.91%NM 84.06%EV -7.94%E -7.22%K -79.37%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -5.42%E -0.935%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-10 03:18
LowVig.ag1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -3.75%E -3.26%K -25.01%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -6.08%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 03:15
BetOnline.ag1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -3.75%E -3.26%K -25.01%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -6.08%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 03:15
BetUS1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.24%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 02:59
Unibet (NL)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.24%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 03:24
Unibet (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.24%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 03:24
Unibet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.24%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 03:24
Casumo1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.24%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 03:24
Svenska Spel1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.24%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 03:24
ATG (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.24%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 03:25
betPARX1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.24%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 03:24
Hard Rock Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.24%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 03:24
Marathon Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.21%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.79%EV -7.87%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 03:19
Fliff1.10I 90.91%NM 83.70%EV -7.94%E -7.22%K -79.37%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.30%EV -7.87%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-10 03:25
Unibet (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.75%E -3.26%K -25.01%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.69%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 03:10
BetRivers1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -2.92%E -2.51%K -18.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-10 03:00
Bally Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -2.92%E -2.51%K -18.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-10 03:00
Bet Right1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.75%E -3.26%K -25.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 03:24
William Hill1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 02:59
Everygame1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 02:59
Betr (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 02:59
Paddy Power1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-10 03:24
BoyleSports1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-10 03:24
Tipico (DE)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -7.10%E -6.40%K -64.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-10 03:00
Codere (IT)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -11.95%E -2.21%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-10 03:00
TABtouch1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -11.95%E -2.21%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 03:24
Grosvenor1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -13.58%E -2.56%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-10 03:25
Virgin Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -13.58%E -2.56%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-10 03:25
LiveScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -13.58%E -2.56%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-10 03:24
PlayUp1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.75%E -3.26%K -25.01%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -14.39%E -2.74%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 02:59
BetMGM1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.75%E -3.26%K -25.01%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -14.39%E -2.74%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 02:59
PointsBet (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -14.39%E -2.74%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-10 03:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -14.39%E -2.74%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-10 03:00
Coral1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -14.39%E -2.74%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-10 02:59
LeoVegas1.11I 90.09%NM 82.55%EV -7.10%E -6.40%K -64.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.45%EV -14.39%E -2.74%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-10 03:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 82.41%EV -7.10%E -6.40%K -64.54%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.59%EV -15.21%E -2.92%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-10 03:24
Neds1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -18.47%E -3.69%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-10 03:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -18.47%E -3.69%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-10 03:00
Bet Victor1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -18.47%E -3.69%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-10 03:09
Caesars1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -2.08%E -1.78%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -21.73%E -4.53%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-10 03:25
TAB1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -2.92%E -2.51%K -18.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -24.99%E -5.43%K -6.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-10 03:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Novig1.18I 84.75%NM 84.62%6.49I 15.41%NM 15.38%0.2%2026-03-10 03:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-03-10 03:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-03-10 03:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-03-10 03:00
Matchbook1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-03-10 03:00
Smarkets1.14I 87.72%NM 84.88%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.12%3.3%2026-03-10 03:25