A Escola das Odds

Daniil Medvedev v Alejandro Tabilo

Início: 2026-03-08 04:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Daniil Medvedev (Local)

Previsão 76.17%1.31odd justa
EV -1.74%
Vantagem -1.35%
Kelly -6.00%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.29

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
73.77%76.14%76.19%77.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.201.251.251.2983.33%80.22%80.00%77.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Alejandro Tabilo (Visitante)

Previsão 23.83%4.20odd justa
EV +2.47%
Vantagem +0.575%
Kelly +0.749%
Crescimento +0.019%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.22%23.86%23.81%26.23%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.603.913.924.3027.78%25.58%25.51%23.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Winamax (DE)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -5.55%E -4.48%K -23.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +2.47%E +0.575%K +0.749%G +0.019%3.9%2026-03-08 04:24
Unibet (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.31%E -5.13%K -27.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +0.088%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 04:24
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.07%E -5.80%K -32.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.088%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 04:14
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.07%E -5.80%K -32.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.088%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 04:24
Caesars1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.60%E -7.16%K -42.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +0.088%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 04:25
Winamax (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.31%E -5.13%K -27.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -2.29%E -0.560%K -0.740%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 04:24
Betsson1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.07%E -5.80%K -32.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -2.29%E -0.560%K -0.740%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 04:24
NordicBet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.07%E -5.80%K -32.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -2.29%E -0.560%K -0.740%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 04:24
Pinnacle1.28I 78.13%NM 76.03%EV -2.50%E -1.96%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.97%EV -3.25%E -0.800%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-08 04:24
1xBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -4.44%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 04:24
Bet Right1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 04:24
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 04:24
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 04:24
FanDuel1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 04:25
Bovada1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 04:23
PointsBet (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.55%E -4.48%K -23.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 04:14
SportsBet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.55%E -4.48%K -23.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 04:24
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.07%E -5.80%K -32.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 04:25
Tipico (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.60%E -7.16%K -42.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-08 04:24
GTbets1.25I 80.00%NM 76.01%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.99%EV -5.63%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 04:25
BetRivers1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.03%E -3.20%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.87%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 04:14
Unibet (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.87%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 04:16
Betr (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.55%E -4.48%K -23.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.87%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 04:24
DraftKings1.26I 79.37%NM 75.77%EV -4.03%E -3.20%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.23%EV -6.11%E -1.55%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 04:25
Marathon Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -6.58%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 04:18
Casumo1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.03%E -3.20%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.06%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 04:25
Unibet (NL)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.03%E -3.20%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.06%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 04:25
Unibet (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.03%E -3.20%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.06%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 04:24
Unibet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.03%E -3.20%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.06%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 04:24
Codere (IT)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.55%E -4.48%K -23.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -7.06%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 04:15
Fanatics1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -7.83%E -6.48%K -37.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -7.06%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-08 04:25
LowVig.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -1.74%E -1.35%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -9.44%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-08 04:24
BetOnline.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -1.74%E -1.35%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -9.44%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-08 04:24
BetMGM1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.26%E -2.57%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.44%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 04:23
Grosvenor1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.44%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 04:24
Virgin Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.44%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 04:24
TABtouch1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.44%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 04:24
LiveScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.44%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 04:24
Betclic (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.85%EV -3.26%E -2.57%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.15%EV -9.92%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 04:14
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 04:23
LeoVegas1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -6.31%E -5.13%K -27.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 04:24
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 04:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 04:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.05%EV -6.31%E -5.13%K -27.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-08 04:24
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.50%E -1.96%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -14.21%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 04:24
TAB1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.03%E -3.20%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -14.21%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 04:24
Neds1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.21%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 04:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.21%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 04:24
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.21%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 04:24
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-03-08 04:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-03-08 04:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-03-08 04:24
Matchbook1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-03-08 04:25
Smarkets1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-03-08 04:25