La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Daniil Medvedev v Alejandro Tabilo
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Daniil Medvedev (Casa)
Previsione 76.17%1.31quota equa
EV -1.74%
Vantaggio -1.35%
Kelly -6.00%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.29
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
73.77%76.14%76.19%77.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.201.251.251.2983.33%80.22%80.00%77.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Alejandro Tabilo (Trasferta)
Previsione 23.83%4.20quota equa
EV +2.47%
Vantaggio +0.575%
Kelly +0.749%
Crescita +0.019%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.30
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.22%23.86%23.81%26.23%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.603.913.924.3027.78%25.58%25.51%23.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (49 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -5.55%E -4.48%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV +2.47%E +0.575%K +0.749%G +0.019% | 3.9% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.31%E -5.13%K -27.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV +0.088%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| 888sport | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.07%E -5.80%K -32.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.088%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 04:14 |
| William Hill | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -7.07%E -5.80%K -32.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +0.088%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| Caesars | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.60%E -7.16%K -42.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +0.088%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 04:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -6.31%E -5.13%K -27.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -2.29%E -0.560%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| Betsson | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.07%E -5.80%K -32.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -2.29%E -0.560%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| NordicBet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.07%E -5.80%K -32.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -2.29%E -0.560%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| Pinnacle | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.03%EV -2.50%E -1.96%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.97%EV -3.25%E -0.800%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| 1xBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.24%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.76%EV -4.44%E -1.11%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| Bet Right | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| Betway | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| BoyleSports | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| FanDuel | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 04:25 |
| Bovada | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 04:23 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.55%E -4.48%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 04:14 |
| SportsBet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.55%E -4.48%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| Paddy Power | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.07%E -5.80%K -32.15%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 04:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.60%E -7.16%K -42.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.68%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| GTbets | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.01%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.99%EV -5.63%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 04:25 |
| BetRivers | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.03%E -3.20%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.87%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 04:14 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.87%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 04:16 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.55%E -4.48%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.87%E -1.49%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| DraftKings | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.77%EV -4.03%E -3.20%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.23%EV -6.11%E -1.55%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 04:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -6.58%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 04:18 |
| Casumo | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.03%E -3.20%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.06%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 04:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.03%E -3.20%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.06%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 04:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.03%E -3.20%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.06%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| Unibet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.03%E -3.20%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.06%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.55%E -4.48%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -7.06%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 04:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.32%EV -7.83%E -6.48%K -37.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -7.06%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-08 04:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -1.74%E -1.35%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -9.44%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -1.74%E -1.35%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -9.44%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| BetMGM | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.26%E -2.57%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.44%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 04:23 |
| Grosvenor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.44%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.44%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| TABtouch | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.44%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -9.44%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.85%EV -3.26%E -2.57%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.15%EV -9.92%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 04:14 |
| Everygame | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 04:23 |
| LeoVegas | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.30%EV -6.31%E -5.13%K -27.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| Coral | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 04:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.05%EV -6.31%E -5.13%K -27.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| PlayUp | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.50%E -1.96%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -14.21%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| TAB | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.03%E -3.20%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -14.21%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| Neds | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.21%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.21%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| Bet Victor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.79%E -3.83%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.21%E -3.95%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-03-08 04:24 |
| Matchbook | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-03-08 04:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-03-08 04:25 |