Die Wettquotenschule

Daniil Medvedev v Sebastian Baez

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-10 04:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

61 Wettanbieter (23 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Daniil Medvedev (Heim)

Prognose 83.69%1.19faire Quote
EV -2.08%
Vorteil -1.78%
Kelly -12.22%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.17

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
79.86%83.64%83.80%86.21%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.101.131.131.1790.91%88.38%88.50%85.47%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Sebastian Baez (Auswärts)

Prognose 16.31%6.13faire Quote
EV +14.14%
Vorteil +2.02%
Kelly +2.36%
Wachstum +0.333%

bei einer Höchstquote von 7.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
13.79%16.36%16.20%20.14%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
4.605.705.757.0021.74%17.54%17.39%14.29%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (61 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Winamax (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +14.14%E +2.02%K +2.36%G +0.333%3.6%2026-03-10 03:19
DraftKings1.12I 89.29%NM 86.12%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.19%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.88%EV +13.33%E +1.92%K +2.24%G +0.299%3.7%2026-03-10 03:19
Unibet (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +5.99%E +0.921%K +1.09%G +0.065%4.7%2026-03-10 03:20
Bovada1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +5.99%E +0.921%K +1.09%G +0.065%4.7%2026-03-10 03:20
Winamax (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -7.10%E -6.40%K -64.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +5.99%E +0.921%K +1.09%G +0.065%5.5%2026-03-10 03:20
Betclic (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV +4.36%E +0.681%K +0.807%G +0.035%4.1%2026-03-10 02:59
Pinnacle1.16I 86.21%NM 84.41%EV -2.92%E -2.51%K -18.22%G +0.000%6.28I 15.92%NM 15.59%EV +2.40%E +0.383%K +0.455%G +0.011%2.1%2026-03-10 03:00
NordicBet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -7.94%E -7.22%K -79.37%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV +1.91%E +0.306%K +0.364%G +0.007%6.9%2026-03-10 03:19
Betsson1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -7.94%E -7.22%K -79.37%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV +1.91%E +0.306%K +0.364%G +0.007%6.9%2026-03-10 03:19
GTbets1.13I 88.50%NM 84.56%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%6.19I 16.16%NM 15.44%EV +0.935%E +0.151%K +0.180%G +0.002%4.7%2026-03-10 03:19
1xBet1.15I 86.96%NM 84.09%EV -3.75%E -3.26%K -25.01%G +0.000%6.08I 16.45%NM 15.91%EV -0.859%E -0.141%K -0.169%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-10 03:09
Coolbet1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%EV -2.92%E -2.51%K -18.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV -2.16%E -0.361%K -0.433%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-10 03:04
SportsBet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.16%E -0.361%K -0.433%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 03:00
Betway1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.16%E -0.361%K -0.433%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 02:59
theScore Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.16%E -0.361%K -0.433%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 03:19
888sport1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.10%E -6.40%K -64.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -2.16%E -0.361%K -0.433%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-10 03:24
888sport (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.10%E -6.40%K -64.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -2.16%E -0.361%K -0.433%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-10 03:24
Mr Green (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.10%E -6.40%K -64.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -2.16%E -0.361%K -0.433%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-10 03:24
FanDuel1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -5.42%E -0.935%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-10 02:59
NetBet (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.19%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -5.42%E -0.935%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-10 03:04
Fanatics1.10I 90.91%NM 84.06%EV -7.94%E -7.22%K -79.37%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.94%EV -5.42%E -0.935%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-10 03:18
LowVig.ag1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -3.75%E -3.26%K -25.01%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -6.08%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 03:15
BetOnline.ag1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -3.75%E -3.26%K -25.01%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -6.08%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 03:15
BetUS1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.24%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 02:59
Unibet (NL)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.24%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 03:24
Unibet (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.24%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 03:24
Unibet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.24%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 03:24
Casumo1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.24%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 03:24
Svenska Spel1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.24%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 03:24
ATG (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.24%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 03:25
betPARX1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.24%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 03:24
Hard Rock Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.24%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 03:24
Marathon Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.21%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.79%EV -7.87%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 03:19
Fliff1.10I 90.91%NM 83.70%EV -7.94%E -7.22%K -79.37%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.30%EV -7.87%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-10 03:25
Unibet (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -3.75%E -3.26%K -25.01%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -8.69%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-10 03:10
BetRivers1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -2.92%E -2.51%K -18.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-10 03:00
Bally Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -2.92%E -2.51%K -18.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-10 03:00
Bet Right1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -3.75%E -3.26%K -25.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 03:24
William Hill1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 02:59
Everygame1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 02:59
Betr (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-10 02:59
Paddy Power1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-10 03:24
BoyleSports1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.26%E -5.59%K -52.19%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-10 03:24
Tipico (DE)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -7.10%E -6.40%K -64.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-10 03:00
Codere (IT)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -11.95%E -2.21%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-10 03:00
TABtouch1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -11.95%E -2.21%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 03:24
Grosvenor1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -13.58%E -2.56%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-10 03:25
Virgin Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -13.58%E -2.56%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-10 03:25
LiveScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -13.58%E -2.56%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-10 03:24
PlayUp1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.75%E -3.26%K -25.01%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -14.39%E -2.74%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 02:59
BetMGM1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -3.75%E -3.26%K -25.01%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -14.39%E -2.74%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 02:59
PointsBet (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -14.39%E -2.74%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-10 03:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -14.39%E -2.74%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-10 03:00
Coral1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -14.39%E -2.74%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-10 02:59
LeoVegas1.11I 90.09%NM 82.55%EV -7.10%E -6.40%K -64.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.45%EV -14.39%E -2.74%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-10 03:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 82.41%EV -7.10%E -6.40%K -64.54%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.59%EV -15.21%E -2.92%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-10 03:24
Neds1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -18.47%E -3.69%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-10 03:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.59%E -4.03%K -32.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -18.47%E -3.69%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-10 03:00
Bet Victor1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.43%E -4.80%K -41.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -18.47%E -3.69%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-10 03:09
Caesars1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -2.08%E -1.78%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -21.73%E -4.53%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-10 03:25
TAB1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -2.92%E -2.51%K -18.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -24.99%E -5.43%K -6.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-10 03:00
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Novig1.18I 84.75%NM 84.62%6.49I 15.41%NM 15.38%0.2%2026-03-10 03:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-03-10 03:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-03-10 03:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-03-10 03:00
Matchbook1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-03-10 03:00
Smarkets1.14I 87.72%NM 84.88%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.12%3.3%2026-03-10 03:25