Idioma:Português
Daniil Medvedev v Sebastian Baez
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Daniil Medvedev (Local)
Previsão 83.69%1.19odd justa
EV -2.08%
Vantagem -1.78%
Kelly -12.22%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.17
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
79.86%83.64%83.80%86.21%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.101.131.131.1790.91%88.38%88.50%85.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Sebastian Baez (Visitante)
Previsão 16.31%6.13odd justa
EV +14.14%
Vantagem +2.02%
Kelly +2.36%
Crescimento +0.333%
pressupondo odds máximas de 7.00
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
13.79%16.36%16.20%20.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.605.705.757.0021.74%17.54%17.39%14.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Daniil Medvedev (Local): 83.69%; Sebastian Baez (Visitante): 16.31%. Para Sebastian Baez (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 6.13. 10 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 7.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +14.14%.
Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.19%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +14.14%E +2.02%K +2.36%G +0.333% | 3.6% | 2026-03-10 03:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.12%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.19%G +0.000% | 6.95I 14.39%NM 13.88%EV +13.33%E +1.92%K +2.24%G +0.299% | 3.7% | 2026-03-10 03:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.19%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +5.99%E +0.921%K +1.09%G +0.065% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 03:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.19%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +5.99%E +0.921%K +1.09%G +0.065% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 03:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -7.10%E -6.40%K -64.54%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +5.99%E +0.921%K +1.09%G +0.065% | 5.5% | 2026-03-10 03:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +4.36%E +0.681%K +0.807%G +0.035% | 4.1% | 2026-03-10 02:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.41%EV -2.92%E -2.51%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 6.28I 15.92%NM 15.59%EV +2.40%E +0.383%K +0.455%G +0.011% | 2.1% | 2026-03-10 03:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -7.94%E -7.22%K -79.37%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV +1.91%E +0.306%K +0.364%G +0.007% | 6.9% | 2026-03-10 03:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -7.94%E -7.22%K -79.37%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV +1.91%E +0.306%K +0.364%G +0.007% | 6.9% | 2026-03-10 03:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.56%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000% | 6.19I 16.16%NM 15.44%EV +0.935%E +0.151%K +0.180%G +0.002% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 03:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.09%EV -3.75%E -3.26%K -25.01%G +0.000% | 6.08I 16.45%NM 15.91%EV -0.859%E -0.141%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-10 03:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%EV -2.92%E -2.51%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV -2.16%E -0.361%K -0.433%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-10 03:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.16%E -0.361%K -0.433%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-10 03:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.19%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.16%E -0.361%K -0.433%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-10 02:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.19%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.16%E -0.361%K -0.433%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-10 03:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.10%E -6.40%K -64.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -2.16%E -0.361%K -0.433%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-10 03:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.10%E -6.40%K -64.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -2.16%E -0.361%K -0.433%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-10 03:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.10%E -6.40%K -64.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -2.16%E -0.361%K -0.433%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-10 03:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -5.42%E -0.935%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-10 02:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.19%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -5.42%E -0.935%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-10 03:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.06%EV -7.94%E -7.22%K -79.37%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -5.42%E -0.935%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-10 03:18 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -3.75%E -3.26%K -25.01%G +0.000% | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -6.08%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 03:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -3.75%E -3.26%K -25.01%G +0.000% | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -6.08%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 03:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.24%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-10 02:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.24%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-10 03:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.24%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-10 03:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.24%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-10 03:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.24%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-10 03:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.24%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-10 03:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.24%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-10 03:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.24%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-10 03:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.24%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-10 03:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.21%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.79%EV -7.87%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-10 03:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.70%EV -7.94%E -7.22%K -79.37%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.30%EV -7.87%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-10 03:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.75%E -3.26%K -25.01%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.69%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-10 03:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -2.92%E -2.51%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-10 03:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -2.92%E -2.51%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-10 03:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.75%E -3.26%K -25.01%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 03:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-10 02:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-10 02:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-10 02:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.19%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-10 03:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.19%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-10 03:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -7.10%E -6.40%K -64.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-10 03:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -11.95%E -2.21%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-10 03:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -11.95%E -2.21%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-10 03:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -13.58%E -2.56%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-10 03:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -13.58%E -2.56%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-10 03:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -13.58%E -2.56%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-10 03:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.75%E -3.26%K -25.01%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -14.39%E -2.74%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-10 02:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.75%E -3.26%K -25.01%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -14.39%E -2.74%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-10 02:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -14.39%E -2.74%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-10 03:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -14.39%E -2.74%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-10 03:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -14.39%E -2.74%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-10 02:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.55%EV -7.10%E -6.40%K -64.54%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.45%EV -14.39%E -2.74%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-10 03:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.41%EV -7.10%E -6.40%K -64.54%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.59%EV -15.21%E -2.92%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-10 03:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -18.47%E -3.69%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-10 03:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -18.47%E -3.69%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-10 03:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -18.47%E -3.69%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-10 03:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -2.08%E -1.78%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -21.73%E -4.53%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-10 03:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -2.92%E -2.51%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -24.99%E -5.43%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-10 03:00 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (6)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.62% | 6.49I 15.41%NM 15.38% | 0.2% | 2026-03-10 03:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.5% | 2026-03-10 03:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.5% | 2026-03-10 03:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.5% | 2026-03-10 03:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.5% | 2026-03-10 03:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.88% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.12% | 3.3% | 2026-03-10 03:25 |