Die Wettquotenschule

Daniil Medvedev v Alejandro Tabilo

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-08 04:30 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

49 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Daniil Medvedev (Heim)

Prognose 76.17%1.31faire Quote
EV -1.74%
Vorteil -1.35%
Kelly -6.00%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.29

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
73.77%76.14%76.19%77.78%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.201.251.251.2983.33%80.22%80.00%77.52%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Alejandro Tabilo (Auswärts)

Prognose 23.83%4.20faire Quote
EV +2.47%
Vorteil +0.575%
Kelly +0.749%
Wachstum +0.019%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.30

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
22.22%23.86%23.81%26.23%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.603.913.924.3027.78%25.58%25.51%23.26%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (49 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Winamax (DE)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -5.55%E -4.48%K -23.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +2.47%E +0.575%K +0.749%G +0.019%3.9%2026-03-08 04:24
Unibet (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.31%E -5.13%K -27.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +0.088%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 04:24
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.07%E -5.80%K -32.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.088%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 04:14
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.07%E -5.80%K -32.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.088%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 04:24
Caesars1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.60%E -7.16%K -42.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +0.088%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 04:25
Winamax (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.31%E -5.13%K -27.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -2.29%E -0.560%K -0.740%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 04:24
Betsson1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.07%E -5.80%K -32.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -2.29%E -0.560%K -0.740%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 04:24
NordicBet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.07%E -5.80%K -32.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -2.29%E -0.560%K -0.740%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 04:24
Pinnacle1.28I 78.13%NM 76.03%EV -2.50%E -1.96%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.97%EV -3.25%E -0.800%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-08 04:24
1xBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -4.44%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 04:24
Bet Right1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 04:24
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 04:24
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 04:24
FanDuel1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 04:25
Bovada1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 04:23
PointsBet (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.55%E -4.48%K -23.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 04:14
SportsBet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.55%E -4.48%K -23.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 04:24
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.07%E -5.80%K -32.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 04:25
Tipico (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.60%E -7.16%K -42.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-08 04:24
GTbets1.25I 80.00%NM 76.01%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.99%EV -5.63%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 04:25
BetRivers1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.03%E -3.20%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.87%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 04:14
Unibet (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.87%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 04:16
Betr (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.55%E -4.48%K -23.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.87%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 04:24
DraftKings1.26I 79.37%NM 75.77%EV -4.03%E -3.20%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.23%EV -6.11%E -1.55%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 04:25
Marathon Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -6.58%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 04:18
Casumo1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.03%E -3.20%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.06%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 04:25
Unibet (NL)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.03%E -3.20%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.06%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 04:25
Unibet (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.03%E -3.20%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.06%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 04:24
Unibet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.03%E -3.20%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.06%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 04:24
Codere (IT)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.55%E -4.48%K -23.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -7.06%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 04:15
Fanatics1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -7.83%E -6.48%K -37.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -7.06%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-08 04:25
LowVig.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -1.74%E -1.35%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -9.44%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-08 04:24
BetOnline.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -1.74%E -1.35%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -9.44%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-08 04:24
BetMGM1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.26%E -2.57%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.44%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 04:23
Grosvenor1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.44%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 04:24
Virgin Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.44%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 04:24
TABtouch1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.44%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 04:24
LiveScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.44%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 04:24
Betclic (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.85%EV -3.26%E -2.57%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.15%EV -9.92%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 04:14
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-08 04:23
LeoVegas1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -6.31%E -5.13%K -27.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 04:24
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 04:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 04:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 75.05%EV -6.31%E -5.13%K -27.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-08 04:24
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.50%E -1.96%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -14.21%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 04:24
TAB1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.03%E -3.20%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -14.21%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 04:24
Neds1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.21%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 04:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.21%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 04:24
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.21%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 04:24
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-03-08 04:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-03-08 04:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-03-08 04:24
Matchbook1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-03-08 04:25
Smarkets1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-03-08 04:25