La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Daniil Medvedev v Alejandro Tabilo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Daniil Medvedev (Local)
Predicción 76.17%1.31momio equitativo
EV -1.74%
Ventaja -1.35%
Kelly -6.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.29
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
73.77%76.14%76.19%77.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.201.251.251.2983.33%80.22%80.00%77.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Alejandro Tabilo (Visitante)
Predicción 23.83%4.20momio equitativo
EV +2.47%
Ventaja +0.575%
Kelly +0.749%
Crecimiento +0.019%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.22%23.86%23.81%26.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.603.913.924.3027.78%25.58%25.51%23.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -5.55%E -4.48%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +2.47%E +0.575%K +0.749%G +0.019% | 3.9% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.31%E -5.13%K -27.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +0.088%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| 888sport | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.07%E -5.80%K -32.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.088%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 04:14 |
| William Hill | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.07%E -5.80%K -32.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.088%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| Caesars | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.60%E -7.16%K -42.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +0.088%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 04:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.31%E -5.13%K -27.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -2.29%E -0.560%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| Betsson | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.07%E -5.80%K -32.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -2.29%E -0.560%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| NordicBet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.07%E -5.80%K -32.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -2.29%E -0.560%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| Pinnacle | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.03%EV -2.50%E -1.96%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.97%EV -3.25%E -0.800%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| 1xBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -4.44%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| Bet Right | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| Betway | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| BoyleSports | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| FanDuel | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 04:25 |
| Bovada | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 04:23 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.55%E -4.48%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 04:14 |
| SportsBet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.55%E -4.48%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| Paddy Power | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.07%E -5.80%K -32.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 04:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.60%E -7.16%K -42.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| GTbets | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.01%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.99%EV -5.63%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 04:25 |
| BetRivers | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.03%E -3.20%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.87%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 04:14 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.87%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 04:16 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.55%E -4.48%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.87%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| DraftKings | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.77%EV -4.03%E -3.20%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.23%EV -6.11%E -1.55%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 04:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -6.58%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 04:18 |
| Casumo | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.03%E -3.20%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.06%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 04:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.03%E -3.20%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.06%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 04:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.03%E -3.20%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.06%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| Unibet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.03%E -3.20%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.06%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.55%E -4.48%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -7.06%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 04:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -7.83%E -6.48%K -37.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -7.06%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-08 04:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -1.74%E -1.35%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -9.44%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -1.74%E -1.35%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -9.44%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| BetMGM | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.26%E -2.57%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.44%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 04:23 |
| Grosvenor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.44%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.44%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| TABtouch | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.44%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.44%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.85%EV -3.26%E -2.57%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.15%EV -9.92%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 04:14 |
| Everygame | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 04:23 |
| LeoVegas | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -6.31%E -5.13%K -27.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| Coral | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 04:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.05%EV -6.31%E -5.13%K -27.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| PlayUp | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.50%E -1.96%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -14.21%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| TAB | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.03%E -3.20%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -14.21%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| Neds | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.21%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.21%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| Bet Victor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.21%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| Matchbook | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-03-08 04:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-03-08 04:25 |